MLB Baseball - Money Lost

The worst pitcher to bet on in Major League Baseball this year might surprise you.

Because it might be a solid starter, who happens to have struggled with his form lately or has been the victim of poor run support.

Check out the Pitcher Money Lost charts here at OddsShark.com as part of your handicapping regime. The data factors in making the same $100 wager on the pitcher every time he starts, regardless of the odds. (more below)

Previous Seasons:
Pitcher Games Money Lost ERA
Jeff Samardzija | Log 33 -1421 2.99
Vidal Nuno | Log 28 -1364 4.56
Nathan Eovaldi | Log 33 -1279 4.46
Brandon Workman | Log 15 -1057 5.17
Robbie Ross | Log 12 -874 6.20
Brandon McCarthy | Log 32 -872 4.05
Edwin Jackson | Log 27 -852 6.27
Mike Leake | Log 33 -821 3.78
Jake Peavy | Log 32 -814 3.73
Jose Quintana | Log 32 -764 3.32
Jake Odorizzi | Log 31 -763 4.18
Kevin Correia | Log 26 -732 5.38
AJ Burnett | Log 34 -700 4.59
Mike Bolsinger | Log 9 -686 5.50
Jhoulys Chacin | Log 11 -682 5.40
Alex Wood | Log 24 -665 2.78
Hector Santiago | Log 24 -662 3.75
Yovani Gallardo | Log 32 -659 3.51
Trevor Cahill | Log 17 -658 5.45
Charlie Morton | Log 26 -634 3.72
Eric Stults | Log 32 -632 4.30
Jeremy Hellickson | Log 13 -629 4.52
Yohan Flande | Log 10 -620 5.19
Josh Tomlin | Log 16 -616 4.76
Clay Buchholz | Log 28 -598 5.34
Tyler Matzek | Log 19 -567 4.05
Matt Cain | Log 15 -526 4.38
Tony Cingrani | Log 11 -521 4.55
Scott Feldman | Log 29 -512 3.74
Brad Hand | Log 16 -508 4.38
Alex Cobb | Log 27 -508 2.87
Tsuyoshi wada | Log 13 -506 3.25
Miles Mikolas | Log 10 -491 6.44
Mat Latos | Log 16 -487 3.25
Hiroki Kuroda | Log 32 -480 3.71
David Phelps | Log 17 -480 4.54
Blake Treinen | Log 7 -472 2.49
Drew Smyly | Log 25 -460 3.24
Raphael Montero | Log 8 -452 4.06
Michael Wacha | Log 19 -446 3.20
Robbie Ray | Log 6 -443 7.85
Nick Martinez | Log 24 -441 4.55
Daniel Straily | Log 8 -432 6.75
David Buchanan | Log 20 -430 3.75
Ricky Nolasco | Log 27 -423 5.38
Jimmy Nelson | Log 12 -408 4.93
Rubby De La Rosa | Log 18 -408 4.43
Joe Saunders | Log 8 -404 6.70
Tyler Lyons | Log 4 -400 4.66
Logan Darnell | Log 4 -400 7.12
Mike Minor | Log 25 -395 4.77
Jason Vargas | Log 30 -388 3.85
Francisco Liriano | Log 29 -387 3.38
Carroll Scott | Log 19 -384 5.01
C.J. Wilson | Log 31 -376 4.51
Wade Miley | Log 33 -360 4.34
Ervin Santana | Log 31 -357 3.95
Homer Bailey | Log 23 -351 3.71
Dustin McGowan | Log 8 -347 4.17
Jason Hammel | Log 29 -338 3.47
Robbie Erlin | Log 11 -331 4.99
Josh Beckett | Log 20 -325 2.96
Matt Garza | Log 27 -324 3.64
Danny Duffy | Log 25 -317 2.53
Brandon Maurer | Log 7 -308 4.65
Taylor Jordan | Log 5 -306 5.61
Ubaldo Jimenez | Log 22 -305 4.81
Zach McAllister | Log 15 -301 5.23
Lucas Harrell | Log 3 -300 9.49
Christian Friedrich | Log 3 -300 5.92
Daniel Corcino | Log 3 -300 4.34
Carlos Villanueva | Log 5 -293 4.64
Stephen Strasburg | Log 34 -288 3.14
Carlos Carrasco | Log 14 -286 2.55
Brandon Morrow | Log 6 -268 5.67
Brad Peacock | Log 24 -268 4.72
Franklin Morales | Log 22 -266 5.38
Aaron Harang | Log 33 -262 3.57
Erasmo Ramirez | Log 14 -255 5.26
Cesar Ramos | Log 7 -255 3.70
Trevor May | Log 9 -244 7.88
Danny Salazar | Log 20 -233 4.25
Paul Maholm | Log 8 -233 4.84
Matt Harrison | Log 4 -229 4.15
Felipe Paulino | Log 4 -225 11.29
R.A. Dickey | Log 34 -224 3.71
Jordan Lyles | Log 22 -223 4.33
Samuel Deduno | Log 9 -223 4.47
Brett Oberholtzer | Log 24 -215 4.39
Tanner Scheppers | Log 4 -208 9.00
Wandy Rodriguez | Log 6 -208 6.75
Dylan Axelrod | Log 4 -204 2.95
Dallas Beeler | Log 2 -200 3.27
Jake Buchanan | Log 2 -200 4.58
Carlos Frias | Log 2 -200 6.12
Matt Moore | Log 2 -200 2.70
Shelby Miller | Log 31 -195 3.74
Sonny Gray | Log 33 -193 3.08
Brett Anderson | Log 8 -190 2.91
Roenis Elias | Log 29 -182 3.85
Tyson Ross | Log 31 -172 2.81
Dan Haren | Log 32 -171 4.02
Randy Wolf | Log 4 -168 5.26
Drew Pomeranz | Log 10 -152 2.35
Drew Hutchison | Log 32 -149 4.48
Christian Bergman | Log 10 -145 5.93
Taijuan Walker | Log 5 -143 2.61
Michael Pineda | Log 13 -135 1.89
CC Sabathia | Log 8 -132 5.28
Tim Stauffer | Log 3 -123 3.50
Cliff Lee | Log 13 -122 3.65
Eddie Butler | Log 3 -112 6.75
Erik Bedard | Log 15 -112 4.88
Zack Wheeler | Log 32 -105 3.45
Julio Teheran | Log 33 -105 2.89
Steven Wright | Log 1 -100 2.57
Billy Buckner | Log 1 -100 4.76
Pedro Hernandez | Log 1 -100 4.76
Jason Lane | Log 1 -100 0.87
Charles Leesman | Log 1 -100 20.22
Brian Flynn | Log 1 -100 9.00
Carlos Torres | Log 1 -100 3.06
Blake Beaven | Log 1 -100 4.50
Jeff Francis | Log 1 -100 5.85
Stephen Fife | Log 1 -100 6.00
Josh Lindblom | Log 1 -100 3.85
Matt Belisle | Log 1 -100 4.87
Taylor Hill | Log 1 -100 9.00
Zeke Spruill | Log 1 -100 3.57
Drew Verhagen | Log 1 -100 5.40
Aaron Brooks | Log 1 -100 43.82
Phil Irwin | Log 1 -100 6.75
Bryan Mitchell | Log 1 -100 2.45
Rudy Owens | Log 1 -100 7.94
Daniel Norris | Log 1 -100 5.41
Donn Roach | Log 1 -100 4.75
Kris Johnson | Log 3 -99 4.73
Jamie Garcia | Log 7 -98 4.12
Nick Tropeano | Log 4 -80 4.57
Jacob deGrom | Log 22 -71 2.69
Scott Baker | Log 8 -65 5.47
Brandon Cumpton | Log 10 -64 4.89
Cole Hamels | Log 30 -64 2.46
John Danks | Log 32 -62 4.74
Ryan Vogelsong | Log 32 -62 3.90
Nick Tepesch | Log 22 -57 4.50
Anthony DeSclafani | Log 5 -57 6.27
Zack Greinke | Log 32 -56 2.71
Anibal Sanchez | Log 21 -55 3.50
Wade LeBlanc | Log 3 -50 3.95
Chris Sale | Log 26 -46 2.17
Marcus Stroman | Log 20 -40 3.58
Tyler Chatwood | Log 4 -37 4.50
Ivan Nova | Log 4 -34 8.27
Andrew Chafin | Log 3 -34 3.86
Andrew Heaney | Log 5 -33 5.83
Cory Rasmus | Log 6 -27 2.57
Joe Wieland | Log 2 -24 7.15
Jair Jurrjens | Log 2 -22 10.60
Tom Wilhelmsen | Log 2 -20 2.27
Michael Pelfrey | Log 5 -18 7.99
Tim Hudson | Log 31 -17 3.57
Colby Lewis | Log 29 -16 5.18
Chris Capuano | Log 12 -13 4.35
David Price | Log 34 -13 3.30
Marco Gonzales | Log 5 -13 4.15
Buck Farmer | Log 2 -11 11.58
Jonathan Pettibone | Log 2 -8 9.00
Sean O'Sullivan | Log 2 -1 6.39

The Cy Young award candidate might be the one of the worst pitchers to bet on this season. How can that be?
 
If he is a solid pitcher (or on a popular team), he is probably favored every time he starts. When he wins, your profit on that victory is smaller than if you bet on an underdog team.

Meanwhile, every time he loses, your bankroll shrinks by the full $100 per game (in our example).

It can mean that the mediocre pitcher with the 7-11 record has been a better bet because he pays out a bigger profit on the games he wins (because he is an underdog).

Consider this Worst Pitchers to bet on list and also consider the Pitcher Run Support charts when looking for an edge this baseball season. Again, that Cy Young candidate might play on an offensively challenged team, meaning his run support per game may be very low. He will lose some 2-1 games and some 3-2 games when he should be winning. He will be facing the aces of the opposing team’s pitching staff each outing, making his job that much harder.

Here at Odds Shark, we break out the pitchers who have lost the most money for bettors from the winners in separate charts. If you don’t see your favorite pitchers on the Money Lost list, he’ll be on the Money Won list.

It’s true that starting pitchers are the biggest handicapping consideration for anyone looking to bet on baseball. You might also look at the umpire stats to see if the home plate umpire for tonight’s game seems to call more strikeouts or walks.

But knowing which pitchers are traditionally moneyline winners is more important than knowing which ones are game winners. See today’s baseball odds on the probable pitchers list here at Odds Shark.