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Week 1 NFL Odds & Betting Notes

The NFL schedule was released last night and it wasn’t long before the Westgate’s Las Vegas Superbook followed up with odds for the Week 1 matchups. 

Here’s a look at the opening lines and a betting note for each game to help you get your NFL handicapping started:  

(Update: Patriots QB Tom Brady will be suspended  

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 8, 2016

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Marlins Winless At Home This Season

The Miami Marlins have been downright terrible at home this season, with the club going 0-5 at Marlins Park with three of those losses coming against the abysmal Atlanta Braves. If there is one positive to take from the losses, it is that three of the five were by just one run. Miami will try for their first win of the season at home when they host the Washington Nationals Monday.

Jose Fernandez will make his third start of the season after some mediocre performances so far. Fernandez has not pitched a full six innings through his first two games while posting a 5.06 ERA. It has been hit-or-miss for Fernandez as though he has allowed eight hits and six runs in his first two starts, while notching 18 strikeouts.

Tanner Roark will get his second start of the year against the Marlins after the ‘Fins roughed him up in the first outing. Roark went just four innings while giving up nine hits and four runs against Miami on April 7.

Game ID: 
721708
League: 

Quick Just Cannot Solve Sharks

Jonathan Quick Los Angeles Kings Brent Burns San Jose Sharks NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs

The San Jose Sharks have been Jonathan Quick’s kryptonite all season long and that has certainly spilled into the postseason as the Sharks take a 2-0 series lead into Game 3 at the SAP Center Monday evening.

Shark Bites
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Sharks’ last six home games.
  • The Sharks are 2-5 SU in their last seven games as favorites.
  • The Kings are 1-5 SU in their last six road games.

Online book Bovada is presently offering the Sharks at -120 in moneyline markets for Game 3 while the Kings are EVEN odds. The total is tabbed at 5 goals with OVER at -105 and UNDER -115.

The Kings netminder lost all three of his starts versus the Sharks in the regular season so is now 0-5 in five starts during the season. He’s allowed six goals in the two playoff games and has stopped just 40 of 46 shots for a save percentage of .870.

Sharks center Joe Pavelski, who scored more points against the Kings during the regular season (10) than any other team he had faced, has paced the Sharks with three goals and one assist in the opening two games.

Quick’s former backup goaltender Martin Jones was stellar in Game 2 stopping 26 of 27 shots en route to the Game 2 victory.

Want a crazy betting stat for this contest? The underdog has gone 7-0 in the previous seven meetings between the Kings and Sharks.

Game ID: 
727843
League: 

Tottenham Can Close Gap Monday

Erik Lamela Tottenham Hotspur Premier League

Don’t hand Leicester City the Premier League title just yet. Tottenham Hotspur can make up some ground on the Foxes with a win at Stoke Monday afternoon after the league leaders salvaged a draw against West Ham Sunday.

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MLB Focus: More OVERs in Cards' Future?

The St. Louis Cardinals entered Monday with an MLB leading 85 runs scored — 14 more than any other team. Their 7.08 runs per game is 1.16 more than any other team, and realistically, it’s not a mark they’ll keep pace with considering the Blue Jays’ 5.45 runs per game last season was the highest number in five years, but should bettors give extra consideration to the OVER in Cards’ games going forward?

Yes they should, especially in the near future.

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Can the Rockets Bounce Back in Game 2?

It was the men against the boys in Game 1 of Golden State’s first-round series against Houston, and barring a miracle, things will likely continue to trend that way. The Warriors manhandled the Rockets 104-78 while easily covering the spread as 13-point favorites. Game 2 gets underway at Oracle Arena tonight, but the Dubs may have a different look to them.

Shark Bites
  • The Warriors are 21-2 SU in their last 23 games with one day off between games.
  • The Rockets are 2-6 SU in their last eight games on the road.
  • The Rockets are 1-13 SU in their last 14 games against the Warriors.

Sharpshooter Stephen Curry is listed as questionable for the affair with an ankle injury he suffered in Game 1. Curry didn’t practice on Sunday and was undergoing treatment instead. Curry sat three times in the regular season, and the Warriors went 2-1 SU and 0-3 ATS during that span. One of those games was against the Rockets, but the Warriors still managed to win by a score of 114-110.

If Curry can’t go, Shaun Livingston will start in his place. How bad was Houston’s performance on Saturday? The Rockets trailed 33-15 after one quarter and were down 27 after 24 minutes. Houston is now 1-4 in its previous five versus Golden State.

When labeled as road underdogs, the Rockets have been going below totals with ease. The UNDER is 5-0 in the Rockets’ last five as road dogs. Sportsbooks opened the total in the 218 ballpark tonight.

Game ID: 
728489
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Mavs Coming Off Worst Playoff Game Ever

Kevin Durant Oklahoma City Thunder NBA

The Oklahoma City Thunder absolutely owned the Dallas Mavericks in Game 1 of their Western Conference Quarterfinal series, but the Mavs will be out for revenge tonight when Game 2 tips off in OKC. The Thunder routed Dallas 108-70, marking their most lopsided postseason victory since the franchise moved from Seattle in 2008-09.

Shark Bites
  • The Mavericks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 14.0 or more.
  • The Thunder are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after a win.
  • The Mavericks are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six games after an ATS loss.

All-Stars Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook led the way before taking a seat in the fourth quarter. Westbrook finished with 24 points, 11 assists and five rebounds, while Durant complied 23 points, five assists and five boards. Dallas’ problems with the Thunder date back much further, evidenced by the Mavs allowing an average of 111.6 points on 48.4 percent shooting in the last five meetings between the squads.

When the Thunder are tabbed as big favorites, they have a habit of cashing in. Oklahoma City is 9-2 SU and 8-3 ATS in their previous 11 when favored by 14 points or less. Books opened OKC as 13-point faves for the affair.

Dallas could not get anything going on the offensive end in Game 1, a trend that will have to reverse itself if they want to have a chance of winning this game. The Mavs shot just 29.8 percent from the field in the contest – the fewest points they’ve ever scored in the playoffs.

Game ID: 
728488
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Runs Plentiful in Cubs, Cards Rivalry

Cubs Cardinals

The Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals will renew their heated rivalry when the two clubs start a three-game series at Busch Stadium Monday. Pitchers have gotten shelled when the Cubs and Cards clash, which has led to the OVER hitting in 10 of the past 13 matchups between the teams.

There may be a little extra motivation for John Lackey, who will be making his first career start against the Cardinals after spending the last two seasons with the team before signing with the Cubs. Lackey enjoyed his trips to the mound at Busch Stadium, as the right-hander went 11-4 with a 2.03 ERA in St. Louis as a member of the Cards.

Mike Leake will take the mound for the Cardinals after some mediocre outings so far this season. Leake has allowed eight earned runs in 10.1 innings so far this season while giving up four walks. The new addition to the Cardinals rotation has fared well against the Cubs with a 3.15 ERA in 19 starts against the team.

Game ID: 
721722
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Trends Dramatically Favor Stars Tonight

As if being in a 0-2 series hole isn’t bad enough, the Minnesota Wild have absolutely nothing working in their favor entering tonight’s Game 3 at home vs Dallas. The Wild have lost seven straight games and playing at home isn’t even a silver lining for this team as they’re an awful 7-14 in their last 21 home games. How did this team make even make the playoffs?

The piling on continues — Minnesota is 2-8 in their last 10 games as underdogs and are 0-6 in their last six games after a loss. They’re also 0-5 in their last five games when losing the previous game in a matchup, 0-4 in their last four games with a day off between games, AND 0-5 in their last five games after consecutive losses.

If you think the Wild’s horror story will have a happy ending, you’ve likely been watching too much fiction as Dallas is the complete opposite of the nightmare in Minnesota. The Stars are 8-1 in their last nine games, 8-2 in their last 10 games after a win, and 7-0 in their last seven games after winning the previous game in a matchup. So, yeah…

With all these trends working for them and against the Wild, the stars have truly aligned for Dallas (and whoever bets on them). You know what to do.

Game ID: 
727842
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Raps Have Lost 7 Straight Playoff Games

Paul George DeMar DeRozan

With Game 2 of the Toronto Raptors-Indiana Pacers series set to get underway on Monday, one team will be looking for a much better effort while the other will be attempting to keep the train rolling. The No. 7 seeded Pacers, who took Game 1 by a score of 100-90, completely dominated the second seeded Raptors in nearly every facet of the game.

Shark Bites
  • The Raptors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 7.0 or more.
  • The total has gone OVER in eight of the Pacers' last 10 games with a closing total of 193.0 or less.
  • The Raptors are 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games after an ATS loss.

A big reason for the Pacers’ triumph was the play of Paul George. Tasked with guarding Raps’ All-Star DeMar DeRozan, George embarrassed DeRozan to the tune of 33 points, six assists, four rebounds and four steals. DeRozan could not get anything going on the offensive end either, finishing five-for-19 from the field in his team’s underwhelming performance.

If Toronto is going to even up the series tonight, they’ll need a considerably better performance from their star players. Kyle Lowry also had an off game, going three-for-13 from the field and four-for-nine from the free throw line. It’s going to be interesting to see if Raptors head coach Dwane Casey will lift the minutes restriction of small forward DeMarre Carroll, who’s recovering from a knee injury. If he does, expect the Dinos’ defense to improve tenfold.

The Pacers have traditionally been solid in this spot. In their last nine, Indiana is 8-1 SU after winning as an underdog.

Game ID: 
728487
League: 

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