NFL Wild Card Betting Trends Analysis

The Cincinnati Bengals have made the playoffs each of the previous four years with the same result - a loss and non-cover. The common denominator has been quarterback Andy Dalton. He has been the quarterback every time and has played beyond bad.


NFL Wild Card Opening Odds Analysis

Road teams have the respect of the oddsmaker judging by early numbers in the NFL Wild Card playoff round. Perhaps by kickoff all four visiting clubs will be favored.


NFL Regular Season Betting Recap

The 2015 NFL regular season wrapped up on Sunday, and like every season before it, it wasn’t short on storylines, both on and off the field. It was also an interesting and unpredictable year at the betting window, as some teams had their backers laughing all the way to the bank, while others contributed to their backers’ Christmas debt.

Here’s the best and worst of the NFL season along with the results of some preseason player props:


SNF Betting Preview: Vikings at Packers

Adrian Peterson Vikings

The NFC North crown is on the line when the Minnesota Vikings travel to Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers Sunday night. The Vikings enter the game as an underdog and that is just where they like to be as Minnesota is 7-0 ATS in their seven games as a road dog.

The last two games have seen the Vikings dominate opponents with a combined score of 87-34 in favour of Minny. Though Teddy Bridgewater deserves his credit, five touchdowns passes and no turnovers in those two games, the Vikings defense has been phenomenal. The Vikings D has recorded nine sacks, four interceptions and forced three fumbles in those games.

The Packers are coming off one of the worst ass-kickings of the year when they lost 38-8 to the Cardinals last week. Aaron Rodgers was abused in that game as he was sacked eight times and had his lowest quarterback rating since December 2012.

When these teams met for the first time this season it was the Packers defense that took the game over as they held Adrian Peterson to 45 yards on 13 carries and sacked Bridgewater six times. 

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NFL Week 17 OddsShark Computer Picks

Green Bay Packers Randall Cobb

We've reached the final week of the 2015 NFL campaign, but like any good team, the OddsShark Super Computer is not going to fade down the stretch. According to the Computer, football fans should surprisingly expect a lot of tightly contested affairs this week.


NFL Week 17 Expert Betting Odds Picks

A pair of underdogs and a total are my NFL Week 17 recommendations. The total is under 39.5 in the Washington-Dallas matchup.

The Redskins are locked into the fourth seed by virtue of winning the NFC East Division. So this game means very little to them. I expect Jay Gruden to rest his starters, including hot quarterback Kirk Cousins, much of the game.


NFL Week 17 Betting Trends Analysis

This last week of the NFL regular season can be the toughest. Who really knows the mindset of the players on teams out of postseason contention? Perhaps some trends and angles can help.

Chip Kelly didn't make it through his third season with Philadelphia, fired five days before the Eagles play at the New York Giants. The Eagles have had the Giants' number winning and covering 12 of the past 15 times, including 27-7 in Week 6.


UNDER Trending at Home for Falcons

Atlanta Falcons Julio Jones

The Falcons have been anything but a dependable bet this season as they’ve gone 2-9 ATS over their last 11 games. They’ve been a much more reliable O/U bet, however, as the UNDER has hit in five straight of their home games and in all but one of their seven home games so far this season. The Falcons will welcome the New Orleans Saints to the Georgia Dome on Sunday.

Shark Bites
  • The Saints are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games against the Falcons.
  • The Saints are 2-7 SU and 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games after a win.
  • The Falcons are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four games after winning as an underdog.

The Saints are coming off a 38-27 home win over the Jacksonville Jaguars, but have failed to put up big numbers on the road lately as they’ve averaged just 14.6 points over their last three road games. The Saints are just 2-5 SU on the road this season and lost a close 37-34 game the last time these teams met in Atlanta.

After losing six straight games, the Falcons are riding a two-game winning streak after putting an end to the Panthers’ perfect season. You’d think any offense that features Julio Jones would rank amongst the top offenses in the league, but the Falcons are ranked in the bottom half of the league with just 21.5 points per game. Even worse for the Falcons, they’ve averaged a measly 14.3 points in their last three games.

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Lions Dominating Bears in Recent Games

Detroit Lions Calvin Johnson

Dominating isn’t often a word used to describe the Detroit Lions, but after five straight wins over the Chicago Bears, it seems appropriate. With basically nothing on the line for either team (except a better draft pick for the loser), the players will simply be playing for the love of the game, or for pending free-agents, fatter contract offers in the offseason.

Shark Bites
  • The visiting team is 2-7-1 ATS in the last 10 games in this matchup.
  • In 13 career games vs the Lions, Jay Cutler has 18 TD passes and eight interceptions.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Bears' last four games.

Some alarming trends stick out for the Bears heading into the game. Most disturbing for the team and their season ticket holders is the team’s 1-9 SU home record in their last 10 games. They’ve also been a bad bet against divisional opponents, posting a 6-14 ATS record in their last 20 games vs divisional foes.

The Lions will be looking to end the season on a three game win streak, after winning their last two games, both SU and ATS. The Lions won a close game over the Bears on October 18th—37-34. Matthew Stafford went off in the game for 405 passing yards and four touchdowns, while Calvin Johnson had his only 100+ receiving yard game of the season—catching six balls, for 166 yards and a touchdown.

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Jets are on an ATS Roll

Ryan Fitzpatrick New York Jets

With a playoff spot in their grasp, the Jets will travel upstate for a divisional matchup in Buffalo against the Bills. The Jets are getting hot at the right time as the season winds down—winning five straight games, while going 4-0-1 ATS during that stretch.

Shark Bites
  • The Jets are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four games against the Bills.
  • The Bills are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as home underdogs.
  • The Jets are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games after winning as an underdog.

The Bills’ playoff hopes are long gone, but they’ll be trying to spoil the Jets’ postseason aspirations. New York opened as 2.5-point favorites, but the Bills have been a strong ATS play at home over their last 10 home games—going 7-3 ATS. There’s something about playing in January that hasn’t quite clicked for Buffalo though, as they’ve gone just 1-6 SU and ATS in their last seven games in January.

During their five game winning streak the Jets have averaged 27.2 points per game while allowing just 16.8 points. Ryan Fitzpatrick has been a major reason for the Jets’ recent success as he’s thrown 13 touchdowns and just one interception during the five games. Brandon Marshall has also been giving opposing defenses nightmares, as he’s recorded 115 or more receiving yards in four of the five games.

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