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SN: NFL Week 4 Betting Trends Analysis

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are home for the first time since opening week hosting Carolina.

But that's not necessarily good news for the Bucs - and it's not because the Panthers are unbeaten. The Buccaneers are 15-36-1 (29 percent) against the spread (ATS) during their last 52 home games.

Tampa Bay lost all eight of its matchups at Raymond James Stadium last season covering only twice. The Buccaneers were smashed by Tennessee opening week, 42-14.


NFL: History is Working Against Ravens

In the NFL, starting the regular season with back to back losses is a tough hole to climb out. But according to recent history, dropping three-straight out of the gate can be nearly impossible to rebound from.

Since 1990, only three teams have seen the postseason after starting 0-3 ('92 Chargers, '95 Lions and '98 Bills). Clubs that have begun their respective seasons dropping three in a row have missed the playoffs 82 straight times since the Doug Flutie-led Bills did so in 1998.


Bills are 7-2 ATS in Last Nine

The Rex Ryan-led Buffalo Bills will be trying to ride the wave of momentum when they play host to the New York Giants Sunday.

Buffalo crushed divisional foe Miami 41-14 in the Sunshine State in Week 3, while New York hung on for a 32-21 victory over the lowly Washington Redskins at home to pick up their first victory of the season.

The G-Men also collected their first cover in the 2015 campaign, while the Bills improved to 2-1 ATS on the year. 

Buffalo’s great success on the ground has been a major factor in their solid start out of the gate. The Bills are averaging 152.7 rushing yards per game through the first three weeks – good enough to rank at the top of the league in that department. 

New York presents a tough test for the Bills, however, as the Giants have allowed opposing teams to rush for just 74.7 yards per game, the second-best mark in the NFL.

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Colts 5-0 SU and ATS in Last 5 vs Jags

It’s been a rocky start to the season for the Indianapolis Colts, but they’ll be happy to see a team they’ve owned in recent years on Sunday, the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Both sides enter the matchup with identical 1-2 SU records and the Colts will be seeking their first cover of the season. Indy edged Tennessee 35-33 in Week 3 but barely failed to cover the -3 spread in the process.

As rumors swirl regarding an alleged ongoing clash between Colts head coach Chuck Pagano and the team’s front office, the on-field product has left a lot to be desired for Colts fans and bettors alike. 

Indy’s defense has been getting carved up like a Thanksgiving turkey, surrendering 26.7 points per game – the 23rd worst mark in the league. It hasn’t been much prettier on offense, as the club has the 25th worst offense in the NFL (18.7 points per game).

The Jags were severely outclassed in Week 3’s 51-17 dismantling by the New England Patriots. Including last season, Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last five road games. 

The good news for the Colts is that they have a history of covering spreads against Jacksonville. Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS in its last five games against the Jaguars.

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Eagles 2-5 SU and ATS in Last 7 Games

On the heels of avoiding a potential disastrous 0-3 start to the season, the Philadelphia Eagles will try to make it two in a row vs the Washington Redskins at FedExField in Week 4.

Philly, who started the season with losses to Atlanta and Dallas, held on for a 24-17 win over the New York Jets on Sunday while cashing as 3-point road dogs. The Eagles are a perfect 3-0 to the UNDER so far, largely in part to an offense that ranks 31st in total yards.

Even though it’s early, this game will help to clear up what’s been a muddy division through the first three weeks. The Eagles, Redskins and Giants sit in a three-way tie for second place in the NFC East at 1-2 SU behind the Dallas Cowboys (2-1 SU).  

Both sides head into the game going in different directions on the ground. The Redskins are averaging 143.7 yards per game on the ground, while Philly has gained just 64.3 yards per contest.

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Panthers are at 4-0 SU in Last 4 vs Bucs

Two teams heading in opposite directions clash in Week 4 as the Carolina Panthers travel to Tampa Bay for a date with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Sunday.

Dating back to last season, the Panthers (3-0) are 8-1 SU in their last nine games. The Bucs are a paltry 1-8 SU during that stretch.

To further the opposite theme, Carolina is averaging 23.7 points per game while allowing 16 points per affair. Tampa has averaged 16.3 points for and 26.7 points against through three weeks. 

Rookie quarterback Jameis Winston has four touchdowns, three interceptions, and 678 passing yards with a 52.2 completion percentage so far in his young career. The Florida State product has a 52.2 percent completion percentage during that span.

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Pit 3-0 SU & ATS Last 3 as Home Dogs

The Pittsburgh Steelers will begin life without quarterback Ben Roethlisberger on Thursday night when archrival Baltimore invades Heinz Field with the eyes of the nation solely squared upon them.

Roethlisberger, who’s expected to miss 4-6 weeks after spraining his MCL in Pittsburgh’s 12-6 victory over the Rams in Week 3, hands the starting reigns to veteran signal caller Michael Vick. Vick completed five of six attempts for 38 yards Sunday but was sacked twice and lost a fumble.

Fresh off a 28-24 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals, Baltimore has failed to cover the spread in its first three contests. This is the first time in history that the team has dropped three-straight games to begin a season.

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Vick Thursday Night Football NFL Props

With Ben Roethlisberger on the shelf for a chunk of the season with a knee injury, Michael Vick will step into the spotlight against the Ravens in Thursday Night Football action. The 35-year-old Vick last started a game as a member of the Jets last season. It was a forgettable season for Vick, who ended the season with a 68.3 QB rating.

Thanks to a tumultuous off-field history and a reputation as one of the most electric quarterbacks in NFL history, Vick is anything but your standard backup. His presence attracts the attention of fans and bettors whenever he takes the field.


SN: NFL Week 4 Opening Odds Analysis

Baltimore is 0-3 yet laying points on the road to arch-rival Pittsburgh. Oakland is road chalk, too, despite losing 19 of its last 21 away matchups.

What gives in this weird Week 4? Injuries and ineptness that's what.

The Ravens have made nine trips to Pittsburgh during the John Harbaugh era. They've been underdogs eight of the nine times. The only time Baltimore was favored was in 2012 when Ben Roethlisberger was out and Byron Leftwich was the Steelers' starting quarterback.


MNF: GB sits 1-6 ATS in Last 7 vs Chiefs

The Green Bay Packers are 2-0 both SU and ATS to start the season but 1-6 both SU and ATS in their last seven games against the Kansas City Chiefs as those teams get set to square off on Monday Night Football.

Green Bay has come up with victories and covers against both Chicago and Seattle through the first two weeks of the season, while Kansas City picked up a SU and ATS win in Week 1 against Houston but then fell to Denver both SU and ATS in Week 2.

The Chiefs, though, are 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in their last six games on the road in the month of September, while the UNDER has been the winning total wager in five of their last six games on Monday night.

This season the Green Bay Packers are 2-0 overall and 2-0 ATS against the spread, while the Chiefs are 1-1 and 1-1 ATS. As for the totals, Green Bay is 1-1 on the OU, and Kansas City is 2-0.

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