Two teams in the heat of the National League Wild Card race hook up tonight as the Cardinals and Dodgers kick off a three-game series in St. Louis. The Cards appear to be offering good value at home as +107 underdogs for the contest. They’ve been a profitable bet as underdogs lately, going 8-2 in their last 10 as dogs.
Michael Wacha takes the hill for the Cards, but he’s actually been a bit worse at home this season, posting a 4.85 ERA in 10 starts at Busch Stadium, compared to a 4.02 ERA in nine road starts. This Dodgers lineup has had their way with Wacha, combining to hit .306 in 62 at-bats.
Brandon McCarthy will hope to continue the strong start he’s had to his season after returning from injury. In his three starts this season, all coming in this month, he’s 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA. In two of the starts, he didn’t allow a run.
Going OVER with Wacha on the mound has been the norm for St. Louis, as they’ve gone OVER in 11 of his last 13 starts. The Dodgers, meanwhile, have gone OVER in four straight vs teams with winning records. The total for tonight’s game is set at eight runs.