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MLB Baseball - Money Lost

The worst pitcher to bet on in Major League Baseball this year might surprise you.

Because it might be a solid starter, who happens to have struggled with his form lately or has been the victim of poor run support.

Check out the Pitcher Money Lost charts here at OddsShark.com as part of your handicapping regime. The data factors in making the same $100 wager on the pitcher every time he starts, regardless of the odds. (more below)

Previous Seasons:
Pitcher Games Money Lost ERA
Jake Peavy | Log 27 -1239 4.15
Jeff Samardzija | Log 28 -1086 3.14
Vidal Nuno | Log 24 -964 4.46
Brandon McCarthy | Log 28 -885 4.19
Hector Santiago | Log 19 -788 3.28
Nathan Eovaldi | Log 28 -779 4.29
Robbie Ross | Log 11 -774 5.63
Jose Quintana | Log 28 -766 3.44
Brandon Workman | Log 12 -757 4.93
Edwin Jackson | Log 26 -752 6.02
Kevin Correia | Log 26 -732 5.06
Charlie Morton | Log 25 -688 3.84
Mike Bolsinger | Log 9 -686 5.50
Jhoulys Chacin | Log 11 -682 5.40
Josh Tomlin | Log 16 -616 4.40
Alex Wood | Log 20 -604 2.92
Yohan Flande | Log 8 -603 5.52
Raphael Montero | Log 6 -600 5.24
Drew Smyly | Log 23 -591 3.31
Michael Wacha | Log 15 -562 2.79
Tyler Matzek | Log 15 -557 4.75
Ubaldo Jimenez | Log 20 -551 4.96
Mike Leake | Log 28 -547 3.43
Francisco Liriano | Log 24 -542 3.91
Jake Odorizzi | Log 27 -541 4.03
Eric Stults | Log 27 -529 4.56
Matt Cain | Log 15 -526 4.38
Tony Cingrani | Log 11 -521 4.55
Nick Martinez | Log 19 -496 5.14
Miles Mikolas | Log 10 -491 6.44
Clay Buchholz | Log 23 -489 5.40
Hiroki Kuroda | Log 27 -481 3.88
David Phelps | Log 17 -480 4.40
AJ Burnett | Log 29 -459 4.40
R.A. Dickey | Log 28 -449 4.00
Robbie Ray | Log 6 -443 7.09
Daniel Straily | Log 8 -432 5.36
Joe Saunders | Log 8 -404 6.13
Franklin Morales | Log 19 -400 5.14
Trevor May | Log 4 -400 10.42
Tyler Lyons | Log 4 -400 4.96
Ricky Nolasco | Log 22 -394 5.96
Shelby Miller | Log 26 -389 4.19
Zack Greinke | Log 27 -367 2.72
Brad Peacock | Log 20 -361 5.13
Alex Cobb | Log 22 -357 2.98
Homer Bailey | Log 23 -351 3.71
Dustin McGowan | Log 8 -347 4.14
Trevor Cahill | Log 12 -345 4.98
Brad Hand | Log 12 -344 4.71
Josh Beckett | Log 20 -325 2.96
Matt Garza | Log 23 -308 3.58
Brandon Maurer | Log 7 -308 4.90
Taylor Jordan | Log 5 -306 5.61
Lucas Harrell | Log 3 -300 9.49
Christian Friedrich | Log 3 -300 7.72
Roenis Elias | Log 26 -294 3.97
Wade Miley | Log 28 -294 4.29
Carlos Villanueva | Log 5 -293 4.85
C.J. Wilson | Log 25 -288 4.46
Mat Latos | Log 14 -287 3.15
Blake Treinen | Log 5 -272 2.35
Brandon Morrow | Log 6 -268 5.93
Carroll Scott | Log 16 -267 5.32
Stephen Strasburg | Log 29 -266 3.49
Erasmo Ramirez | Log 14 -255 5.21
Cesar Ramos | Log 7 -255 3.53
Aaron Harang | Log 28 -253 3.64
Paul Maholm | Log 8 -233 4.84
Matt Harrison | Log 4 -229 4.15
Jacob deGrom | Log 18 -228 2.94
Felipe Paulino | Log 4 -225 11.29
Collin McHugh | Log 21 -214 2.99
Michael Pineda | Log 8 -213 2.09
Wandy Rodriguez | Log 6 -208 6.75
Tanner Scheppers | Log 4 -208 9.00
Zach McAllister | Log 14 -201 5.91
Matt Moore | Log 2 -200 2.70
Jake Buchanan | Log 2 -200 5.74
Dallas Beeler | Log 2 -200 3.27
Logan Darnell | Log 2 -200 8.25
Robbie Erlin | Log 8 -194 4.53
Brett Anderson | Log 8 -190 2.91
Justin Verlander | Log 27 -186 4.67
Marcus Stroman | Log 16 -172 3.88
Randy Wolf | Log 4 -168 5.26
Nick Tepesch | Log 17 -167 4.44
Andrew Heaney | Log 4 -162 6.53
Yovani Gallardo | Log 27 -159 3.26
David Buchanan | Log 15 -157 4.03
Dan Haren | Log 27 -147 4.27
Scott Baker | Log 6 -145 5.23
CC Sabathia | Log 8 -132 5.28
Jeremy Hellickson | Log 8 -129 2.98
Danny Duffy | Log 21 -123 2.47
Samuel Deduno | Log 8 -123 4.60
Tim Stauffer | Log 3 -123 3.54
Cliff Lee | Log 13 -122 3.65
Scott Feldman | Log 25 -112 4.09
Erik Bedard | Log 15 -112 4.88
Felix Doubront | Log 11 -111 5.56
Brett Oberholtzer | Log 20 -110 4.39
Taijuan Walker | Log 3 -109 3.60
Jimmy Nelson | Log 9 -108 4.10
Jason Hammel | Log 25 -107 3.72
Tsuyoshi wada | Log 9 -106 2.79
Josh Lindblom | Log 1 -100 3.85
Pedro Hernandez | Log 1 -100 4.76
Aaron Brooks | Log 1 -100 43.82
Carlos Torres | Log 1 -100 3.30
Jason Lane | Log 1 -100 0.87
Zeke Spruill | Log 1 -100 4.82
Matt Belisle | Log 1 -100 4.78
Tom Wilhelmsen | Log 1 -100 2.02
Phil Irwin | Log 1 -100 6.75
Rudy Owens | Log 1 -100 7.94
Brian Flynn | Log 1 -100 9.00
Chris Bassitt | Log 1 -100 7.11
Donn Roach | Log 1 -100 4.75
Billy Buckner | Log 1 -100 4.76
Wade LeBlanc | Log 1 -100 10.13
Eddie Butler | Log 1 -100 10.13
Drew Verhagen | Log 1 -100 5.40
Charles Leesman | Log 1 -100 20.22
Blake Beaven | Log 1 -100 4.50
Jeff Francis | Log 1 -100 5.85
Stephen Fife | Log 1 -100 6.00
Kris Johnson | Log 3 -99 4.73
Jamie Garcia | Log 7 -98 4.12
Chris Capuano | Log 7 -97 4.24
Danny Salazar | Log 15 -86 4.23
Marco Gonzales | Log 4 -66 5.40
Gio Gonzalez | Log 22 -64 3.86
Brandon Cumpton | Log 10 -64 5.01
Chris Archer | Log 27 -63 3.40
John Danks | Log 27 -60 4.88
Christian Bergman | Log 5 -59 5.74
Joe Kelly | Log 12 -59 4.14
Ian Kennedy | Log 28 -58 3.65
Anthony DeSclafani | Log 5 -57 6.84
David Price | Log 28 -56 3.36
Anibal Sanchez | Log 21 -55 3.53
Dillon Gee | Log 18 -55 3.81
Drew Pomeranz | Log 9 -52 2.66
Jason Vargas | Log 25 -46 3.44
Zack Wheeler | Log 27 -40 3.33
Tyler Chatwood | Log 4 -37 4.50
Ivan Nova | Log 4 -34 8.27
Allen Webster | Log 7 -33 6.69
Tyson Ross | Log 28 -32 2.64
Andrew Cashner | Log 14 -23 2.37
Jair Jurrjens | Log 2 -22 10.60
Cole Hamels | Log 24 -21 2.59
Michael Pelfrey | Log 5 -18 7.99
Carlos Carrasco | Log 8 -17 3.01
Buck Farmer | Log 2 -11 15.64
Ervin Santana | Log 26 -10 3.53
Jonathan Pettibone | Log 2 -8 9.00
Rubby De La Rosa | Log 14 -8 3.81
Dylan Axelrod | Log 2 -4 1.64
Tom Koehler | Log 27 -2 3.79
Yusmeiro Petit | Log 7 -1 3.44
Sean O'Sullivan | Log 2 -1 6.94

The Cy Young award candidate might be the one of the worst pitchers to bet on this season. How can that be?
 
If he is a solid pitcher (or on a popular team), he is probably favored every time he starts. When he wins, your profit on that victory is smaller than if you bet on an underdog team.

Meanwhile, every time he loses, your bankroll shrinks by the full $100 per game (in our example).

It can mean that the mediocre pitcher with the 7-11 record has been a better bet because he pays out a bigger profit on the games he wins (because he is an underdog).

Consider this Worst Pitchers to bet on list and also consider the Pitcher Run Support charts when looking for an edge this baseball season. Again, that Cy Young candidate might play on an offensively challenged team, meaning his run support per game may be very low. He will lose some 2-1 games and some 3-2 games when he should be winning. He will be facing the aces of the opposing team’s pitching staff each outing, making his job that much harder.

Here at Odds Shark, we break out the pitchers who have lost the most money for bettors from the winners in separate charts. If you don’t see your favorite pitchers on the Money Lost list, he’ll be on the Money Won list.

It’s true that starting pitchers are the biggest handicapping consideration for anyone looking to bet on baseball. You might also look at the umpire stats to see if the home plate umpire for tonight’s game seems to call more strikeouts or walks.

But knowing which pitchers are traditionally moneyline winners is more important than knowing which ones are game winners. See today’s baseball odds on the probable pitchers list here at Odds Shark.