In Wednesday's night clash in the second leg of the Round of 16, Real Madrid is at home in the Spanish capital with a slight edge over Lyon but a significant edge in the Real Madrid vs Lyon odds.
They not only have the edge since they are at home and big betting favorites, but they have an edge in points since they scored a crucial away goal in the 1-1 first leg in France.
Bet365 has Real Madrid favored in this match posted at -285 with Lyon at +675 and a draw at +375. The Over/Under odds for this match are Over 2.5 goals (-166) and Under 2.5 goals (+120).
Since Real Madrid has the advantage with the away goal Lyon president Jean Michel Aulas stated that he thinks Real Madrid head coach Jose Mourinho will play a very defensive game to try to get a 0-0 draw. That will put the Spanish giants in the round of 8 and also exact some revenge on Lyon, who booted them from the Champions league last season.
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Real Madrid striker Karim Benzema, who scored the goal in France, thinks that his team will be on the attack in the match. Either way Lyon will have to push forward on offense in this match, as they must score to progress.
Lyon will be dealing with a Real Madrid team that is playing well and since the first leg they have won 3 La Liga matches and played to one draw and in that span they have scored 12 goals and only given up 1. However, Lyon has been playing well with 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 3 matches scoring 8 goals and only giving up 1.
Madrid won the time of possession battle in the first leg (59% to 41%), but Lyon had more shots (14-9) with each team having 3 shots on goal. Lyon may not get many chances to score if Real Madrid drops back on defense.
Lyon Fw Bafetimbi Gomis scored the equalizer against real in the first leg and he will have to pressure Real G Iker Casillas. However, I think the key will be in the midfield, as with Xabi Alonso and Kaka roaming for Madrid it will hard for the French power to garner many scoring chances.
It may actually be better for Lyon if strikers Cristiano Ronaldo and Benzima push the attack for Real Madrid, as they can look for counter-attacking chances. Ronaldo is recovering from injury, but should be match fir for this huge encounter.
Lyon scored at home in the first leg, but I do not see that happening in this match, as Casillas will keep a clean sheet and they will advance to the next round of the Champions League.
Tuesday Match Odds at Bet365
Beyern Munich -117
Inter Milan +280
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over (-117) Under (-117)
Manchester United -200
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over (-105) Under (-133)
Wednesday Match Odds at Bet365
FC Copenhagen +800
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over (-142) Under (Even)