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Betting Against Ranked Teams?


Some college football bettors would tell you that wagering on ranked road underdogs against an unranked home foe is an out-and-out trap, but the numbers suggest otherwise.

No system is foolproof, and while it’s unlike us to put the fate of our bankroll in the hands of the AP Top 25 and the college football head coaches that chime in on the Coaches’ Poll every week, the reality is that the rankings tend to point bettors in the right direction.


Bowl Season: Bowl Games Betting Trends

The 2014/15 college football bowl season gets underway on Saturday, December 20 in New Orleans and runs through the inaugural College Football Championship Game on Monday, January 12 in Arlington.

And the sportsbooks started posting their betting lines for each and every one of the bowl game matchups as soon the schedule was announced, including odds for the two national semifinal matchups set for January 1 - the Sugar Bowl between Alabama and Ohio State, and the Rose Bowl between Oregon and Florida State.


Birmingham Bowl College Football Betting Odds with Pick - East Carolina Pirates vs Florida Gators

The Florida Gators will be gunning for their ninth ATS win in their last 12 bowl game appearances when they face the East Carolina Pirates in the Birmingham Bowl. The Gators are 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five overall, with the total finishing UNDER in both of their SU losses, bucking a 7-1 trend by the OVER in Florida's previous eight.

The Pirates are 5-1 ATS over the past two seasons when pegged as underdogs, but are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight overall, while the OVER is a solid 5-1-1 in their last seven. The OVER prevailed in the last two former Compass Bowls, ending a stretch of six straight playing UNDER the posted total.

The East Carolina Pirates will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Saturday, as they are 5-7 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Florida Gators are 6-5 ATS. East Carolina is 6-6 against the over under total, while Florida is 8-3 versus the number.

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GoDaddy Bowl College Football Betting Odds with Pick - Toledo Rockets vs Arkansas State Red Wolves

The Arkansas State Red Wolves will look to remain undefeated, SU and ATS, in their third straight GoDaddy Bowl appearance when they take on the Toledo Rockets. The Red Wolves are 3-3 SU and ATS in their last six games this season with the OVER finishing 6-0 during that stretch. However, the UNDER is a strong 7-2 in the last nine GoDaddy/GMAC Bowls.

Favorites are 8-2-2 ATS in the last 12 GoDaddy/GMAC Bowls. However, the Rockets have struggled to reward bettors, going 3-4-1 in their last eight as favorites. Overall, Toledo is 4-7-1 ATS this season but are a solid 2-0-1 ATS in their last three and 4-1 SU in their last five.

This season the Arkansas State Red Wolves are 7-5 overall and 8-4 ATS against the spread, while the Rockets are 8-4 and 4-7-1 ATS. As for the totals, Arkansas State is 7-5 on the OU, and Toledo is 7-5

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Cowboys visit Washington Huskies Cactus Bowl College Football Betting Clash

The Washington Huskies are 15-0 SU in their last 15 games as the betting favorite. Washington will look to extend that winning streak in the Cactus Bowl squaring off against the Oklahoma State Cowboys.

Oklahoma State picked up bowl eligibility in its final game of the season with a 38-35 road win over Oklahoma as a 19.5-point underdog. The Cowboys were 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in their previous five games before that win. Each of the last three Cactus Bowls (previously named the Insight Bowl) have played UNDER the total. Washington went 9-4 on the UNDER this season and 3-0 on the UNDER in its last three games.

The Washington Huskies sport a record of 8-5 and 7-6 ATS heading into this betting matchup, while the Oklahoma State Cowboys sit at 6-6 and 5-7 ATS on the season. The over under totals records are 4-9 for the Huskies and 7-5 for the Cowboys.

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Bruins visit Kansas State Wildcats Alamo Bowl College Football Betting Clash

Betting favorites are 5-1 ATS in the last six Alamo Bowl games. The Kansas State Wildcats hope that trend will continue as a small favorite against the UCLA Bruins in this year's Alamo Bowl in San Antonio, Texas.

UCLA cost itself a trip to the Pac-12 championship game with a 31-10 loss at home to Stanford in its final game of the regular season, falling to 9-3 SU and 4-8 ATS on the year. The Wildcats went 7-2 SU and ATS over their last nine games of the season with the two losses coming on the road to Big 12 co-champions Baylor and TCU. KSU is 1-5 SU and ATS in its last six bowl games.

The Kansas State Wildcats sit at 9-3 (8-4 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the UCLA Bruins are currently 9-3 (4-8 ATS). Looking to bet on the totals? Kansas State is 7-5 OU, and UCLA is 4-8 OU.

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Armed Forces Bowl College Football Betting Preview and Pick - Houston Cougars Underdogs vs Panthers

The Houston Cougars will be gunning for their ninth ATS win in their last 11 games as underdogs when they take on the Pittsburgh Panthers in the Armed Forces Bowl. Underdogs have covered in five of the last six Armed Forces Bowls, but the Cougars are just 1-2-1 ATS in their last four games.

The Panthers have struggled as favorites in recent outings, just 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last six. The total has finished OVER in four of Pittsburgh's last five this season, however the UNDER is 6-2 in the Panthers' last eight bowl game appearances. Overall, Pitt is 3-2 SU and ATS in their last five bowl games.

Houston bring a 7-5 record (6-5-1 ATS) to the Bowl game betting matchup against the 6-6 Pittsburgh Panthers, who are 6-6 ATS against the spread. Over under betting has seen Houston go 4-8 so far and the Panthers go 6-5-1.

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TaxSlayer Bowl College Football Betting Line Favors Tennessee over Iowa

The Tennessee Volunteers will be looking for just their fourth SU postseason victory since 2000 when they take on the Iowa Hawkeyes in the TaxSlayer Bowl. Tennessee will be making their first bowl game appearance since 2010 and is a dismal 3-10 SU in their last 13 postseason outings.

The Hawkeyes have been a solid bowl game bet in recent years, going 5-1 ATS in their last six, but following a fast 6-2 start this season Iowa finished 1-3 SU in their last four, 2-2 ATS, with the total finishing OVER in five of their last seven. Conversely, the UNDER went a strong 5-1-1 in the last seven Gator Bowls.

Betting fans of the Tennessee Volunteers have seen them go 6-6 and 6-6 ATS so far this season, while the Iowa Hawkeyes are at 7-5 and 6-6 ATS. In over under totals betting, the Iowa Hawkeyes are 6-5-1, while the Tennessee Volunteers are 5-6.

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Ohio State Buckeyes vs Alabama Crimson Tide Sugar Bowl Betting Preview, Odds and Pick

A berth in the College Football Championship Game will be on the line in the Sugar Bowl at the Superdome on New Year's Day as the Alabama Crimson Tide take on the Ohio State Buckeyes in a national semifinal matchup.

The Crimson Tide, favored for the contest, are 5-1 ATS in their last six bowl game appearances heading into this year's Sugar Bowl, and they're also 4-0 both SU and ATS in their last four games against Big Ten teams. The Buckeyes, meanwhile, are just 1-5 both SU and ATS in their last six games against SEC teams, and they're also just 1-4 SU in their last five games as double-digit underdog.

Alabama will face the 12-1 Ohio State Buckeyes, who own a 8-5 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Alabama Crimson Tide are 6-6 so far this season while the Buckeyes are 11-2.

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Oregon Ducks Hosting the Florida State Seminoles Rose Bowl Odds and Betting Pick

The Florida State Seminoles and the Oregon Ducks will be battling for a berth in this year's College Football Championship Game when they face off in the Rose Bowl on New Year's Day.

The Seminoles are unbeaten at 13-0 SU so far this season, but they've managed to go just 3-10 ATS in that span. However, Florida State is 9-1-1 ATS in its past 11 bowl games, while Oregon is 3-0 both SU and ATS in its past three bowl game appearances. Barring a major line move the Rose Bowl will mark the first time the Seminoles have been listed as underdogs on the college football odds since September 2011.

Betting fans of the Oregon Ducks have seen them go 12-1 and 9-4 ATS so far this season, while the Florida State Seminoles are at 13-0 and 3-10 ATS. In over under totals betting, the Florida State Seminoles are 6-7, while the Oregon Ducks are 6-7.

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