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NFL Week 1 Opening Odds Analysis

Once the NFL released its 2015 schedule back in April some betting shops wasted no time posting lines and taking action. This generated publicity and an extra four months worth of business for them.

It also resulted in those bookmakers having to deal with steam on Green Bay-Chicago, the Baltimore-Denver total, and a favorite change in Minnesota-San Francisco. And those books have been ensnared in the nightmare of Deflategate as well.


NFL Week 1 Betting Trends Analysis

The Green Bay Packers and the Chicago Bears have been playing one another since 1921. Believe it or not, their series stands at 93-93-6.

It's tied because the Packers have dominated lately. Green Bay is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games against Chicago. The only Packers loss during that span occurred two years ago when Aaron Rodgers suffered a broken collarbone when sacked by Shea McClellin during the first series in a 27-20 home loss.


Top Picks Square Off as Bucs Host Titans

Two teams that combined for just four wins and 10 covers a year ago will battle in Tampa Bay on Sunday when the Buccaneers host the Tennessee Titans.

The Bucs and Titans each finished 2-14 last season, and neither team fared much better against the spread. Tampa Bay was 7-9 versus the number and played better following an 0-3 start ATS while Tennessee was an abysmal 3-12-1.

The Titans failed to cover their last six games of 2014 during a 10-game losing streak and went 1-7 straight-up on the road with a 2-6 mark ATS.

One of their two wins surprisingly came in the season opener on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs, and rookie quarterback Marcus Mariota will lead them this year after being selected second overall in the NFL Draft.

Tampa Bay picked quarterback Jameis Winston with the top selection in the draft and hopes he will fare better than last year's free-agent bust Josh McCown, who is now starting for the Cleveland Browns.

Tampa Bay will face the 2-14 Tennessee Titans, who own a 3-12-1 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Buccaneers are 5-11 so far this season while the Titans are 6-10.

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Week 1 NFL Betting Odds with Pick - Cincinnati Bengals vs Oakland Raiders

The Cincinnati Bengals hope to continue their recent regular-season success and snap a two-game skid against the spread when they visit the Oakland Raiders on Sunday to kick off the new NFL year.

The Bengals went 10-5-1 last season straight-up and 8-7-1 ATS before falling in the Wild Card round of the playoffs for the fourth straight year. Cincinnati quarterback Andy Dalton has taken much of the blame for the team's postseason failures, but the defense surrendered nearly 26 points per game in those losses.

The Raiders have missed the playoffs 12 consecutive years and have a new head coach in former Denver Broncos defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio, who also previously led the Jacksonville Jaguars for nearly nine seasons.

Del Rio inherits a team that dropped 10 in a row to start 2014 before going 3-3 in the final six games. Oakland was 8-8 against the spread as well, and all three wins last year came as underdogs of more than six points.

The Cincinnati Bengals will try to spoil to the party on Sunday; they are 8-8-1 ATS against the spread this season, while the Oakland Raiders are 8-8 ATS. Cincinnati is 6-11 on the over under betting totals; Oakland is 10-6.

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New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals Week 1 Betting Pick and Odds

Two NFC teams that experienced very different seasons a year ago will square off on Sunday at University of Phoenix Stadium when the Arizona Cardinals host the New Orleans Saints off a successful 11-5 campaign both straight-up and against the spread.

Arizona won nine of its first 10 games, covering eight of them, and the team hopes to have a healthy Carson Palmer back in the lineup at quarterback after he missed the last 10 games of last season due to a torn ACL.

Meanwhile, the Saints suffered through an extremely disappointing campaign, just missing out on the postseason despite finishing 7-9. New Orleans failed to beat the number in four of its first five games and then went 2-6 against the spread in the second half.

Drew Brees also fell just short of passing for 5,000 yards in four straight years and will be without top target Jimmy Graham, as the All-Pro tight end was traded to the Seattle Seahawks in the offseason.

Arizona bring a 11-6 record (11-6 ATS) to the Week 1 betting matchup against the 7-9 New Orleans Saints, who are 6-10 ATS against the spread. Over under betting has seen Arizona go 6-10-1 so far and the Saints go 10-6.

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San Diego Chargers Hosting the Detroit Lions Week 1 Odds and Betting Pick

In what could be their last season opener in San Diego, the Chargers will host the Detroit Lions on Sunday as small favorites and try to break a five-game home losing streak against the spread.

The franchise did not exercise its right to terminate the lease at Qualcomm Stadium this year, so San Diego will try to turn things around there after failing to cover the number in its last five home games to end 2014.

The Chargers inked quarterback Philip Rivers to a four-year contract extension that will keep him with the team through 2019, and he will have a new running back to help balance out the offense this year in rookie Melvin Gordon from the Wisconsin Badgers.

The Lions enjoyed a successful campaign under first-year head coach Jim Caldwell that ended with a postseason appearance and a tough loss to the Dallas Cowboys in the first round of the playoffs.

Detroit started last season by going 3-1 straight-up and ATS but covered just two of seven down the stretch before falling 24-20 at Dallas as 6-point underdogs.

The San Diego Chargers currently sport a record of 9-7, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 7-9 ATS. The Detroit Lions are 11-6 and 8-9 ATS. Betting totals have seen the San Diego Chargers post a 7-9 over under record this season, while the Detroit Lions have gone 5-12 against the number.

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Washington Redskins Hosting the Miami Dolphins Week 1 Odds and Betting Pick

A changing of the guard has already taken place in Washington with Kirk Cousins winning the starting quarterback job heading into Sunday's season opener as home betting underdogs against the Miami Dolphins after failing to cover the number in four of five to end 2014.

Cousins was 1-4 straight-up and against the spread as the starter last year after replacing embattled quarterback Robert Griffin III, who was selected ahead of him in the same 2012 NFL Draft. Griffin appears on his way out of Washington, putting a lot of pressure on second-year head coach Jay Gruden to succeed without him playing.

The Dolphins do not have to worry about any quarterback controversy because Ryan Tannehill is coming off the best season of his three-year career. What they should be concerned about though is how they finished 2014, failing to cover the spread in five consecutive games.

With expectations much higher following the addition of All-Pro defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh and New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady winning his appeal, Miami can't afford to lose an early game like this as a road favorite.

The Washington Redskins sit at 4-12 (5-11 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Miami Dolphins are currently 8-8 (7-9 ATS). Looking to bet on the totals? Washington is 7-8-1 OU, and Miami is 8-8 OU.

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St. Louis Rams Hosting the Seattle Seahawks Week 1 Odds and Betting Pick

The defending NFC champion Seattle Seahawks will kick off the 2015 NFL season against a division rival when they visit the St. Louis Rams on Sunday as solid favorites and look to improve on a 6-2-1 record against the spread in their last nine games.

The Seahawks went 5-1 straight-up and ATS versus NFC West opponents in 2014, but the lone loss was to the Rams 28-26 last October 19 as 6.5-point road chalk.

St. Louis rides a three-game losing streak from last year into this divisional matchup both SU and ATS after covering each of their previous four games.

The Rams dealt injury-plagued quarterback Sam Bradford to the Philadelphia Eagles in the offseason for Nick Foles, and the strength of their offense should be in the backfield when rookie first-round draft pick Todd Gurley is finally ready to play.

However, Gurley won't make his debut this week because he is still recovering from knee surgery while projected starter Tre Mason is also dealing with a hamstring injury.

The St. Louis Rams are 6-10 so far on the season, and 7-9 ATS vs the point spread. The Seattle Seahawks, meanwhile, are 14-5 and 10-8-1 ATS. Those over under betting have seen St. Louis go 8-8 and the Seattle Seahawks go 11-8 on the totals.

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Week 1 Betting Line Favors the New York Jets over the Cleveland Browns

A new era will begin for the New York Jets on Sunday in their season opener when they host the Cleveland Browns as small favorites and look to cover the spread for the fourth straight time.

The Jets will not have former head coach Rex Ryan on the sidelines for the first time since 2008, as former Arizona Cardinals defensive coordinator Todd Bowles replaces him.

They finished 2014 strong for Ryan in covering three in a row, but that was not enough to overcome a brutal 1-8 start that also saw them go 1-7-1 against the spread.

The Browns are looking to snap a five-game losing streak dating back to the end of last year, but they did cover three of four down the stretch.

Cleveland head coach Mike Pettine was actually New York's defensive coordinator under Ryan from 2009-2012, so he will be very familiar with a lot of his former team's personnel.

The New York Jets are 4-12 so far on the season, and 6-9-1 ATS vs the point spread. The Cleveland Browns, meanwhile, are 7-9 and 9-6-1 ATS. Those over under betting have seen New York go 7-9 and the Cleveland Browns go 5-11 on the totals.

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Point Spread Favors the Panthers in Week 1 Battle with the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Carolina Panthers enter 2015 as the two-time defending NFC South champions and will open their season on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday as small favorites after closing out last year with a 2-0-1 mark against the spread.

The Panthers won the division despite finishing the year under .500 and used a four-game winning streak at the end of the regular season to hold off the New Orleans Saints.

Carolina went 2-2 ATS in those games and will be without leading receiver Kelvin Benjamin, who suffered a season-ending knee injury last month.

The Jaguars actually covered their last three games to finish 2014 and had three wins overall under then-second-year head coach Gus Bradley. Jacksonville won four games the previous season, and Bradley hopes to take the next step in 2015 with second-year quarterback Blake Bortles leading the offense.

The Jaguars were underdogs in 42 straight games before they were favored versus the Tennessee Titans in Week 16 last year, making the season opener the 44th time in 45 games they will be dogs.

The Jacksonville Jaguars currently sport a record of 3-13, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 6-9-1 ATS. The Carolina Panthers are 8-9-1 and 9-8-1 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Jacksonville Jaguars post a 8-8 over under record this season, while the Carolina Panthers have gone 10-8 against the number.

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