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MLB Baseball - Money Lost

The worst pitcher to bet on in Major League Baseball this year might surprise you.

Because it might be a solid starter, who happens to have struggled with his form lately or has been the victim of poor run support.

Check out the Pitcher Money Lost charts here at OddsShark.com as part of your handicapping regime. The data factors in making the same $100 wager on the pitcher every time he starts, regardless of the odds. (more below)

Previous Seasons:
Pitcher Games Money Lost ERA
Jeff Samardzija | Log 32 -1321 2.88
Vidal Nuno | Log 27 -1264 4.60
Nathan Eovaldi | Log 32 -1179 4.53
Brandon Workman | Log 15 -1057 5.17
Jake Peavy | Log 31 -879 3.78
Robbie Ross | Log 12 -874 6.42
Edwin Jackson | Log 27 -852 6.31
Hector Santiago | Log 23 -837 3.98
Brandon McCarthy | Log 31 -772 3.93
Kevin Correia | Log 26 -732 5.38
Mike Leake | Log 32 -721 3.86
Mike Bolsinger | Log 9 -686 5.50
Jhoulys Chacin | Log 11 -682 5.40
Jose Quintana | Log 31 -664 3.22
Jake Odorizzi | Log 30 -663 3.98
Charlie Morton | Log 26 -634 3.72
Josh Tomlin | Log 16 -616 4.76
AJ Burnett | Log 33 -600 4.56
Ricky Nolasco | Log 26 -578 5.47
Tyler Matzek | Log 19 -567 4.05
Alex Wood | Log 23 -565 2.78
Yovani Gallardo | Log 31 -559 3.46
Trevor Cahill | Log 16 -558 5.38
Hiroki Kuroda | Log 31 -555 3.77
Eric Stults | Log 31 -532 4.42
Jeremy Hellickson | Log 12 -529 3.96
Matt Cain | Log 15 -526 4.38
Tony Cingrani | Log 11 -521 4.55
Raphael Montero | Log 7 -521 4.39
Yohan Flande | Log 9 -520 4.91
Michael Wacha | Log 18 -508 3.18
Wade Miley | Log 32 -503 4.35
Miles Mikolas | Log 10 -491 6.44
Mat Latos | Log 16 -487 3.25
Alex Cobb | Log 25 -485 2.82
David Phelps | Log 17 -480 4.54
Drew Smyly | Log 25 -460 3.24
Ubaldo Jimenez | Log 21 -453 4.90
Robbie Ray | Log 6 -443 6.83
Nick Martinez | Log 22 -436 4.85
Daniel Straily | Log 8 -432 6.88
Scott Feldman | Log 28 -412 3.82
Brad Peacock | Log 23 -409 4.82
Brad Hand | Log 15 -408 4.59
Rubby De La Rosa | Log 18 -408 4.50
Tsuyoshi wada | Log 12 -406 3.22
Joe Saunders | Log 8 -404 7.02
Tyler Lyons | Log 4 -400 4.75
Logan Darnell | Log 4 -400 7.12
Clay Buchholz | Log 26 -398 5.29
Mike Minor | Log 25 -395 4.77
Blake Treinen | Log 6 -372 1.94
Aaron Harang | Log 32 -372 3.60
Homer Bailey | Log 23 -351 3.71
Dustin McGowan | Log 8 -347 4.09
Stephen Strasburg | Log 33 -333 3.23
David Buchanan | Log 19 -330 3.77
Josh Beckett | Log 20 -325 2.96
Matt Garza | Log 27 -324 3.64
Brandon Maurer | Log 7 -308 4.81
Jimmy Nelson | Log 11 -308 4.57
Taylor Jordan | Log 5 -306 5.61
Zach McAllister | Log 15 -301 5.51
Christian Friedrich | Log 3 -300 6.35
Lucas Harrell | Log 3 -300 9.49
Carlos Villanueva | Log 5 -293 4.64
Jason Vargas | Log 29 -288 3.74
Francisco Liriano | Log 28 -287 3.32
R.A. Dickey | Log 32 -286 3.82
Carroll Scott | Log 18 -284 5.24
C.J. Wilson | Log 30 -276 4.61
Brandon Morrow | Log 6 -268 5.57
Franklin Morales | Log 22 -266 5.20
Ervin Santana | Log 30 -257 3.88
Cesar Ramos | Log 7 -255 3.84
Erasmo Ramirez | Log 14 -255 5.15
Scott Baker | Log 7 -245 5.52
Jason Hammel | Log 28 -238 3.54
Paul Maholm | Log 8 -233 4.84
Michael Pineda | Log 12 -233 1.93
Matt Harrison | Log 4 -229 4.15
Drew Hutchison | Log 31 -225 4.51
Felipe Paulino | Log 4 -225 11.29
Dan Haren | Log 31 -222 4.03
Danny Duffy | Log 24 -217 2.32
John Danks | Log 31 -210 4.82
Tanner Scheppers | Log 4 -208 9.00
Wandy Rodriguez | Log 6 -208 6.75
Dylan Axelrod | Log 4 -204 3.12
Matt Moore | Log 2 -200 2.70
Dallas Beeler | Log 2 -200 3.27
Jake Buchanan | Log 2 -200 5.06
Daniel Corcino | Log 2 -200 4.39
Wade LeBlanc | Log 2 -200 5.24
Carlos Frias | Log 2 -200 6.75
Brett Anderson | Log 8 -190 2.91
Carlos Carrasco | Log 13 -186 2.64
Roenis Elias | Log 29 -182 3.85
Zack Greinke | Log 30 -181 2.76
Julio Teheran | Log 32 -180 2.88
Tyson Ross | Log 31 -172 2.81
Randy Wolf | Log 4 -168 5.26
Andrew Heaney | Log 4 -162 5.33
Drew Pomeranz | Log 10 -152 2.35
Colby Lewis | Log 28 -149 5.35
Sonny Gray | Log 31 -146 3.28
Trevor May | Log 8 -144 8.39
Chris Capuano | Log 11 -138 4.67
Danny Salazar | Log 19 -133 4.02
CC Sabathia | Log 8 -132 5.28
Robbie Erlin | Log 9 -131 4.53
Tim Stauffer | Log 3 -123 3.66
Jordan Lyles | Log 21 -123 4.15
Samuel Deduno | Log 8 -123 4.66
Cliff Lee | Log 13 -122 3.65
Dillon Gee | Log 21 -118 3.88
Brett Oberholtzer | Log 23 -115 4.39
Erik Bedard | Log 15 -112 4.88
Aaron Brooks | Log 1 -100 43.82
Brian Flynn | Log 1 -100 9.00
Rudy Owens | Log 1 -100 7.94
Zeke Spruill | Log 1 -100 3.38
Donn Roach | Log 1 -100 4.75
Bryan Mitchell | Log 1 -100 2.57
Matt Belisle | Log 1 -100 5.14
Jason Lane | Log 1 -100 0.87
Phil Irwin | Log 1 -100 6.75
Carlos Torres | Log 1 -100 3.02
Blake Beaven | Log 1 -100 4.50
Billy Buckner | Log 1 -100 4.76
Josh Lindblom | Log 1 -100 3.85
Joe Wieland | Log 1 -100 9.00
Jeff Francis | Log 1 -100 5.85
Tom Wilhelmsen | Log 1 -100 2.10
Pedro Hernandez | Log 1 -100 4.76
Charles Leesman | Log 1 -100 20.22
Stephen Fife | Log 1 -100 6.00
Drew Verhagen | Log 1 -100 5.40
Kris Johnson | Log 3 -99 4.73
Jamie Garcia | Log 7 -98 4.12
Shelby Miller | Log 30 -95 3.68
Ian Kennedy | Log 32 -92 3.76
Jacob Turner | Log 17 -90 6.00
David Price | Log 32 -88 3.41
Anthony Swarzak | Log 3 -72 4.52
Jacob deGrom | Log 22 -71 2.69
Yusmeiro Petit | Log 11 -70 3.63
JA Happ | Log 25 -66 4.33
Trevor Bauer | Log 25 -65 4.18
Brandon Cumpton | Log 10 -64 4.89
Fausto Carmona | Log 28 -63 4.08
Anthony DeSclafani | Log 5 -57 6.61
Anibal Sanchez | Log 21 -55 3.53
Christian Bergman | Log 9 -45 5.29
Taijuan Walker | Log 4 -43 3.00
Marcus Stroman | Log 20 -40 3.69
Tyler Chatwood | Log 4 -37 4.50
Justin Verlander | Log 31 -34 4.68
Ivan Nova | Log 4 -34 8.27
Jair Jurrjens | Log 2 -22 10.60
Michael Pelfrey | Log 5 -18 7.99
Marco Gonzales | Log 5 -13 4.70
Eddie Butler | Log 2 -12 5.56
Buck Farmer | Log 2 -11 12.97
Jonathan Pettibone | Log 2 -8 9.00
Zack Wheeler | Log 31 -5 3.39
Sean O'Sullivan | Log 2 -1 6.39

The Cy Young award candidate might be the one of the worst pitchers to bet on this season. How can that be?
 
If he is a solid pitcher (or on a popular team), he is probably favored every time he starts. When he wins, your profit on that victory is smaller than if you bet on an underdog team.

Meanwhile, every time he loses, your bankroll shrinks by the full $100 per game (in our example).

It can mean that the mediocre pitcher with the 7-11 record has been a better bet because he pays out a bigger profit on the games he wins (because he is an underdog).

Consider this Worst Pitchers to bet on list and also consider the Pitcher Run Support charts when looking for an edge this baseball season. Again, that Cy Young candidate might play on an offensively challenged team, meaning his run support per game may be very low. He will lose some 2-1 games and some 3-2 games when he should be winning. He will be facing the aces of the opposing team’s pitching staff each outing, making his job that much harder.

Here at Odds Shark, we break out the pitchers who have lost the most money for bettors from the winners in separate charts. If you don’t see your favorite pitchers on the Money Lost list, he’ll be on the Money Won list.

It’s true that starting pitchers are the biggest handicapping consideration for anyone looking to bet on baseball. You might also look at the umpire stats to see if the home plate umpire for tonight’s game seems to call more strikeouts or walks.

But knowing which pitchers are traditionally moneyline winners is more important than knowing which ones are game winners. See today’s baseball odds on the probable pitchers list here at Odds Shark.