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MLB Baseball - Money Lost

The worst pitcher to bet on in Major League Baseball this year might surprise you.

Because it might be a solid starter, who happens to have struggled with his form lately or has been the victim of poor run support.

Check out the Pitcher Money Lost charts here at OddsShark.com as part of your handicapping regime. The data factors in making the same $100 wager on the pitcher every time he starts, regardless of the odds. (more below)

Previous Seasons:
Pitcher Games Money Lost ERA
Jake Peavy | Log 25 -1233 4.48
Jeff Samardzija | Log 26 -1046 3.27
Vidal Nuno | Log 22 -970 4.79
Tyler Matzek | Log 13 -872 5.38
Hector Santiago | Log 18 -854 3.38
Jose Quintana | Log 26 -760 3.25
Edwin Jackson | Log 26 -752 6.02
Clay Buchholz | Log 21 -737 5.94
Charlie Morton | Log 25 -688 3.84
Mike Bolsinger | Log 9 -686 5.50
Drew Smyly | Log 22 -686 3.42
Brandon McCarthy | Log 26 -685 4.01
Jhoulys Chacin | Log 11 -682 5.40
Robbie Ross | Log 10 -674 6.06
Brandon Workman | Log 11 -657 4.26
Miles Mikolas | Log 9 -653 7.48
Kevin Correia | Log 25 -632 4.81
Josh Tomlin | Log 16 -616 4.35
Yohan Flande | Log 8 -603 5.52
Raphael Montero | Log 6 -600 5.24
Nathan Eovaldi | Log 26 -579 4.17
Alex Wood | Log 18 -566 3.05
Mike Leake | Log 26 -564 3.70
Michael Wacha | Log 15 -562 2.79
Ubaldo Jimenez | Log 20 -551 4.83
Matt Cain | Log 15 -526 4.38
Tony Cingrani | Log 11 -521 4.55
Jake Odorizzi | Log 25 -505 3.83
David Phelps | Log 17 -480 4.40
AJ Burnett | Log 27 -479 4.42
Robbie Ray | Log 6 -443 7.09
Daniel Straily | Log 8 -432 5.36
Hiroki Kuroda | Log 25 -424 3.97
Stephen Strasburg | Log 27 -421 3.41
Joe Saunders | Log 8 -404 6.13
Tyler Lyons | Log 4 -400 5.79
Scott Baker | Log 4 -400 5.75
Shelby Miller | Log 24 -374 4.25
Homer Bailey | Log 23 -351 3.71
R.A. Dickey | Log 27 -349 4.08
Mat Latos | Log 13 -348 2.99
Dustin McGowan | Log 8 -347 4.09
Francisco Liriano | Log 22 -342 4.18
Zack Greinke | Log 25 -329 2.75
Eric Stults | Log 25 -329 4.53
Josh Beckett | Log 20 -325 2.96
Justin Verlander | Log 25 -323 4.76
Chris Capuano | Log 5 -312 4.35
Matt Garza | Log 23 -308 3.58
Brandon Maurer | Log 7 -308 5.02
Taylor Jordan | Log 5 -306 5.61
Franklin Morales | Log 18 -300 5.32
Lucas Harrell | Log 3 -300 9.49
Christian Friedrich | Log 3 -300 9.45
Nick Martinez | Log 17 -296 5.13
Dillon Gee | Log 16 -295 3.84
Carlos Villanueva | Log 5 -293 4.77
Danny Salazar | Log 13 -286 4.79
C.J. Wilson | Log 23 -283 4.59
Ian Kennedy | Log 26 -276 3.72
Felix Doubront | Log 10 -276 6.07
Blake Treinen | Log 5 -272 2.35
Brandon Morrow | Log 6 -268 5.93
Brad Peacock | Log 19 -261 5.30
Cesar Ramos | Log 7 -255 3.78
Trevor Cahill | Log 11 -245 4.54
Marcus Stroman | Log 15 -244 4.11
Brad Hand | Log 11 -244 4.52
Michael Pineda | Log 6 -238 2.05
Paul Maholm | Log 8 -233 4.84
Matt Harrison | Log 4 -229 4.15
Felipe Paulino | Log 4 -225 11.29
Tanner Scheppers | Log 4 -208 9.00
Wandy Rodriguez | Log 6 -208 6.75
Zach McAllister | Log 14 -201 5.91
Dallas Beeler | Log 2 -200 3.27
Matt Moore | Log 2 -200 2.70
Jake Buchanan | Log 2 -200 4.18
Trevor May | Log 2 -200 9.00
Logan Darnell | Log 2 -200 8.25
Jacob deGrom | Log 16 -197 2.87
Robbie Erlin | Log 8 -194 4.53
Ricky Nolasco | Log 20 -194 5.96
Wade Miley | Log 27 -194 4.29
Collin McHugh | Log 19 -190 3.00
Brett Anderson | Log 8 -190 2.91
Danny Duffy | Log 20 -185 2.53
Randy Wolf | Log 4 -168 5.26
Andrew Heaney | Log 4 -162 6.53
Alex Cobb | Log 20 -157 3.01
Erasmo Ramirez | Log 13 -155 4.06
Rubby De La Rosa | Log 13 -148 3.69
CC Sabathia | Log 8 -132 5.28
Tim Stauffer | Log 3 -123 3.86
Marco Gonzales | Log 3 -123 7.07
Samuel Deduno | Log 8 -123 4.46
Cliff Lee | Log 13 -122 3.65
Cole Hamels | Log 23 -122 2.53
Tyson Ross | Log 27 -117 2.68
Colby Lewis | Log 23 -114 5.54
Tsuyoshi wada | Log 7 -113 2.75
Erik Bedard | Log 15 -112 4.88
Drew Pomeranz | Log 8 -111 2.91
Taijuan Walker | Log 3 -109 3.60
Carlos Carrasco | Log 7 -102 3.14
Aaron Brooks | Log 1 -100 43.82
Zeke Spruill | Log 1 -100 4.82
Jason Lane | Log 1 -100 0.87
Rudy Owens | Log 1 -100 7.94
Carlos Torres | Log 1 -100 3.42
Blake Beaven | Log 1 -100 4.50
Matt Belisle | Log 1 -100 4.89
Drew Verhagen | Log 1 -100 5.40
Tom Wilhelmsen | Log 1 -100 2.15
Phil Irwin | Log 1 -100 6.75
Donn Roach | Log 1 -100 4.75
Pedro Hernandez | Log 1 -100 4.76
Josh Lindblom | Log 1 -100 3.85
Eddie Butler | Log 1 -100 10.13
Jeff Francis | Log 1 -100 5.85
Dylan Axelrod | Log 1 -100 3.00
Brian Flynn | Log 1 -100 9.00
Charles Leesman | Log 1 -100 20.22
Billy Buckner | Log 1 -100 4.76
Stephen Fife | Log 1 -100 6.00
Kris Johnson | Log 3 -99 4.73
Jamie Garcia | Log 7 -98 4.12
Scott Feldman | Log 23 -97 4.37
Odrisamer Despaigne | Log 11 -96 3.44
Roenis Elias | Log 24 -94 4.09
Mike Minor | Log 20 -82 4.90
Carroll Scott | Log 14 -67 5.27
Chris Archer | Log 25 -64 3.17
Brandon Cumpton | Log 10 -64 5.01
Yovani Gallardo | Log 26 -59 3.38
Anthony DeSclafani | Log 5 -57 6.84
Anibal Sanchez | Log 21 -55 3.53
Aaron Harang | Log 26 -53 3.50
Yusmeiro Petit | Log 6 -51 3.79
Christian Bergman | Log 3 -47 7.20
Dan Haren | Log 26 -47 4.44
Tyler Chatwood | Log 4 -37 4.50
Ivan Nova | Log 4 -34 8.27
Jair Jurrjens | Log 2 -22 10.60
Michael Pelfrey | Log 5 -18 7.99
Andrew Cashner | Log 12 -16 2.36
Madison Bumgarner | Log 27 -15 3.17
Jimmy Nelson | Log 8 -8 4.15
Jonathan Pettibone | Log 2 -8 9.00
Jason Hammel | Log 24 -7 3.84
Sean O'Sullivan | Log 2 -1 6.94

The Cy Young award candidate might be the one of the worst pitchers to bet on this season. How can that be?
 
If he is a solid pitcher (or on a popular team), he is probably favored every time he starts. When he wins, your profit on that victory is smaller than if you bet on an underdog team.

Meanwhile, every time he loses, your bankroll shrinks by the full $100 per game (in our example).

It can mean that the mediocre pitcher with the 7-11 record has been a better bet because he pays out a bigger profit on the games he wins (because he is an underdog).

Consider this Worst Pitchers to bet on list and also consider the Pitcher Run Support charts when looking for an edge this baseball season. Again, that Cy Young candidate might play on an offensively challenged team, meaning his run support per game may be very low. He will lose some 2-1 games and some 3-2 games when he should be winning. He will be facing the aces of the opposing team’s pitching staff each outing, making his job that much harder.

Here at Odds Shark, we break out the pitchers who have lost the most money for bettors from the winners in separate charts. If you don’t see your favorite pitchers on the Money Lost list, he’ll be on the Money Won list.

It’s true that starting pitchers are the biggest handicapping consideration for anyone looking to bet on baseball. You might also look at the umpire stats to see if the home plate umpire for tonight’s game seems to call more strikeouts or walks.

But knowing which pitchers are traditionally moneyline winners is more important than knowing which ones are game winners. See today’s baseball odds on the probable pitchers list here at Odds Shark.