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Premier League Preview: Week 10

The top five teams in the English Premier League are about as close as you could ask for as we approach Week 10 and with four of the five teams that currently reside in the top quarter of the table facing an opponent outside the top 10 this week, it will be tough for any squad to create significant separation.

Here’s a look at the current top five:

Top five teams in the English Premier League
TeamGamesWinsDrawsLossesGoals ForGoals AgainstPoints
1. Manchester City962120920
2. Arsenal962119920
3. Liverpool9621201120
4. Chelsea961219919
5. Tottenham954013419

The top three teams in the league have identical records but Man City claims the top spot on goal differential. Arsenal has the most winnable game on the slate this week as they make a trip to North England to take on a Sunderland squad that has managed just two points in nine matches. This bodes incredibly well for the Gunners to end the week on top of the table.

Tottenham is the only team to still have a zero in the loss column and will expect their clean sheet in the category to continue this week when they host the defending league champs as Leicester City continues their unimpressive title defense bid. Spurs look like the most well-rounded team in the EPL but have lacked the clinical scoring touch of the teams above them with Harry Kane still sidelined. The four goals they’ve allowed is the fewest of any team through nine so they’ll be praying Kane’s recovery is done and dusted as soon as possible.

Fixtures of the Week

All in all, a pretty awful week for matchups. It’s a lot of the top playing the bottom and the middle teams jockeying for position. Saturday’s slate is pure garbage and the only two matches I’m slightly interested in – for entertainment purposes – are Tottenham vs Leicester and Watford vs Hull City. I’ll be watching Spurs because I’m a fan but it could honestly be one of the most boring games on the schedule and could easily end 1-0 or even 0-0. The Watford vs Hull game, however, should be as entertaining as hell. The Hornets have been filling the net and Hull is dreadfully bad. If you’re betting OVERs, this is the match to do it on.

Tottenham vs Leicester City 
TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Tottenham-1 (EVEN)-1652.5 (-125) OVER
Leicester City+1 (-125)+4252.5 (EVEN) UNDER
Draw +305 

Odds as of October 27 at Bovada

Watford vs Hull City
TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Watford -1 (+130)-1402.5 (EVEN) OVER
Hull City+1 (-160)+3902.5 (-125) UNDER
Draw +265 

Odds as of October 27 at Bovada

Sunday’s games are a little better as we have the overachieving Everton Toffees playing the underachieving West Ham Hammers and Chelsea traveling to Southampton. The boys from Stamford Bridge have an excellent shot at taking the league trophy this year and the Saints have some of my favorite international players in today’s game. I’m hoping for a wide-open affair on the South Coast of England and am predicting a 3-1 result for Chelsea.

Everton vs West Ham
TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Everton-1 (+135)-1303 (+115) OVER
West Ham United+1 (-160)+3353 (-140) UNDER
Draw +285 

Odds as of October 27 at Bovada

Southampton vs Chelsea
TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
SouthamptonPick (+115)+2002.5 (-105) OVER
ChelseaPick (-140)+1352.5 (-120) UNDER
Draw +230 

Odds as of October 27 at Bovada

Bets of the Week 

For the sake of continuity, all my picks this week will be from games I'll actually be watching. 

Tottenham vs Leicester City UNDER 2.5 (EVEN): Leicester's 4-4-2 formation has become stale and predictable and it will be going against a Tottenham side this weekend that we've already established is the best defensive club in the Premier League. Spurs have scored one or no goals in five of their last six matches and will definitely not be potting three of their own on Saturday. 

Watford vs Hull City OVER 2.5 (EVEN): This one's simple. Hull City has allowed 19 goals in their last five EPL matches, in which they've earned zero points. I like Watford to score at least two or three on their own and Hull could even pop a couple against a suspect backline. 

Chelsea Moneyline (+135): Chelsea is weirdly getting little respect from bookmakers on most fronts. They are +500 to win the league, compared with the +125 odds currently being laid by Manchester City. Antonio Conte has his club playing as a cohesive unit despite several injuries to key guys and could get his team amped enough to steamroll the Saints on their home pitch. I might even be betting some Asian handicaps on this one to give Chelsea a couple of goals to improve their value this week. 

Happy betting everyone!

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