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NFL

Packers vs Vikings Line Preview

If the Packers are going to lose in 2011, this is probably not the spot it will happen.

They lead the league in scoring, are 6-2 ATS in the past eight trips to Minnesota, and seem unbeatable. Hence the fat 9.5-point opening point spread, a huge number on the road against a divisional rival.

Green Bay wants to hit the bye week at 7-0 and the OVER has been a consistent bet on them in this situation (6-2 in the past eight seasons before a bye week). Minnesota meanwhile is just 1-12 SU in its past 13 games as an underdog.

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Bradford out for Rams vs Dallas

The Rams haven't won and they haven't covered a spread in 2011, mimicking the ineptitude of Miami so far this season.

Now they head for Dallas in a game that could end up with the biggest point spread of the week. And without QB Sam Bradford, who was declared out Friday for the Rams.

After opening at -10 for Dallas, bettors quickly pounced and drove the number all the way to -14.5 at some online sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark.com.

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Saints huge chalk vs Colts

In the second Super Bowl rematch, the Saints host the Colts in a matchup of Super Bowl XLIV teams, but clearly this is not a championship-calibre team in Indy in 2011.

New Orleans opened as 14-point chalk against the winless Colts and this number could climb much higher during the week. Of note, the past four meetings have been high-scoring affairs (at least 48 PPG in each).

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NFL Prop Bets: New QBs take the field

Out with the old and in with the new seems to be the trend around the NFL this week as Denver, Minnesota, and Washington all hand over the reins to their backup quarterbacks this week. Bovada was quick to develop prop bets for these moves so that bettors can bet on each team’s new quarterback.

Here are the prop bets around those quarterback changes as well as a key game in the AFC South in Week 7.

It’s Tebow Time

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Sunday Setup: Rams deal with injuries

Some injuries are easy to diagnose right away, but others can change day-to-day. Many key players around the league were dealing with those more difficult injuries this week, and we have the most recent information available.

Here are some of the late injury updates from Friday evening for this week’s NFL action.

Jahvid Best ruled out with a concussion

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Line Moves: Chargers Chalk vs. Jets

While most of the games on this week’s NFL betting card have had a line movement of only a half-point or none at all so far, five have seen significant line movements of two or more points.

Here’s an inside look at those five games with the significant line movements in Week 7. From these line movements, it would appear that football bettors were not too impressed with last week’s Monday Night Football game between New York and Miami.

San Diego Chargers @ New York Jets (from -1.5 to +2.0 at TopBet)

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Under predicted in Browns vs Seahawks

A pair of teams that rank near the bottom of key offensive and defensive stat categories battle in Cleveland as the rested Seahawks come to town as small underdogs.

Good luck finding any meaningful trends in the head-to-head history. They have only met three times, with a close low-scoring, a close high-scoring game and a blowout in the mix.

Interestingly, Seattle comes off a bye week where they have traditionally struggled (2-10 ATS past 12 years following a bye). But they hit their bye with momentum, shocking the Giants on the road back in Week 5.

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Injury Report: Palmer in for Raiders

No injury in the NFL caused more of a stir this week than the one to Oakland Raiders quarterback Jason Campbell. It wasn’t just the injury to Campbell that caused the commotion; it was who they went out and got to replace him.

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NFL props: Passing Fancy Odds

Is John Beck a passing fancy in Washington with Rex Grossman waiting in the wings?

What about Christian Ponder in Minnesota with overpaid, over-the-hill Donovan McNabb creeping in the shadows for the Vikings?

Bodog loves to stir the pot on quarterback props and it seems each week brings new QB drama and new faces to bet on. This week, the main attraction is Carson Palmer, newly minted Oakland Raider starter.

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Bye Week Trends Impact Week 7 Odds

Like it or not, bye weeks can have a significant impact on your NFL handicapping, whether a team is heading into an off week or coming out of one.

 

A team coasting into a bye week at 6-0 may rest a banged-up player, knowing that a loss doesn’t wreck their season. A team hitting the bye at 1-5 may throw everything but the kitchen sink at that game to ensure hey have a shot at the playoffs coming out of the bye.

 

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