Eagles Love Their Trips to the Big Apple

Jordan Matthews Eagles

The Philadelphia Eagles have been cashing out for bettors when they travel to meet the Giants with Philly going 7-1 SU and ATS in their last eight trips to New York. The Giants and Eagles play their final game of the season at Metlife Stadium Sunday.

The Eagles offense has been good enough to hide defensive deficiencies over the past two seasons, but with the Chip Kelly-led offense looking average this year, the team has been exposed. Under Kelly’s regime in Philadelphia, the Eagles defense has given up an average of 25.2 points per game.

Eli Manning reverted back to the Eli Manning of old in the Giants loss last week. The quarterback threw three interceptions and looked terrible even as he padded his stats slightly in garbage time. The Giants are now 2-6 in their last eight games and another loss could mean heads roll in the Big Apple.

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Dolphins Just Can't Cover the Spread

Ryan Tannehill Miami Dolphins

The Miami Dolphins have not been very good this season, which should not be a surprise, but they have somehow been worse at covering the spread. The ‘Fins are just 1-8 ATS in their past nine and have failed to cover since Week 10. An ATS victory will not be easy Sunday as the Dolphins host the New England Patriots.

The Dolphins have just one win in their past six games, with that lone victory coming against the 5-10 Baltimore Ravens. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill has been getting his pounded over the past two weeks as he has been sacked nine times and injured his left leg in the Dolphins loss to the Colts.

Bill Belichick had more faith in his defense holding the Jets to a field goal than he did in his own offense scoring and it bite him on the ass. The Pats coach decided to kick the ball away in overtime rather than receive last week, a decision that proved boneheaded. But it would not have come to the if the offense could have done anything in the game as they had their fewest snaps of the season while going 1-for-10 on third down.

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MNF Odds Preview: Broncos vs Bengals

Cincinnati Bengals NFL

A battle for a first round bye goes down on Monday Night Football when the Broncos welcome the Bengals to Mile High Stadium. The Bengals were able to secure a win in AJ McCarron’s first full game under center last week, while the Broncos are starting to show some signs of wear and tear as the season winds down with two straight losses.

Cincy was able to cover the spread last week against the lowly 49ers and are now an impressive 11-2-1 ATS on the season. Even more remarkable is their flawless 7-0 road ATS record. Despite being 0-5 SU in their last five games in Denver, they’ve managed to go 4-2 ATS in their last six game at Mile High. The Bengals have also been a reliable road bet in December games the past few seasons, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine December road games.

It appears as if a quarterback controversy might be rearing its ugly head in Denver—and right in time for the playoffs! Brock Osweiler has been a completely different quarterbacks after half time this season, with his QB rating dropping 44 points, and his completion percentage dropping 23.3 points in the second half. The Broncos’ defense, which had been viewed as one of the league’s best, were absolutely lit up by Ben Roethlisberger for 380 passing yards last week.

The total opened at 40.5 and these teams have gone OVER in four of their last five games against each other.

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UNDER Trending Between CAR and ATL

Carolina Panthers NFL

Offense has been at a premium when the Carolina Panthers and Atlanta Falcons have met with the UNDER hitting in each of the past five contests between the NFC South rivals. Those five games have seen the Panthers and Falcons combine for an average of 39.2 points per game.

Cam Newton is good at football. The Panthers’ quarterback has thrown for 19 touchdowns and just one interception in the past six games while adding two more scores on the ground. When the Panthers hosted the Falcons just two weeks ago, Carolina humiliated Atlanta 38-0 behind Newton’s three passing touchdowns.

The Falcons mercifully ended their six-game losing streak last week with a win over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Matt Ryan has not thrown more touchdowns than interceptions in the past five games with the signal caller tossing six touchdowns and eight picks in that span. 

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Cowboys Have Been An Abysmal Bet

Dallas Cowboys NFL

This season has been a trainwreck for the Dallas Cowboys. “America’s Team” is a lowly 4-10 SU and have been just as bad for bettors with a 4-9-1 ATS record. The Cowboys will visit the Buffalo Bills this Sunday, a team that has only been a marginally better play this season.

Apparently it’s Kellen Moore’s show in Dallas now. The fourth-year quarterback has not seen a single snap before last week when he went 15-for-29 with one touchdown and three interceptions. Dallas fans should not hold their breath for any sort of miracles; let’s just say that.  The Cowboys have had one of the worst offenses in the NFL this season with the team averaging just 17.6 points per game and have not scored more than 20 points since Week 11.

The Bills defense has not been good lately, but last week they were downright hard to watch. The Bills secondary, without starter Stephon Gilmore for the rest of the season, was torched all day long and allowed Kirk Cousins to post the third-highest passer rating in team history. 

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Ravens Can’t Cover Spread at Home

It’s been a depressing season for the Ravens and their backers as the team is a miserable 4-10 SU and 3-9-2 ATS, and things are about to get much worse when their hated division rival, the Pittsburgh Steelers, come to town on Sunday. 

Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers have played elite level football in their last 10 December games, going 10-0 SU and 9-0-1 ATS. They’ve been on a serious roll this December with three straight wins, scoring a total of 112 points in those games. So far this month, they’ve gone 2-0-1 ATS.

The Ravens, meanwhile, have lost three straight, including two straight at home where they allowed a total of 69 points. They still haven’t been able to cover a spread at home, posting a 0-6-1 home ATS record, and going back to last season, they’re 0-9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. 

It should come as no surprise that the Steelers are trending OVER, going above the total in four straight games. The total has gone OVER three of the last four times these teams have played in Baltimore. 

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NFL Week 16 Expert Betting Odds Picks

A pair of totals and the underdog St. Louis Rams are my NFL Week 16 betting recommendations.

Let's begin with the Rams getting 13.5 points at Seattle. Yes, I realize the Seahawks are hot with five straight wins and covers. But this is a division matchup and the Seahawks are missing their top two running backs, Marshawn Lynch and Thomas Rawls.

Seattle could be in letdown mode, too, after earning a playoff spot.


Bears are Becoming a Good Road Bet

Jay Cutler Bears

It’s been another sad season for Bears fans as the team is once again outside of the playoff picture after three straight losses. Backers of the team shouldn’t back off yet though as the Bears have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six road games ahead of their Week 16 tilt in Tampa Bay.

The Bears enter this one as underdogs, which is a position they’ve been abysmal in while on the road in December in recent years, winning just one of their last 20 games while in that position. 

After two straight losses the Bucs will close out the season with two home games. The Bucs have shown some promise this season, but have simply made too many mistakes to contend for a playoff spot. Jameis Winston set a career high in passing yards vs the Rams in Week 15 with 363 and will be looking for a strong finish to the season in hopes of becoming the Rookie of the Year.


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SNF Odds Preview: Vikings vs Giants

Adrian Peterson Vikings

The Vikings have been one of the NFL’s best bets this season, posting an 11-3 ATS record. They’ll be looking to make their backers’ wallets even fatter when they host the New York Giants on Sunday Night. 

It’s a sad state of affairs for a Giants team who’ve lost four out of their last five games. They’ll be without their human highlight reel receiver Odell Beckham who’s suspended for the game and their playoff aspirations could go up in smoke with a loss in this one. One positive for the Giants is that they’ve gone 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games.

The Vikings have been a great bet in the last full month of the NFL regular season over the past few years as they’ve gone 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in December. At home, in particular, the Vikings have gone 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in their last nine December home games.

It’s possible that the Giants might be running into the Viking at the right time though, as December hasn’t been a strong month for Adrian Peterson. In his three games this month, the most rushing yards he’s recorded in a game has been 69

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Seahawks Covering Huge Spreads

The Seattle Seahawks have now won seven out of their last eight games and have become an extremely reliable bet despite facing some huge spreads. Seattle has won five straight games ATS, covering spreads of 14 twice and 10.5 once. They’ve also managed to score 30 or more points in five of their last six games.

The Rams can’t get much worse on the road as they’ve gone 1-5 SU and 1-4-1 ATS this season. Despite winning just three of their last 10 games vs the Seahawks, the Rams have managed to go 5-2 ATS against them in their last seven matchups. 

Home field advantage has been huge in this matchup as the visiting team is 0-5 ATS in the last five games between the clubs. Another trend working against the Rams is that they haven’t responded well to being underdogs in Seattle, going 1-6 ATS in their last seven trips to CenturyLink Field.

Of note to OVER/UNDER bettors, the teams have combined to go 6-14 O/U this season.

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