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Two Big Betting Factors For Two Big Game 7s

Any hockey fans who were complaining about the lack of Game 7s in the first round can’t complain now. 

Two series will be decided in a Game 7 on Wednesday night – the Penguins and Capitals, followed by the Oilers and Ducks. But who cares? What bettors want to know is: Who’s gonna win? 

Both home teams are favored (Caps opened -175, Ducks opened -120) and that should be no surprise. History says the home side wins 58.4 percent of the time for a record of 97-69 going back to 1939.

Well, history hates the Ducks, apparently, because Anaheim buh-lows in Game 7s at home lately. Which brings me to Big Factor No. 1. Anaheim has lost four of these in a row. Over the last four years. 

Anaheim Ducks in Game 7 last four years
YearOpponentAnaheim oddsScoreO/U
2016Nashville-165L 2-1U5
2015Chicago-127L 5-2O5
2014Los Angeles-135L 6-2O5
2013Detroit-137L 3-2P5

Perhaps we’ll blame head coach Randy Carlyle for those losses? 

“It’s not the same group and I wasn’t here so don’t pin any of those losses on me,” he told reporters after Game 6. 

OK then.  

Over in Washington, the Capitals are big faves after winning two straight games in that series. They were favored by the same price for Game 5 in Washington when they won 4-2. 

Momentum is a big element here but strangely enough a guy named Justin Williams is actually Big Factor No. 2. You see, Williams is Mr. Game 7 himself.

That’s an actual nickname for him, I’m not trying to be cute. That’s because Williams has seven goals and seven assists in seven Game 7s. Oh yeah – and he has won all seven of ’em. This will be his first Game 7 in his second season with the Capitals, though.  

May not seem like much but I guarantee you a lot of hockey bettors out there will take the Caps because of it. If you go that route, though, you might want to be careful of the puckline, which may be tempting with the juice on the moneyline. 

Puckline faves are 14-51 against the spread prior to Tuesday night’s action. 

Follow me on Twitter @JonnyOddsShark

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