NBA Playoffs: Exact Series Outcome Odds

JJ Redick Los Angeles Clippers

Let’s face it: futures bets can sometimes be a drag. Sure, I can place a bet on my Green Bay Packers to win Super Bowl LI (which is a lock, by the way) before the NFL season starts but now my money is going to be tied up until February. When it comes to the NBA playoffs, however, there’s a different type of option available with a not so distant payoff: exact series outcome betting.


Blazers Seeking to Even Series With Clips

Blake Griffin Damian Lillard

It took two games for the Portland Trail Blazers to find their groove, but the bunch from Rip City lit it up in a 96-88 home win over the Los Angeles Clippers in Game 3. Game 4, which takes place on Monday, will give the Blazers an opportunity to even up the series after the Clips took Games 1 and 2.

Shark Bites
  • The Trail Blazers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after an ATS win.
  • The Clippers are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five games with one day off between games.
  • The Trail Blazers are 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS in their last four games after a win.

Home court advantage continues to be huge in this series, as visiting clubs are 0-4 SU in the last four meetings between the squads. Damian Lillard was cold in the first two affairs but put up 27 points while making 11 of 22 from the field in Game 3, while backcourt mate CJ McCollum totalled 27 points on 11-of-22 shooting in the victory.

Don’t fault Chris Paul for the loss, though. The Clippers point guard has averaged 26.3 points, 8.3 assists and five rebounds in the series.

Oddsmakers opened the total for the matchup at 206.5, a number that will greatly appeal to UNDER bettors. The UNDER is 9-1 in the Clippers’ last 10 with a closing total of 206.5 or more.

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Heat are Excellent at Bouncing Back

After a pair of blowout losses, the Charlotte Hornets bounced back in a big way in Game 3 of their Eastern Conference first-round series with the Miami Heat. Charlotte stormed back on Saturday, topping Miami 96-80 thanks to a strong performance from rookie Frank Kaminsky. Game 4 goes tonight in Charlotte.

Shark Bites
  • The Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as home favorites.
  • The Heat are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 3.0 or less.
  • The Hornets are 8-1 SU in their last nine games as favorites.

Miami has been a fantastic bounce back bet, however. The Heat are 9-0 SU in their last nine coming off a loss. The Heat, who opened as 2.5-point underdogs, are also 10-4 ATS in their previous 14 when tabbed as dogs of 3 points or less.

While the Hornets walked away with the W in Game 3, they’ll need to improve their shooting if they wish to have a fighting chance for the rest of the series. Charlotte shot only 38.9 percent from the field in the contest but were sharp in basically every other facet of the game, going 21-for-22 from the foul line while committing only four turnovers. Miami shot 19-for-30 from the charity stripe and turned the ball over 15 times.

Miami big man Hassan Whiteside sat out of Sunday’s practice with a bruised right thing but the center has stated he’s receiving treatment and does not expect to miss Game 4.

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Is OKC Getting Too Many Points?

Russell Westbrook Dirk Nowitzki

The Dallas Mavericks-Oklahoma City Thunder Western Conference first-round series has been a roller coaster ride so far, but the Mavs are on their last legs heading into Game 5 on Monday. OKC, which owns a 3-1 series lead and opened as 14-point favorites, is a brutal 1-6 ATS in its last seven when set as chalk of 14 points or more.

Shark Bites
  • The Thunder are 7-1 SU in their last eight games as home favorites.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Mavericks' last six games as road underdogs.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Thunder' last seven games with a closing total of 205.0 or more.

Superstar forward Kevin Durant will need to put on a better showing throughout the rest of the playoffs. Durant was ejected in Game 4 for a flagrant foul and has been wildly inconsistent. The Slim Reaper shot a combined 18 of 40 for 28.5 points per game in Games 1 and 3 but went 14 of 53 for an average of 20 in the other two tilts.

Another trend that favors the Mavs: Dallas is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 road games. Dirk Nowitzki and company are also 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five after consecutive losses.

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Pistons Just Can’t Solve Cavs in Playoffs

Kyrie Irving Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Playoffs

The Cleveland Cavaliers can complete a four-game sweep of the Detroit Pistons in their opening round playoff matchup Sunday evening, but if you know the history between the two Central Division rivals, this shouldn’t come as a real surprise.

Shark Bites
  • The Cavs are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a SU win.
  • UNDER is 5-1 in the Pistons last six games at home.
  • UNDER is 6-2 in the Pistons last eight games versus the Central.

The Cavs are currently 6.5-point road favorites at online shop Bovada. The total is tabbed at 198 with OVER priced at -115 and UNDER at -105.

Dating back to the 2007 postseason, the Cavs have now won 11-straight games versus the Pistons when the two meet up in the playoffs. Just as distressing, for Pistons backers at least, is the fact that they’ve gone just 1-10 against the spread during their 11-game losing skid.

Lost in that, however, is the fact that the Pistons probably feel hard done by down 3-0. They’ve played very competitive basketball in the opening three games and have gotten balanced scoring from a slew of players with Kentavious Caldwell-Pope leading the way at 17.3 points per game.

Kyrie Irving was excellent for the Cavs in Game 3 as he recorded 26 points in the 101-91 victory. The Cavs have been an excellent wager off of one day’s rest, as well, as they’ve gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven games in that spot.

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Celtics Desperate to Pull Even With ATL

Isaiah Thomas Boston Celtics NBA Playoffs

After just missing in Game 1 and then being thoroughly outplayed in Game 2 in the opening two games of their Eastern Conference playoff series against the Atlanta Hawks, the Boston Celtics put together a solid performance in Game 3 with a 111-103 victory on their own floor. The C’s will look to keep the momentum going and even things up in Game 4 at the TD Garden Sunday.

Shark Bites
  • The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.
  • The home team is 6-2 ATS in the previous eight meetings.
  • UNDER is 10-1 in the Celtics last 11 games following an ATS win.

The Celtics are currently pegged as 2-point home favorites at online shop Bovada. The total is presently set at 204 with OVER -105 and UNDER -115.

Isaiah Thomas came out possessed and looked assured that the Celtics would not fall to 3-0. The diminutive point guard was 12-24 from the field and 13-15 from the charity stripe as he finished with an electric 42 points in the win.

The former Washington Husky is actually lucky to be playing in Game 4 after an altercation with Dennis Schroder, however. The two were slapped with double techs with Thomas having to be restrained. Thomas actually delivered a forearm to Schroder that was reviewed after the game and decided that further punishment was not warranted. If anything the heated battle between the two guards does add a spicy layer to an already-competitive series.

The C’s have covered the number in two of the three games thus far but it was the Hawks who dominated in the regular season. Atlanta had gone 3-1 straight up and against the spread in the four regular season meetings.

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Curry Expected to Return for Game 4

Stephen Curry Golden State Warriors NBA Playoffs

James Harden and the Houston Rockets did what many assumed impossible: defeat the Golden State Warriors in an opening round playoff game. Sure, Stephen Curry did not play due to that ankle injury, but let’s not take anything away from the completely dysfunctional Rockets. While there is no doubt that they hope Curry misses Game 4, that does not look likely as the probable MVP looks set to return Sunday.

Shark Bites
  • UNDER is 11-5 in the previous 16 meetings in Houston.
  • The Rockets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight Sunday games.
  • UNDER is 6-0 in the Warriors’ last six road games.

Online book Bovada currently has the Warriors tabbed as 9.5-point road favorites for their Game 4 showdown. As far as the total is concerned, the shop is offering OVER 217 at -115 and UNDER 217 at -105.

Curry tweaked his ankle in Game 1 and missed games two and three but the Warriors bring a 2-1 series lead into Sunday’s showdown. Reports have emerged that Steph will indeed be back on the floor Sunday after he had stated that he was feeling game-ready after practice.

"I think I can play through a little bit of discomfort and whatnot, especially in a playoff situation," Curry said.

The Warriors had gone 5-0 straight up and 4-1 against the spread in the first five meetings (three regular season, two playoff) between the two teams entering Game 3.

It took a late James Harden winner for the Rockets to prevail 97-96 in Thursday’s Game 3, but that should give the team some optimism and renewed confidence ahead of Game 4.

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Spurs Go for Sweep Versus Grizz Sunday

Kawhi Leonard San Antonio Spurs NBA Playoffs

Due to an injury list as long as it is depressing, the Memphis Grizzlies have been a patchwork squad that hobbled their way into the postseason riding minutes from the likes of Jordan Farmar and Matt Barnes. Mercifully, the Grizz can be put out of the misery when the San Antonio Spurs look to complete the sweep in Game 4 of their opening round playoff series Sunday.

Shark Bites
  • The favorite is 7-2 ATS in the previous nine meetings.
  • UNDER is 5-1 in the Grizzlies’ last six games overall.
  • The Spurs are just 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.

Online book Bovada is presently offering the Spurs as 13-point road favorites for Sunday’s contest. The total is pegged at 183 with both OVER and UNDER priced at -110.

All three games of this series have finished UNDER the closing total with that number decreasing with each outing. The two teams have combined to average a paltry 175 points per game in the opening three contests of the series.

The Grizzlies’ injuries have been glaring this series as the team just can’t get points with the likes of Mike Conley and Marc Gasol sidelined. Through three games, Memphis has averaged just 76.3 points per outing, but were much better at home in Game 3 as they put up 87 points.

Healthy or not, the Grizzlies have always had a hard time with the Spurs. Memphis had lost five straight meetings with San Antonio entering this series and now that that has been extended to eight, it will take nothing short of a miracle to end it Sunday.

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Clips Keeping Blazers in Check Out West

Chris Paul Los Angeles Clippers NBA Playoffs

Some pundits around the Association predicted a potential upset in Portland’s first-round playoff series with Los Angeles, but the Clippers are making them eat their words through two games. Owning a 2-0 series lead heading into Saturday’s contest, L.A. has limited the Blazers to 88 points per game – well below their season average of 105.1. Portland has shot a mere 36.8 percent from the field in two games at Staples Center.

Shark Bites
  • The Clippers are 9-21 SU in their last 30 games on the road against the Blazers.
  • The Trail Blazers are 5-1 SU in their last six games after a loss.
  • The Clippers are 3-0 SU in their last three games with two days off between games.

Favored teams in this series continue to cash tickets, as they have gone 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in its last five matchups between the Western Conference foes.

The total, which opened at 207.5, will appeal to UNDER bettors in this one. L.A. has gone UNDER in eight of the Clippers’ last nine with a number of 207.5 or less. The battle of the point guards has been extremely one sided so far.

Chris Paul’s veteran experience has shown, as the 30-year-old is shutting down Damian Lillard with ease. Paul has notched 43 points and 16 assists in two games, and he’s limited Lillard to 17 points on 6-of-14 shooting.

Portland has fared considerably better at home, however. The Trail Blazers are a sizzling 18-3 since January 23, tied for the third-best mark in the league behind powerhouses San Antonio and Golden State.

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OKC Struggling to Win Two-Straight Games

Kevin Durant Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Playoffs

Kevin Durant made people quickly forget about his 7-for-33 shooting performance in the Thunder’s Game 2 loss with a 34-point explosion in OKC’s 131-102 drubbing of the Dallas Mavericks in Game 3 Thursday night. The Mavs will look to pull even with a win at home in Game 4 Saturday.

Shark Bites
  • OVER has gone 6-0 in OKC’s last six games in Dallas.
  • The Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as home underdogs.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of OKC’s last six games on the road.

Winning back-to-back games has not come easy to the Thunder of late, however, as they’ve gone 0-5 straight up in their last five contests following a victory in the previous game. That said, OKC couldn’t have asked for a better performance after such a dismal showing in Game 2 in front of their home fans.

The Thunder have scored the third-most points per game (107.7) and have given up the second-fewest (85.7) as of Friday afternoon so it took a freak-Durant performance in Game 2 for the Thunder to drop a game.

They’ve been a safe bet though as they’ve covered the number convincingly in games one and three. OKC hammered Dallas by 38 in Game 1 (108-70) and by 29 in Game 3 covering the spread by 26 and 19.5 points respectively.

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