UFC 198: Why Werdum Beats Miocic

Fabricio Werdum is set to defend his undisputed UFC Heavyweight title for the first time in front of his home crown in Curitiba, Brazil at UFC 198. Werdum will face Stipe Miocic who is coming off two consecutive stoppage finishes including a 0:54 victory against Andrei Arlovski.

Despite facing a stellar boxer and finisher, I fully expect Fabricio Werdum to defend his belt at UFC 198. And if you need any convincing, here is why I think we will end the show hearing "And still."


UFC 198: Why Miocic Beats Werdum

Stipe Miocic UFC

Stipe Miocic will step into the Octagon Saturday night at UFC 198 as a +130 underdog and attempt to become the fourth man in four and a half years to win the UFC Heavyweight Title. Since a close decision loss to Junior dos Santos at the end of 2014, he’s TKO’d Mark Hunt and Andrei Arlovski to put himself in the position to challenge for the title.

Here’s why I think we hear Bruce Bruffer say the words “And new” at the conclusion of the fight:


Thunder-Warriors Has Highest Total Ever

Stephen Curry Serge Ibaka

Everyone knows the Golden State Warriors and Oklahoma City Thunder can score in bunches, but sportsbooks are expecting Game 1 of their Western Conference finals matchup to be historically high-scoring.

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook – the most renowned book in Sin City – opened the OVER/UNDER for the tilt at 232. That would make it the highest total in NBA playoff history.


NHL Playoffs: Conn Smythe Futures Odds

Sidney Crosby Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs

We are now entering the conference final round of the NHL postseason so the futures board for the Conn Smythe Trophy winner (the playoff MVP) has really thinned out.

Entering the playoffs, Washington Capitals netminder Braden Holtby was the favorite to win the award at +850 but, now that the Caps have been eliminated, that has obviously changed.

The new favorite is Pens captain Sidney Crosby, who entered the postseason at +1600 and has moved to +450 ahead of the Eastern Conference Final clash with the Tampa Bay Lightning.


Cubs Dominating Pirates This Season

In baseball’s lone afternoon game today, the Cubs will look to remain perfect against the Pirates after already sweeping them in a three game series earlier this month. Chicago has lost two games into a row coming into action today, which is their longest losing streak of the season. The two straight losses is rare for the Cubs who are 7-1 in their last eight games after a loss.

The Cubs will give the ball to Jason Hammel who has been lights out so far this season with a 4-0 record and 1.85 ERA in six starts. This includes a win over the Pirates where he pitched five innings, recording three K’s and two earned runs. Considering the 33-year-old has a career 4.43 ERA in 224 starts, it’s fair to assume that he’ll eventually come back down to earth.

The Pirates will counter with Francisco Liriano who’s done his worst work on the road this season. In four road starts he has a 5.24 ERA while giving up five home runs. He did, however, have success against the Cubs in his only start at Wrigley Field last season when he pitched 7.2 innings, allowing zero runs while striking out nine.

In the three game sweep at the start of May, the Cubs outscored the Pirates 20-5.

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Is Raptors-Heat a Stay Away Game?

Kyle Lowry Toronto Raptors

If you’re looking at past stats and trends, you’d think the Toronto Raptors are a shoo-in to knock the Miami Heat out of the playoffs on Friday. But if you’re even somewhat familiar with the Raptors, you know they never make things easy on themselves. That’s what makes tonight’s Game 6 such a toss up for sports bettors.


UNDER Looks Appealing in Raptors-Heat

Goran Dragic Terrence Ross

Somehow, some way the Toronto Raptors hold a 3-2 series lead and can advance to the Eastern Conference finals with a win over the Miami Heat tonight. The Raps haven’t made it easy on themselves, but they’ve done just enough to get to this point. Toronto has never made it past the second round in franchise history, and has won just a single seven-game playoff series, which came against Indiana in this year’s postseason.

Shark Bites
  • The Raptors are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games.
  • The Heat are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four games with a closing total of 189.0 or less.
  • The Raptors are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games on Friday.

UNDER bettors will want to take note of this matchup. In Miami’s last 10 games, the UNDER has gone 7-3. The Raptors have also gone below the closing total in seven of their last eight games away from Canada. The total for the contest opened at 189.

Injuries have dominated this series for both sides, but the clubs got good news on Thursday. Toronto’s DeMarre Carroll and Miami’s Luol Deng had to leave Game 5 with bruises, however, they’re upgraded to questionable for Game 6. Each player is expected to play.

Injuries to Jonas Valanciunas and Hassan Whiteside has completely changed the outlook of this series, and the big men are still out with ailments. Valanciunas was ruled out for the remainder of the series, while Whiteside is still listed as day-to-day but it’s becoming more apparent he is unlikely to return.

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Fave Dominating in Pens-Bolts Matchups

Tampa Bay Lightning Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs

While it might not be the Eastern Conference final matchup that many of us predicted, the series between the Pittsburgh Penguins and Tampa Bay Lightning promises to be an exciting one featuring a pair of teams that deserve to be here. One thing is certain, however: There is a betting trend that has dominated the narrative when these two teams meet and it’s been so hot that it should not be taken lightly.

Shark Bites
  • The Penguins are 8-1 SU in their last nine games at home.
  • The Lightning are 1-6 SU in their last seven games as underdogs.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Pens’ last eight games as home faves.

Online shop Bovada is presently offering the Penguins at -180 in moneyline markets for Game 1 while the Lightning are sitting there at +160. As far as the total is concerned, OVER 5 goals is -130 while UNDER 5 goals is currently priced at +110.

The favorite has dominated this matchup to the tune of a 14-1 straight up record in the past 15 meetings. The dog did triumph in the last meeting, however, as the Bolts skated to a 4-2 victory as moneyline pups priced at -103 back on February 20.

Also of note here is the fact that the OVER has cashed at a furious rate, going 7-0 in the past seven meetings.

The two clubs met three times during the regular season with the Lightning winning all three contests by scores of 5-4, 6-3 and 4-2.

The Pens and Lightning have met in the playoffs once before. Back in 2011, the Lightning needed seven games to eliminate Pittsburgh in the conference quarterfinals.

Steven Stamkos, the injured Bolts sniper who remains out indefinitely, tallied five points in the three regular season games against the Pens. It was his second-highest scoring output against any team this season behind the six points he recorded in three games against the Columbus Blue Jackets. While he'll be sorely missed, players like Tyler Johnson (13 points) and Nikita Kucherov (11 poitns) have really filled the scoring void that the injured Stamkos leaves.

Keep an eye on Patrick Hornqvist of the Pens in this series. In three games versus the Lightning during the regular season, the Swede scored two goals and added three assists and was the most effective skater in the head-to-head meetings.

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Chi Sox Look to Bounce Back in the Bronx

Yankees White Sox

Coming off two straight losses, the White Sox head to New York to take on a Yankees team that’s had their number in recent seasons. The Chi Sox are just 2-10 in their last 12 games against the Yanks, but three losses in a row isn’t something we see often from Chicago, as they’re 12-2 in their last 14 games after consecutive losses.

It’ll be a best possible scenario on the mound for the Sox with Chris Sale, owner of a perfect 7-0 record, set to start the game. Sale has earned the W in each of his appearances this season, allowing just 10 earned runs in 50.1 innings pitched with 47 K’s. He’s done his best work on the road, where he has a 1.53 ERA while allowing just 4.5 hits per start.

Luis Severino gets the ball for the Yankees, and he’ll be looking to improve on an awful 0-5 record and 6.12 ERA. The Yankeers have lost each of the 22-year-old’s six starts this season, but he is coming off a game where the struck out a season high nine batters against Boston.

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MLB’s Best Favorite & Underdog O/U Bets


Yesterday we did some digging and found a spot where bettors might be able to cash in when we discovered a handful of teams that have become very profitable OVER or UNDER bets on either the road or at home. With eight teams hitting at over 70% in one of those situations, we thought to take a look at some teams that are standout totals bets in another situation — as a favorite or underdog.



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