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2016 Super Computer Week 13 Super Contest Picks

After its fourth consecutive winning week, the OddsShark Super Computer is surging up the Team OddsShark standings and is now only three points back of leader Nick Kostos. Week 13 is here to prove that the cold, unemotional calculations of an advanced robot are far superior to human deduction.

Without further ado, here are the OddsShark Super Computer’s picks for Week 13 of the NFL season:

Atlanta (-4) Over Chiefs

Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons just keep slinging the ball down the field and it’s resulting in wins – and covers. They will host the Chiefs this weekend as 4-point favorites and the computer is predicting a lopsided 32.5-18.6 affair in favor of Hot-lanta.

Just one team – Philadelphia – has been able to hold the Falcons offense under 20 points this season and the Chiefs’ leaky D comes nowhere close to the caliber of that of the Eagles’ that’s rated the No. 3 DVOA defense.

The Falcons are just one week removed from dropping 38 points on the stout Arizona Cardinals so they should be able to move the ball at will on KC. The Chiefs have scored over 30 points just once this season – in an overtime game – so if the defense doesn’t step up in a big way, KC could wind up on the wrong end of an ugly scoreline.

Raiders (-3) Over Bills

Is the “Are the Raiders for real” debate still a thing? With a 9-2 SU record and wins over a handful of playoff contenders, it shouldn’t be, which makes the -3 line vs the up-and-down Bills perplexing. The Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last five games, winning by an average of 10 points in those four covers.  The Bills have been a much different team on the road, posting just 19.8 points per game, which is a steep fall from the 32.4 they’re putting up at home.

The Bills have struggled playing on the West Coast in recent games, winning just one of their last five games on the Left Coast. While the Bills travel cross-country, it’s important to note that another major advantage working in the Raiders’ favor is that this is their fourth straight home game, as they haven’t played a true road game since October 30.

Dolphins (+3) Over Baltimore

The Miami Dolphins are riding a six-game winning streak ahead of Week 13’s road matchup with the Baltimore Ravens, and the Super Computer is expecting the Fish to keep the good times rolling.

The Dolphins, who are 5-1 ATS in that span, are catching three points in the contest, and it’s tough to justify backing the Ravens in this regard. Baltimore has historically been an awful December team, as the Ravens are 5-15 ATS in their past 20 December contests.

Baltimore is tied with Pittsburgh for the AFC North lead, but they’ve been doing it by beating up on lesser competition. The Ravens are 2-6 SU in their last eight vs teams with winning records. That’s a trend that the Computer expects to continue this weekend.

Panthers (+6.5) Over Seahawks

The Carolina Panthers may not look the best SU, but they simply don’t get blown out. Each of the Panthers’ past four losses have come by just three points and they have an average scoring margin of minus-5.7 points in their seven defeats this season.

On top of that, the Seattle Seahawks don’t really beat anyone extremely badly.  Four of the Seahawks’ seven wins this season have come by a touchdown or more and two of those came against the anemic defenses of the San Francisco 49ers and New York Jets.

Carolina is also a far superior team in both offensive and defensive rushing. If the Panthers can avoid the Seahawks secondary and control the clock in the run game, there is little hope for Seattle to pull away in this one.

Cardinals (-2.5) Over Redskins

The Arizona Cardinals have been ice-cold at the betting window of late, dropping five straight games against the spread but an element of this matchup bodes well for the Cards here.

A bright spot in an otherwise dismal campaign in the desert has been running back David Johnson and he will look to feast on the league’s 25th-ranked rushing defense. The Northern Iowa product is third in the league in rushing with 921 yards entering Week 13 and if the Cards win out and play the football we know they can, the playoffs are still a possibility.

A lot would have to happen with other teams and it’s a long shot, but a possibility nonetheless. A strong showing from one of the league’s best backs versus a vulnerable run D would be a great start.

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