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NFL

Patriots and OVER in Monday Night Odds

The first Monday Nighter could be a sportsbook’s worst nightmare – a game that trends suggest will go OVER the total and be covered by the favorite.

But after a Week 1 full of upsets, perhaps the oddsmakers are not too worried about the Patriots vs Dolphins Monday Night Football odds.

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Monday Night Odds: Broncos vs Raiders

Denver has been terrific in season openers, but not against the Oakland Raiders, throwing some bettors for a handicapping loop in the second Week 1 Monday Nighter.

They are 7-3 ATS in the past 10 Week 1 games but just 2-8 ATS in the past 10 against their hated AFC West rivals from Oakland, and betting volume has moved the line in favor of the Broncos, moving from even to -3 in the past few days.

Neither team is a Monday Night regular, but the NFL needed a late game for the MNF doubleheader and these are division rivals. The Raiders are just 1-7 ATS in their past 8 Monday Nighters according to the NFL Database here at OddsShark.com.

The Monday Night spread and total are far from the only ways to bet MNF as well. (See tons of props below and visit Bovada for hundreds more.) Both the best Raiders underdog line and the best UNDER line were at Bovada as of Monday morning, check the latest.

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Dolphins vs Patriots Betting Preview

In three of their past four visits to Miami, New England has put up 40 or more points, leading many NFL bettors to think OVER in this Monday Nighter, even at a Week 1 high of 45.5, might be a good play.

The Patriot juggernaut stalled in the final weeks of the preseason but Dolphin incompetence in Week 1 historically (they are 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven 7 years) may encourage wagers on the Patriots Dolphins point spread as well. Add this stat - Miami is 0-7 ATS past 7 home games in September - and you have Patriot backers salivating here.

The Pats were dominant in the forst two weeks of the preseason, then faltered the final two. It hasn't stopped bettors from backing them heavily in this one [ check live NFL betting and wager during the game at 5Dimes while you pocket a 50% free play bonus ]

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NFL Live Betting Cheat Sheet

So the NFL season has somehow snuck up on you and you haven’t lifted a finger to handicap this week’s games to found a place to play.

Call this the NFL Odds Cheat Sheet, a Two-Minute Drill of sorts that will help you get up to speed on Week 1 odds and specials in a single story.

Home Underdogs – There are only 4 of them (Dolphins +8, Rams +4.5, Bears +2.5 and Redskins +3) and many handicappers love to bet them early in the

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NFL Matchup - Ravens Steelers Odds Preview

Pittsburgh has owned Baltimore lately against the spread, going 5-1-1, but the Ravens have reloaded their offense big time which is reflected in the Week 1 Steelers vs Ravens line.

 

Baltimore has won 8 straight at home and is 6-2 ATS in its past 8 home games in September heading into this action. [ See Steelers vs Ravens Player Prop Odds at bottom of page ]

(Are you a Steelers fan who also likes to bet on the Pitt Panthers? Can't find a line on their game against Maine? 5Dimes is one of the few shops offering odds and its 31.5 points).

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Week 1 NFL Betting Theories

It’s a week when smart and lucky bettors get off to a huge start and unwise and unlucky ones can suffer an 0-4 opening weekend.

The first week of NFL offers terrific profit opportunity, but it is also fraught with handicapping pitfalls, even moreso in 2011 with the compressed free agency and training camps.

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Falcons Road Chalk vs. Bears in Week 1

The Falcons opened as 1-point favorites, but they have been bet up to -3 on the point spread as they visit Chicago in Week 1.

 

The Bears are seldom a home underdog, so they are tempting, but the total is more appealing - Chicago has played 6 straight Week 1 UNDERs and the past 6 meetings between these teams have all played UNDER the total. Atlanta also owns a 11-2 run favoring the UNDER when they play on the road in September. That enough trends for you?

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Eagles Aim to Continue ATS Domination

The Philadelphia Dream Team in Green visits St. Louis in Week 1, favored by 5 points at some sportsbooks, as they try to extend a run of ATS domination against the Rams.

In 10 recent games, the Eagles are 8-1-1 ATS against the Rams, who have been money-losers in Week 1 lately, going 1-8-1 ATS the past 10 seasons.

Does the 4-0 preseason mean anything? Will the turf help the Rams or the speedy Eagles?

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Texans battle Colts in Week 1 odds

It's rare to see the Colts open as such a huge underdog, but the absence of Peyton Manning and playing on the road against a hungry Houston Texans team has Indy as 9-point underdogs.

 

There are two huge OVER trends for Houston, as it has prevailed in 10 of the past 12 games vs the Colts and in 11 of the past 13 games in September.

But beware some historical facts: Indy is 16-2 SU lifetime against the Texans; Houston is 1-6 ATS their past 7 season openers; the Colts have been cover machines in Week 1 on the road and generally in the mon th of September.

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Can Lions Cover Against Tampa Bay?

There are very few positive ATS trends for the Detroit Lions in recent years, but one of them appears in Week 1 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Detroit begins another season of promise with bettors backing them heavily (line opened at +3 for Tampa and is now a PK at some sportsbooks), in part because of their 7-1 ATS domination against the Bucs lately).

Swinging three points on the spread is a big deal for Week 1 NFL bettors to consider. It means plenty of money went behind Detroit as road underdogs.

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