Jets Hold ATS Edge Over Patriots

Brandon Marshall Jets

It shouldn’t come as much of a surprise to learn that the Patriots have won eight of their last nine games vs the Jets, but more often than not they’ve come out on the losing end on the ATS side. In their last five games against each other, the Jets have gone 4-0-1 ATS with four of those games being decided by three or less points.

The Jets have been a strong bet at home, going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 at home, and are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five home games in December. If you’re thinking upset here, it might be best to think again as the Jets have struggled in the underdog role, winning just three of their last 13 as underdogs. 

After uncharacteristic back-to-back losses for New England in Weeks 12 and 13, things are back to normal for Brady and company after winning by 21 points and 17 points in their last two games. Being on the road shouldn’t impact the Patriots as they’ve won 12 of their last 16 games in New York vs the Jets, and are a perfect 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS as road favorites vs the Jets in their last five. 

Fans of high scoring games might be in for a treat in this one as 10 of the last 12 games between the teams has gone OVER, including five straight OVERs when the teams play in New York.


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NFL Touchdown Receptions Leader Odds

Baldwin Wilson Seahawks

With only two weeks of regular season NFL action remaining, playoff positioning isn’t the only thing fans have their eyes on as a number of important stat categories are still up for grabs. Perhaps the tightest category is receiving touchdowns with nine players having between 10 and 13 touchdown catches. Online sportsbook Bovada has compiled a list of the most likely players to lead the league in touchdown receptions with Doug Baldwin and Odell Beckham leading the way at +175.


NFL Week 16 Betting Trends Analysis

How does a team go from leading the NFL in sacks a year ago with 54 to ranking 30th with just 20 this season despite having the same players? Hire Rex Ryan, which is what Buffalo did.

At 6-8, the Bills are missing the playoffs for the 15th straight season, longest streak in the NFL. Tactics certainly aren't Ryan's strength. But he is capable of motivating players. Buffalo is minus six hosting Dallas.


TNF Odds Preview: Raiders vs Chargers

Cooper Raiders

The Oakland Raiders and San Diego Chargers have been competitive on the field, with the two teams splitting their last six games, but the Raiders have been dominating at the betting window. The Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their past six games against their AFC West rivals.

Oakland has a promising future, but they are not there yet as they are 2-5 SU in their last five games with an average scoring margin of minus six. Derek Carr torched the Chargers when these teams met earlier this season with three touchdowns and no interceptions while posting a passer rating of 137.7.

If you had Danny Woodhead on your fantasy team last week you’re likely one game closer to a championship as the running back scored four touchdowns in the game vs Miami, which matched his total for the entire season before the game. Philip Rivers has started to look more pedestrian as of late with three touchdowns and four interceptions in the past four games.

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NFL Week 16 Opening Odds Analysis

Possible playoff game previews highlight the NFL Week 16 card. Arizona opened minus four at home to Green Bay and is up to 4.5 at most bet shops. Denver is minus 3.5 hosting Cincinnati Monday night.

This is only the second time the Packers are an underdog this season. They closed plus one at Minnesota on November 22. The Packers are 3-10-1 ATS when taking points since the middle of 2012. The Cardinals are 20-11 against the spread (ATS) as a favorite under Bruce Arians.


The Dolphins are a Bad Investment

The Miami Dolphins look like they may have already packed it in this season after last week’s 30-14 loss, but bettors have already learned to stay far away from the Phins this season. The Dolphins are just 4-10 ATS on the season and have not covered in their past five games. Miami will take a trip to Lucas Oil Stadium to visit the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday.

The Dolphins have now ensured their first losing season since 2012, the first year under lame duck coach Joe Philbin. The past two weeks have seen the Dolphins defense allow seven passing touchdowns while only mustering one lone sack.

Despite a 6-8 record, the Colts are still very much alive in the AFC South picture, but they will need some help to make the playoffs.  Indy is on a three-game losing streak that has seen them surrender 45 or more points twice. 

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Titans vs Texans: Week 16 Odds and Pick

JJ Watt

The Houston Texans will look to grab a strangle hold on the AFC South division lead when they visit the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. The Texans have been as close as it gets to being a sure thing vs the Titans, as they’ve gone 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against them.

There’s no other way to put it—the Titans are a horrible bet against division opponents. They’ve gone a pathetic 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games against divisional foes. The Titans will once again be in contention for the top draft pick in the NFL draft, but will have the opportunity to “improve” upon their AFC worst 1-6 SU home record.

After two losses in a row the Texans got back on track with an ugly 16-10 win over the Colts in Week 15. Brandon Weeden stepped for an injured T.J. Yates and he could get the call vs the Titans if injured started Brian Hoyer doesn’t get cleared. It could be a battle of the back-ups as Zach Mettenberger is set to start in place of Marcus Mariota (knee).

This one has the makings of the can miss game of the year. 

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MNF Preview: Lions at Saints Odds

The New Orleans Saints tend to fall apart when they’re expected to win as they are just 2-9-1 ATS in their past 12 games as the favorite. New Orleans will be the fave when they host the Detroit Lions Sunday.

The Saints defense bounced back last week after one of their worst performances of the season the week before as they held the Bucs to just 17 points and 291 offensive yards. Drew Brees has been phenomenal at home this season with a 71.5 completion percentage with 17 touchdowns and five interceptions. 

The Lions are coming off a loss to the St. Louis Rams, which is far from good. Detroit has faltered on the road this season, going 1-5 SU, but have only lost by less than three points per game. 


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SNF Betting Preview: Cardinals at Eagles

Arizona Cardinals NFL

The Arizona Cardinals have clinched themselves a playoff spot, but with positioning still yet to be determined, you can expect them to go all out when they visit the Philadelphia Eagles Sunday. The Cards can take solace in the fact that they are 4-1 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in their past five games against Philly.

The Cardinals have won seven consecutive games with an average scoring margin of +9.2 points. Carson Palmer has been lighting it up during that span as he has thrown 17 touchdowns to eight different receivers while only throwing four interceptions.

The Eagles are coming off back-to-back wins for the first time since Week 7 as they have victories over the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills in the past two weeks. Sam Bradford has surprisingly done very well at protecting the ball with just one interception in the past four games.

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Nover: Five Best NFL Coaches This Year

Who have done the five best coaching jobs in the NFL this season? Here are my five choices based on record, pointspread mark, comparison of their before-the-season win total using Bovada over/under figures and my own eye test.



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