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NCAAF Football - Preview

NCAAF FOOTBALL

Troy Trojans vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

The Troy Trojans and the Mississippi State Bulldogs will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field.

Troy was a 41-34 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Arkansas State. They failed to cover the 6.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (75) made winners of OVER bettors.

Mississippi State lost its last outing, a 24-20 result against Auburn on September 14. Mississippi State covered in that game as a 6.5-point underdog, while the 44 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Team records:
Troy: 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS
Mississippi State: 1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS

Troy most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the conference are 5-5

Mississippi State most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Troy's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Troy's last 9 games on the road
Troy is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games
Troy is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
Mississippi State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Mississippi State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Next up:
Troy at Duke, Saturday, September 28
Mississippi State home to LSU, Saturday, October 5