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2017 AFL Grand Final Betting Preview

The biggest week on the Aussie football calendar is here, with the 2017 AFL Grand Final set to be played on Saturday between the Adelaide Crows and the Richmond Tigers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.

The Crows booked their place in their first decider in 19 years by eliminating the Geelong Cats by 61 points in last Friday’s preliminary final while the Tigers ended a 35-year Grand Final drought with a six-goal win over the Greater Western Sydney Giants the following day.

The Minor Premier Adelaide side are set to go into the biggest sporting event on the calendar as $1.70 (-143) favorites despite the match being played at Richmond’s home ground, with the hosts out at $2.20 (+120).

The confidence from punters comes from the fact that the South Australian club were simply irrepressible in the Grand Final qualifier, jumping out to a 31-point lead at the first change before coasting to a 10-goal win.

One of the men who was able to hit the scoreboard in the big win was small forward Charlie Cameron, who finished with five majors, which has seen his odds for the Norm Smith Medal – best player in the match – come into $26 (+2500).

The favorite for this medal is Richmond’s Dustin Martin ($4.75 or +375), who capped off an amazing year on Monday night, when he was awarded the Brownlow Medal, an honor presented to the league’s “fairest and best” player for the season.

Online bookmaker Sportsbet reported on Tuesday that more than 20 percent of the money they hold for the Norm Smith Medal is on “Dusty,” which is more than three times the amount compared to the second favorite, Adelaide midfielder Matt Crouch, who’s listed at $8 (+700). 

The sentimental favorite – especially in the Victorian capital – is Richmond, who will run out onto the hallowed turf of the MCG on Saturday for the first time in a “Big Dance” since 1982, and are aiming to hold the cup aloft for the first time since 1980.

The game pits the league’s best attack, Adelaide, who average nearly 110 points per game, against the league’s third-best defense, Richmond, who conceded an average of 76 points per game this season and allowed just two opposition scores of 100 points or more, which is the fewest of any team.

The last time these sides met was way back in Round 6, when the Crows handed the Tigers a 76-point thumping, their biggest defeat of the season. These clubs haven’t met at this venue since Round 12, 2013, when the Tigers ran out comfortable winners, by 38 points.

The venue will play a huge part in the outcome of this game. The Tigers have played at the home of football 13 times this season, for 11 wins, including two finals this campaign, while the Crows have played here just three times, for two wins and a draw.

I like the locals to break their 37-year Premiership drought, which is the fourth longest in the league, and send the Tiger Army into raptures.

Suggested Bet: Richmond to win at $2.20 or +120

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