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Totals Have Gone OVER in Rare Occurrences Where They've Been Set at 6

If you like goals, then you ought to tune in to the Jets-Stars game tonight, according to sportsbooks. The total of this game opened at a massive number of 6 but will most likely be hammered down to 5.5 by the time the betting windows close.

There is definitely a precedent for goals in this series with four of these teams’ five matchups last season having eight or more goals. That said, totals of 6 are extremely rare – so, what exactly are the chances we see six or more goals tonight?

In the eight instances where the total has closed at a number higher than 5.5 since the 2014-15 season, the two teams playing have actually eclipsed the set total five times and the average total goals scored has been 6.125. Five-eighths is definitely not a lock but it is a great number for a line that has some plus-money value on the OVER.

Even without that historical information, I would be leaning toward the OVER tonight. The fact that there have been just two totals of 5.5 or more in the last two seasons means Vegas is scared of this game and is pretty damn sure there’s going to be plenty of goals.

The Jets’ goals for and against total right now sits at 6.48 while the Stars’ is a lofty 5.98. Goals are way up in the NHL right now and the two goalies playing tonight – Michael Hutchinson and Antti Niemi – leave a lot to be desired with their respective 4.02 and 4.83 goals-against averages.

Keep an eye on the total at our NHL odds page and if you find a total of 5.5 at one of your books, take it and run with it. 

Here’s the historical data for games in the last three seasons that have closed with a total of more than 5.5.

Totals of more than 5.5 since the 2014-15 Season
DateAway TeamHome TeamAway ScoreHome ScoreClosing Total
October 22, 2016Blue JacketsStars306
December 29, 2014Maple LeafsLightning236
December 20, 2014FlyersMaple Leafs746
December 2, 2014StarsMaple Leafs356
November 24, 2014FlyersIslanders016
November 20, 2014LightningMaple Leafs256
November 18, 2014LightningIslanders256
October 30, 2014FlyersLightning346

 

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