NFL

Titans vs Patriots Pick and Preview

The New England Patriots hope to start another march to the Super Bowl this Sunday facing the Tennessee Titans at LP Field.

Coming off of a 13-3 regular season and a trip to the Super Bowl, Tom Brady and the Patriots are expected to take care of business as a 6-point road favorite (and growing at Bovada) Sunday.

Since 1998, New England is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in six meetings with the Titans. But New England's main Week 1 appeal has been as an OVER bet - they have played OVER the total in six straight September games and 12 of the past 16 season openers (best OVER line, check out Bovada)

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Saints Redskins Odds Preview

The Washington Redskins make a trip to the Mercedes-Benz Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints Sunday and they do so as heavy Week 1 road underdogs.

Robert Griffin III makes his highly anticipated NFL debut, but he’ll have his work cut out for him as a 9-point underdog at Bovada going up against Drew Brees and the high-octane Saints offense.

The total has gone OVER in each of New Orleans’ last five games and in five of Washington’s last seven.

Will Washington's OVER pattern continue with RG3 running the show? Historically, the Redskins are a Week 1 UNDER play (7-2 past 9 season openers).

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49ers vs Packers: Week 1 Pick

Last year’s top two seeds in the NFC meet in week one this year as the San Francisco 49ers head to Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers.

Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers are 21-2 straight up over their last 23 games, and will look to add another game to the win column Sunday as a 5.5-point favorite at Bovada.

In the last 10 meetings between these two teams, Green Bay is 9-1 straight up and 7-1-2 ATS.

And both have been solid Week 1 plays with the Packers winning and covering five in a row and the 49ers at 6-2-1 ATS past nine seasons.

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Seahawks vs Cardinals Betting Preview

Two NFC West rivals collide this Sunday when the Seattle Seahawks visit the Arizona Cardinals at the University of Phoenix Stadium.

And if you think Seattle's past September performance will repeat itself in 2012, you will bet against them and bet OVER the total.

The Seahawks have OVER is 11 of their past 12 September games and they are just 1-8 ATS in their past nine September road games.

After beating out top free agent Matt Flynn for the job, rookie quarterback Russell Wilson will make the start for Seattle as the Seahawks are a 3-point road favorite at TopBet.

Seattle was a perfect 4-0 this preseason both straight up and ATS while Arizona went just 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS.

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NFL Odds: Week 1 NFL Line Moves

There hasn't been much movement on the National Football League betting lines for the opening week of the season, with the biggest shift being only 1.5 points for games in Cleveland, New Orleans, Kansas City, and Tennessee. Here's a look at all of the Week 1 NFL line moves at the sportsbooks.

Week 1 NFL Betting Lines (from 5Dimes)

Line Moves of 1.5 Points:

Sun - Philadelphia at Cleveland (OPENER +9) NOW +10.5
Sun - Washington at New Orleans (OPENER -10) NOW -8.5

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NFL Best and Worst Home Underdogs

The vaunted home dog in the NFL hasn’t been all that vaunted over the past six seasons. NFL home teams catching points are 263-250-8 (51.26%) against the spread since 2006. That success rate isn’t making any money.

But there are a few home-field advantages that have come into play consistently in recent seasons, none more so than CenturyLink Field where the mighty Seattle Seahawks are 14-7-1 ATS as a home dog.

The Arizona Cardinals also have had success as home dogs, going 14-7 ATS in the desert heat when catching points.

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NFL best bets at home

When you think of NFL powerhouses that always win at home, you think New England, Green Bay and Pittsburgh.

In reality, only Pittsburgh deserves that public perception, while the Seattle Seahawks and San Diego Chargers also rank among the best NFL home teams against the spread.

As we prepare for the full-fledged kickoff to the NFL season, it’s always good to review which teams continually exceed oddsmakers’ expectations at home and which ones consistently fail to meet them. (Dolphins, Raiders, we’re looking at you).

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Best NFL Road Favorites Against the Spread

No team comes close to the New England Patriots when it comes to ATS road wins as a favorite over the past six years.

The Pats are 22-12-2 ATS in 36 games, taking care of betting business in a big way. Only two teams – the Saints and Eagles – have as many 16 ATS road wins as chalk during the time.

Interestingly, the Pats and Giants – Super Bowl combatants twice during this 6-year period – have the best records. The Giants are not favored nearly as often as the Patriots, but they are 14-6 ATS, which is a better percentage of road chalk victories.

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Best NFL Road Teams Against The Spread

Winning on the road in the NFL is one of the toughest tasks in professional sports and covering the spread on the road is even harder.

It’s why the New York Giants record of 35-17 ATS over the past six seasons is so remarkable and part of the reason they have been able to roll to a pair of Super Bowls during that timeframe.

Big Blue finished on an 8-2 ATS road last year (counting the Super Bowl which was a neutral siter, but was away from home). They won five straight on the road to end the season, all as underdogs.

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Best NFL Home Favorites Against the Spread

New England has been a home favorite more times than any other NFL team in the past six seasons and won more games at Gillette Stadium, but that does not make them the best NFL home team.

The Patriots have been home chalk 55 times and covered the spread 25 times, but losing 29 times – by far the most of any team. The team with the most ATS home wins as a favorite is the Pittsburgh Steelers, who are 28-21-1 ATS.

That stat shows just how difficult it can be turning a profit at online sportsbooks by betting only home favorites. The best team is only marginally over .500.

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