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Nats' Runline has Been Profitable Bet on the Road

The Nationals have separated from the pack in the NL East and can really run away with the division if they continue to get the pitching they have from the likes of Stephen Strasburg and Max Scherzer, who will toe the rubber tonight as he lines up against Jorge De La Rosa and the slumping Rockies.

The Nationals are 6-2 in their last 8 games on the road against the Rockies.
The Rockies’ lineup has hit a combined .176 against Max Scherzer.
The Nationals are 10-2 on the runline in their last 12 games on the road.

Colorado was actually making a playoff push before losing three straight series, including one to the Phillies. They have lost eight of their last 10 and will lean on a starting pitcher tonight who has a 5.25 ERA on the season.

Scherzer has been as consistent as you like and has gone at least six innings deep in 17 straight games. The strikeout specialist has a 12-7 record and 2.80 ERA this year but picked up a loss in his last start against the Rockies at Coors Field.

This one is trending heavily in favor of the Nationals and with their recent runline record on the road, a bet on the Washington spread is probably the way to go here.

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Plenty Of Runs When Royals, Tigers Face Off

If history means anything, you can expect the Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers to bring their big bats when they meet Monday. The two teams have averaged nearly 10 runs per game in their past 17 meetings with the OVER going 12-5 in that span.

  • Ian Kinsler is 7-for-12 with four doubles in his career against Ian Kennedy.
  • The Royals are 2-6 in their past eight games in Detroit.
  • The Tigers are 7-0 SU and 6-1 against the runline following a win as an underdog.

Ian Kennedy has shown some inconsistencies during his first year with the Royals, but he has fared well against the Tigers. Kennedy has a 2.31 ERA while only surrendering two earned runs in two starts against the Tigers this season. However, the Royals have lost both games as they scored just two runs in each game.

Daniel Norris will be making his second start since rejoining the Tigers’ rotation that is suffering through injuries. Norris went 5.0 innings while only surrendering one run against the Mariners in his last trip to the bump on Tuesday.

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Blue Jays Have Made Themselves at Home at Yankee Stadium

The Yankees have finally shed the dead weight that was Alex Rodriguez and have committed to the roster turnover, calling up some of their young prospects and inserting them into the starting lineup. New York will begin their week against the AL East-leading Toronto Blue Jays as they cling to their slim playoff hopes.


  • The Blue Jays are 17-7 in their last 24 games against the AL East.
  • The Yankees are 12-4 on the runline in their last 16 games at home.
  • The Blue Jays are 9-2 in their last 11 games at Yankee Stadium.

It’s not expected to be a pitchers' duel tonight as the Yanks’ send rookie Chad Green to the bump to face R.A. Dickey in a matchup of hurlers who have less than terrific stats.

Dickey has really been the odd man out for the Jays in a rotation that has put up some of the best numbers in the majors. The knuckleballer owns an 8-12 record, 4.61 ERA and 1.34 WHIP this season and was roughed up the last time he met the Yankees’ lineup. The one thing Dickey has going for him tonight is that batters do not tend to do well the first time they see the knuckleball so he should have some success against the young Yankee bats.

Green (1-2, 4.94 ERA) has moved in and out of the rotation this year and will face a tough task tonight against a Jays’ lineup he has never faced before. The rookie has only pitched 9.1 innings at Yankee Stadium so far and has been lucky to only give up the three runs he has as he’s allowed batters to hit .361 off him at home.

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Road Team Faltering In Red Sox, Indians Meetings

Home field advantage has held some significant weight when the Boston Red Sox and Cleveland Indians clash, as the home team has won eight of the past 10 meetings. The BoSox and the Tribe meet Monday afternoon to make up a game that was postponed on April 7.

  • Mike Napoli is batting .442 with seven home runs during his current 14-game hitting streak.
  • The Red Sox are 8-3 in their past 11 afternoon games.
  • The UNDER is 12-3 in the Red Sox’ past 15 games on the road.

Though the beginning of his tenure with the Red Sox was far from his best, Drew Pomeranz has started to look like the pitcher the team thought they were acquiring near the trade deadline. Pomeranz has only surrendered 10 hits and three runs in his past two starts – though he has walked seven batters in that span as well.

Josh Tomlin enters his start coming off his worst two-game stretch of the season. Tomlin has given up 17 hits and 14 runs in his last two starts while failing to make it out of the fifth inning in either affair.

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Cubs Look To Avenge Their Lone Loss In Weeks

The Chicago Cubs saw their 11-game winning streak come to an end at the hands of the St. Louis Cardinals Saturday. The Cubs imploded by giving up six runs in the eighth inning before ultimately dropping the affair to the Cards 8-4. The Cubs and Cards take to the diamond Sunday with their weekend series split 1-1.

  • John Lackey has averaged over eight strikeouts in three games against the Cardinals this year.
  • The Cardinals are 6-1 against the runline in their past seven games at Wrigley Field.
  • The UNDER is 15-6 in the Cubs’ last 21 games at home.

Mike Leake will be looking to end his worst stretch of games this season when he takes the bump. Leake has surrendered 23 runs in his past four starts – which includes three starts of six-plus runs – while posting an ERA of 9.00.

John Lackey will be making his fourth consecutive start at Wrigley Field and the veteran has given the home crowd plenty to be happy about in his past three outings. Lackey has a 2.14 ERA while holding opponents to a .189 batting average in his past three starts.

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Rangers Continue To Go Under For Bettors

The Texas Rangers have become one of the most consistent UNDER plays in the MLB, as the club has failed to top the total in 10 of their past 14 outings. Those 14 games have seen the Rangers and their opponents average a combined eight runs per game. Texas closes out a three-game set with the Detroit Tigers Sunday.

  • The Rangers are 11-4 in A.J. Griffin’s 15 starts this season.
  • The Tigers are 2-8 against the runline in their past 10 games.
  • Miguel Cabrera is 6-for-10 with two homes runs lifetime vs A.J. Griffin.

A.J. Griffin has been a steady presence for the Rangers, as the righty has allowed three runs or fewer in 13 of his 15 games this season. The Rangers’ bats have done their part as well, with the team averaging 5.87 runs of support for Griffin.

You would think that a rookie making almost 75 percent of his starts on the road would be posting some mediocre numbers, but Michael Fulmer has been lighting it up for the Tigers. Fulmer has a 2.85 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP in his 13 starts on the road this season.

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Greinke Untouchable In Day Games This Season

Zack Greinke will be making his second start since returning from the DL when he takes the mound for the Arizona Diamondbacks at Fenway Park Sunday afternoon. Greinke has been near perfect in his day starts this season, as the righty has a 0.78 ERA and a 21/2 strikeout-to-walk ratio in three early starts.

  • David Ortiz is .154 with five strikeouts in his career vs Zack Greinke.
  • The OVER is 9-3 in the Diamondbacks’ past 12 games.
  • The Red Sox are 7-15 against the runline in their past 22 games.

The Boston Red Sox are still undefeated this season when Rick Porcello takes the bump at Fenway. Porcello has posted a stellar 3.12 ERA at home this season while lasting at least six innings in all but two of his 12 starts.

The Red Sox have plenty of history on their side, as they are 9-1 in their past 10 games against the D-backs. That includes the Sox outscoring the D-backs 15-7 through the first two games of this series.

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White Sox Dominating Marlins In Rare Meetings

The Chicago White Sox probably wish they met the Miami Marlins more often, as the ChiSox have won the past five meetings between the two clubs. However, those five games date all the way back to 2013. The White Sox will look to sweep the Marlins when they close out their series Sunday.

  • The Marlins are 1-4 SU and against the runline in their past five games.
  • The White Sox are 6-13 SU in their past 19 games on the road.
  • Chris Sale is 6-2 with a 2.54 ERA lifetime in interleague games.

Chris Sale has become a strikeout machine once again after the CY Young candidate had several tough games. Sale has a 3.00 ERA with a 17/2 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his past two starts, both significant improvements over his 4.74 ERA and 15/8 K-to-BB ratio in his previous three.

When you think of aces you don’t normally think of Tom Koehler, but he has been one of the best pitchers in baseball recently. Koehler is 3-0 with a 0.67 ERA in his past four starts – which includes two starts of six-plus innings of no-run ball.

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Ole Miss Success Relies Heavily On Kelly

Ole Miss is Chad Kelly’s team and they are going to go exactly as far as he can carry them. Rebels’ fans just need to hope that he is fully recovered from hernia surgery or the outlook for the season could go from cautious optimism to total tire fire. 

2016 National Championship Odds

Ole Miss is +4000 to win the national championship just ahead of the kickoff of the college season – which would be their first since 1962.


Gausman Has Been Awful On The Road

Kevin Gausman will make his 13th road start of the season when he takes the bump Saturday, but he will still be in search of his first road win of the year. Gausman is 0-8 with a 5.37 ERA in his 12 road starts this season – with the Baltimore Orioles going 3-9 in those affairs. The O’s will continue their high-stakes weekend series with the San Francisco Giants tonight.

  • Kevin Gausman has a 5.22 ERA in eight career interleague games.
  • The Giants are 6-18 against the runline in their past 25 games.
  • Mark Trumbo has two home runs and seven RBIs in the past two games.

Madison Bumgarner will hope he can actually get some run support when he takes the mound. MadBum has a 2.20 ERA through his past seven starts, but the Giants have plated two or fewer runs in four of those outings.

If the Giants’ current slump has been good for one thing, it has been their consistent UNDER trend. The UNDER is 7-1 in San Fran’s past eight games and is 18-7 since the All-Star break.

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