Cowboys Have Been An Abysmal Bet

Dallas Cowboys NFL

This season has been a trainwreck for the Dallas Cowboys. “America’s Team” is a lowly 4-10 SU and have been just as bad for bettors with a 4-9-1 ATS record. The Cowboys will visit the Buffalo Bills this Sunday, a team that has only been a marginally better play this season.

Apparently it’s Kellen Moore’s show in Dallas now. The fourth-year quarterback has not seen a single snap before last week when he went 15-for-29 with one touchdown and three interceptions. Dallas fans should not hold their breath for any sort of miracles; let’s just say that.  The Cowboys have had one of the worst offenses in the NFL this season with the team averaging just 17.6 points per game and have not scored more than 20 points since Week 11.

The Bills defense has not been good lately, but last week they were downright hard to watch. The Bills secondary, without starter Stephon Gilmore for the rest of the season, was torched all day long and allowed Kirk Cousins to post the third-highest passer rating in team history. 

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Ravens Can’t Cover Spread at Home

It’s been a depressing season for the Ravens and their backers as the team is a miserable 4-10 SU and 3-9-2 ATS, and things are about to get much worse when their hated division rival, the Pittsburgh Steelers, come to town on Sunday. 

Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers have played elite level football in their last 10 December games, going 10-0 SU and 9-0-1 ATS. They’ve been on a serious roll this December with three straight wins, scoring a total of 112 points in those games. So far this month, they’ve gone 2-0-1 ATS.

The Ravens, meanwhile, have lost three straight, including two straight at home where they allowed a total of 69 points. They still haven’t been able to cover a spread at home, posting a 0-6-1 home ATS record, and going back to last season, they’re 0-9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. 

It should come as no surprise that the Steelers are trending OVER, going above the total in four straight games. The total has gone OVER three of the last four times these teams have played in Baltimore. 

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NFL Week 16 Expert Betting Odds Picks

A pair of totals and the underdog St. Louis Rams are my NFL Week 16 betting recommendations.

Let's begin with the Rams getting 13.5 points at Seattle. Yes, I realize the Seahawks are hot with five straight wins and covers. But this is a division matchup and the Seahawks are missing their top two running backs, Marshawn Lynch and Thomas Rawls.

Seattle could be in letdown mode, too, after earning a playoff spot.


Bears are Becoming a Good Road Bet

Jay Cutler Bears

It’s been another sad season for Bears fans as the team is once again outside of the playoff picture after three straight losses. Backers of the team shouldn’t back off yet though as the Bears have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six road games ahead of their Week 16 tilt in Tampa Bay.

The Bears enter this one as underdogs, which is a position they’ve been abysmal in while on the road in December in recent years, winning just one of their last 20 games while in that position. 

After two straight losses the Bucs will close out the season with two home games. The Bucs have shown some promise this season, but have simply made too many mistakes to contend for a playoff spot. Jameis Winston set a career high in passing yards vs the Rams in Week 15 with 363 and will be looking for a strong finish to the season in hopes of becoming the Rookie of the Year.


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SNF Odds Preview: Vikings vs Giants

Adrian Peterson Vikings

The Vikings have been one of the NFL’s best bets this season, posting an 11-3 ATS record. They’ll be looking to make their backers’ wallets even fatter when they host the New York Giants on Sunday Night. 

It’s a sad state of affairs for a Giants team who’ve lost four out of their last five games. They’ll be without their human highlight reel receiver Odell Beckham who’s suspended for the game and their playoff aspirations could go up in smoke with a loss in this one. One positive for the Giants is that they’ve gone 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games.

The Vikings have been a great bet in the last full month of the NFL regular season over the past few years as they’ve gone 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in December. At home, in particular, the Vikings have gone 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in their last nine December home games.

It’s possible that the Giants might be running into the Viking at the right time though, as December hasn’t been a strong month for Adrian Peterson. In his three games this month, the most rushing yards he’s recorded in a game has been 69

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Seahawks Covering Huge Spreads

The Seattle Seahawks have now won seven out of their last eight games and have become an extremely reliable bet despite facing some huge spreads. Seattle has won five straight games ATS, covering spreads of 14 twice and 10.5 once. They’ve also managed to score 30 or more points in five of their last six games.

The Rams can’t get much worse on the road as they’ve gone 1-5 SU and 1-4-1 ATS this season. Despite winning just three of their last 10 games vs the Seahawks, the Rams have managed to go 5-2 ATS against them in their last seven matchups. 

Home field advantage has been huge in this matchup as the visiting team is 0-5 ATS in the last five games between the clubs. Another trend working against the Rams is that they haven’t responded well to being underdogs in Seattle, going 1-6 ATS in their last seven trips to CenturyLink Field.

Of note to OVER/UNDER bettors, the teams have combined to go 6-14 O/U this season.

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Jaguars are Awful on the Road

The Jacksonville Jaguars aren’t quite out of the playoff hunt yet as they head to New Orleans for a Week 16 matchup vs the Saints. The Jags have only won one game on the road this season, but have gone 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games after an ATS loss.

It’s been a season to forget for the 5-9 SU Saints who are a middling 3-3-1 ATS at home this season. They’ve lost five out of their last six games and have given up 31 or more points on seven occasions this season.

Jags fans who are clinging to playoff hopes might be out of luck in this one as Jacksonville has won just one time in their last 15 games as road underdogs. In their five road losses this season the Jags have allowed an average of 35 points.

Jacksonville was likely hoping for a bit of a break when Drew Brees was announced as day-to-day with a torn plantar fascia, but the quarterback is expected to play.

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Packers are a Poor Bet as Underdogs

Aaron Rodgers Packers

In what could be the game of the week, the Arizona Cardinals, owners of eight straight wins, host the NFC North leading Green Bay Packers. As hot as the Cards have been, they’ve been failing to cover spreads at home, going 0-4 ATS in their last four home games. Their last two home wins have come by just three points each.

The Green Bay Packers have been hard to figure out this season, but with the playoffs only a few weeks away, they appear to be rolling at the right time after three straight wins. They haven’t been underdogs often in recent years, but when they have been they haven’t responded well, going 2-12 SU and 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games as underdogs. They opened as 4.5 point dogs in this one.

The game opened with a total on the high side at 49.5. Green Bay has seen the total go UNDER in eight of their last 11 games, while the Cardinals have gone UNDER in three of their last four games.

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NFL Week 16 OddsShark Computer Picks

Carolina Panthers Josh Norman

We've reached the late stages of the 2015 NFL campaign, but like any good team, the OddsShark Super Computer is not going to fade down the stretch. According to the Computer, football fans shouldn't expect a lot of tightly contested affairs this week. The Computer, like many NFL bettors this year, is a supporter of the Carolina Panthers as it has tabbed the Panthers to pound the Atlanta Falcons 32.3-13.7.


Lions vs 49ers: Odds Preview

Calvin Johnson Lions

With both the Lions and 49ers eliminated from the playoffs, these teams only have one thing to play for—pride! At the end of the day isn’t that what it’s all about? Well, not quite. Maybe some of the players own themselves in fantasy leagues and are trying to win their league championship. I guess that’s a different type of pride though.

The 49ers have been a team to completely stay away from—especially when they’re on the road as they’ve gone 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games away from home. As far as playing on the road in December, things are even worse as they’ve gone 4-13 ATS in their 17 road December games.

They visit Ford Field to play a Lions team who are also trending in the wrong direction, posting a 2-6 home ATS record over their last eight games in Detroit. The Lions haven’t responded well to being a favorite in recent years, going 1-13 ATS in their last 14 games as favorites in December.

The opening total for the game is set at 43 and both teams are trending OVER. The 49ers have gone OVER in five of their last seven road games, while Detroit has gone OVER in five of their last six home games. 

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