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Will History Repeat Itself in Game 6?

Stephen Curry LeBron James

No team has ever come back from a 3-1 hole to win the NBA Finals, and only two of 32 teams in that position have managed to take the series to seven games. The last time that happened was in 1966. The Cleveland Cavaliers will attempt to make history tonight when Game 6 gets underway in Ohio on Thursday.

Shark Bites
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Warriors' last seven games with a closing total of 207.5 or less.
  • The Cavaliers are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four games with two days off between games.
  • The favored team is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games in this matchup.

Cleveland’s dynamic duo of LeBron James and Kyrie Irving combined for 82 points in the Cavs’ 112-97 victory in Game 5, denying the Golden State Warriors a chance to repeat on their home court. Kevin Love returned to the starting lineup in that contest but managed only two points and three rebounds.

The biggest difference for Golden State in that game was the absence of Draymond Green. Green missed Game 5 due to a suspension for hitting James below-the-belt in Game 4. If the power forward receives another flagrant one, he’ll miss a potential Game 7.

If you’ll remember back to last year, the Warriors were in the exact same position. Up 3-2 in the series, they closed out the Finals in front of Cleveland’s home crowd. Earlier in the season, Curry stated he hoped the locker rooms “still smelled of champagne.”

The Cavs, who opened as 2-point favorites at most shops, have been producing as home faves as of late. In their last eight when tabbed as home chalk, the wine and gold are 7-1 ATS.

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731000
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Breaking Down The Odds For Game 6

It’s been a strong NBA Finals so far in terms of my analysis of the line though I must admit the number for Game 6 has my wheels turning a little. 

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How I've Nailed the 2016 NBA Finals

LeBron James Cleveland Cavs NBA Finals

I admit I can be wrong at times and I guarantee you I will be wrong again, but this NBA Finals is not one of those times. This is one of those times where I’ve been nailing it with my analysis through some very tricky betting situations and I really hope you’re reading and watching.

Understanding the line and why sports books set it the way they do is such an important part of sports betting.

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What's Draymond Worth To The Spread?

I think everyone was a little shocked when the NBA announced Draymond Green was suspended for Game 5 of the NBA Finals. 

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Can Golden State Close it Out at Home?

Kyrie Irving Andre Iguodala

The Golden State Warriors can become the seventh franchise in NBA history to win consecutive titles with a victory in Game 5 at Oracle Arena on Monday night, but they’ll have to do it without one of their most important players. On Sunday, the league announced power forward Draymond Green would be suspended for the tilt as a result of his actions in Game 4 when he hit LeBron James below the belt.

Shark Bites
  • Draymond Green only missed one game this season, the Warriors lost SU and ATS and the total went over.
  • The Cavaliers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games after losing as a favorite.
  • The Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite of 5.5 or more.

The Warriors opened as 7.5-point favorites at most shops, but that number had dropped to -5.5 as of Monday morning. Home court advantage continues to be huge in this series, as visiting clubs are a measly 1-3 SU and ATS in the last four meetings between the sides.

Sharpshooting point guard Stephen Curry received plenty of criticism throughout the first three games but silenced the haters in Game 4, erupting for 38 points in Golden State’s 108-97 triumph. The Dubs set an NBA Finals record with 17 three-pointers on Friday, outscoring the Cavs by 33 points from beyond the arc.

Only 10 teams in NBA history have rallied from 3-1 down in the playoffs and no team has won the championship after falling behind 3-1 in the Finals. In the infamous words of Terrell Owens: getcha popcorn ready.

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730999
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Can Dubs Bounce Back In Game 4?

When it comes to breaking down Game 3, the Golden State Warriors’ Draymond Green said it succinctly. 

"We were extremely soft," Green said after practice on Thursday. "We got bullied, punked, whatever word you can find for it."

True. 

Not to take anything away from Cleveland. The Cavs executed a great game plan. Like last year when they won two games in the Finals against Golden State, they came out playing smarter, grittier defense and dictated the pace. 

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Cavs Continue to Cash on Home Court

The Cleveland Cavaliers finally showed signs of life in Game 3 against the Golden State Warriors and stepped up in a big way, hammering the Dubs 120-90 on their home court. Game 4 is set for Friday, where the Cavs opened as 2-point favorites.

Shark Bites
  • The Cavaliers are 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven games as a favorite of 2.0 or less.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Warriors' last four games with a closing total of 206.5 or more.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Cavaliers' last five games with a closing total of 206.5 or more.

The struggles of sharpshooting point guard Stephen Curry have been well documented throughout the series. Curry, the two-time reining MVP, led the NBA in scoring at 30.4 points per game but mustered up just 19 on 6-for-13 shooting.

“I have to play 100 times better. I didn’t play my game. I’m disappointed I didn’t help my team win,” Curry told reporters after his team’s Game 3 loss. Curry has 48 points in the first three games of the series, but he didn’t score less than 50 in three-straight games all season.

Kevin Love, who missed Game 3 with a concussion, was not especially missed by the wine and gold. The Cavs looked great in the absence of the big man, recapturing their stellar presence from beyond the arc. At the time of writing, a decision had not yet been made on Love’s status for tonight.

The Cavs continue to cash tickets on their home floor. In Cleveland’s last seven contests at Quicken Loans Arena, they’re a perfect 7-0 ATS.

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730998
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Sportsbooks Won With Cavs In Game 3

There are some games in sports where you can ignore everything else and bet simply based on what the line is telling you. Last night’s Game 3 of the NBA Finals was one of them. 

And what the line was saying was: 1. The books knew Kevin Love would likely be out when they set the line and 2. They were happy to take on the public by backing the Cavs while the majority of bettors piled on Golden State. 

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NBA Finals: Exact Series Outcome Odds

Stephen Curry LeBron James

In the wake of an exhilarating semifinals, there was no shortage of storylines for the 2016 NBA Finals. The rematch. Curry vs. LeBron. Blue-collar Ohio vs. plush California. But after a pair of less than exciting opening games (to put it lightly), the championship series has been a complete flop so far.

After hammering Cleveland 104-89 in Game 1 and 110-77 in Game 2, the Warriors are on cruise control right now. To prepare for its conclusion, one online sportsbook is offering a prop special on the correct outcome of the series.

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Warriors Top Second Half Team In Playoffs

Maybe you’ve noticed - the Golden State Warriors are pretty freakin’ good during the final 24 minutes of a basketball game.  

The Warriors are statistically the No. 1 second-half team in the NBA these playoffs, piling up an average of 54.6 points and they have a second-half plus-minus of 6.8. 

That second number is really the one that should interest halftime and in-game bettors. It means Golden State is three possessions better than the competition throughout the postseason which is leaving the competition in the dust. 

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