This Week In Sports Betting

If you’ve been betting the OVER on the regular during the NBA playoffs, chances are your bankroll is more banged up than the L.A. Clippers’ roster right now. 

As of Wednesday, the OVER/UNDER is 10-24-1 this postseason for a lucrative winning percentage of 68.6 for the UNDER. 

Does that mean you should go off carting wheelbarrows of money to your local sportsbook and start shoveling cash on NBA UNDERs? Probably not.

When it comes to season-long and postseason-long trends, things tend to even out over time. Oddsmakers are kind of amazing that way. 


Hornets Have Lost 16 of 17 in Miami

Winning on the road in the postseason has not exactly been in the Charlotte Hornets’ DNA. The last time the Hornets won on the road, Dwayne Wade was in college. After storming back into the series thanks to two-straight victories in North Carolina, the Hornets will be seeking to turn that ship around tonight when action shifts back to South Beach - a place they've won just once in their last 17 trips there.

Shark Bites
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Hornets' last nine games.
  • The Hornets are 1-16 SU in their last 17 games on the road against the Heat.
  • The Hornets are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four games as an underdog of 5.5 or less.

Both of Miami’s wins came by double-digit margins at home, but the veteran Heat have looked older and slower than the upstart Hornets in the last two contests. Wade, Luol Deng and Joe Johnson all logged heavy minutes in Game 4, with the 30-somethings faded down the stretch in Monday’s 89-85 defeat.

Hornets point guard Kemba Walker is a big reason for his team’s resurgence. Walker scored 19 of his playoff career-high 34 points in the second half of Game 4 and put up each of Charlotte’s 11 points in an 11-5 run that put the boys from Buzz City up 87-80 with 3:10 left in the fourth quarter.

History is working in the Heat’s favor. Miami is 13-2 SU in its last 15 postsaeson home games, with both losses coming to the San Antonio Spurs in the 2014 NBA Finals.

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Do the Wounded Clippers Stand a Chance?

How the mighty have fallen. The Los Angeles Clippers, a team that’s been plagued by bad luck in the playoffs the last few years, received the worst news possible after a Game 4 first-round loss to the Portland Trail Blazers. The Clips lost both of their All-Stars in Chris Paul and Blake Griffin to injuries and will be forced to carry on with a depleted lineup with the series tied at two games apiece.

Shark Bites
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Trail Blazers' last six games with a closing total of 197.5 or more.
  • The visiting team is 0-5 SU in its last five games in this matchup.
  • The Clippers were 3-5 SU and ATS, and 7-1 OU without Chris Paul this season.

Just how rough are things for L.A. right now? Here’s their starting lineup: Austin Rivers, J.J. Redick, Jeff Green, Luc Mbah A Moute and DeAndre Jordan. The franchise has never advanced past the second round, and it’s going to be extremely tough to buck that trend as a likely date with the Golden State Warriors awaits the winner of this series.

Paul had surgery to repair a hand fracture he sustained in the third quarter of Monday’s 94-84 setback, while Griffin has been ruled out for the remainder of the playoffs after aggravating his left quadriceps tendon.

The good new for Clippers backers is the Blazers have not been successful after covering in their previous game. In Portland’s last 11 after an ATS win, Damian Lillard and company are 3-8 ATS.

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UNDER Trending in HOU-GS Game 5

The story of the NBA playoffs so far has been a rash of injuries to star players, and that wave has hit the Bay Area. The Golden State Warriors lost their phenomenal point guard Stephen Curry to a grade 1 sprain of the MCL on his right knee, an ailment that will sideline him for an estimated two weeks. His team can close out their first-round series with the Houston Rockets with a win on Wednesday.

Shark Bites
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Warriors' last 11 games after a win.
  • The Rockets are 5-2 SU and ATS in their last seven games after a loss.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Rockets' last eight games on the road.

The Rockets have lost five-straight playoff games at Oracle Arena. Don’t fault Rockets superstar James Harden for his team’s poor performance, though. Harden is averaging 25.5 points on 37.7 percent shooting in the series with 30 assists of the last three games.

Dwight Howard has double-doubles in all four games with averages of 14.5 points and 12.3 rebounds. He’s also shooting 65.7 percent, yet the Rockets haven’t been able to give him more than 10 shots in the series.

When fully rested, the Warriors are a rock-solid. Golden State is 9-2 SU in their last 11 games with two days off between contests. The Warriors, who opened as 9-point favorites, are also 6-1 ATS when favored by nine points or less.

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NBA Playoffs First Round Could be Historic

Damian Lillard

The NBA is often labeled as a league that lacks parity. Before the postseason even started you likely heard the self-appointed NBA expert of your office ramble on about how the playoffs are pointless, claiming the commissioner may as well hand the Larry O’Brien Trophy to the Golden State Warriors right away and save the time and effort of playing the games.

But in the midst of a wild first round, three teams are quietly on the verge of making history, and they’re far from the usual suspects.


Raps Must Exorcise Postseason Demons

As the Toronto Raptors-Indiana Pacers first-round Eastern Conference series shifts back to Canada, you’d think the Raptors would have the edge in the series due to home court advantage. But in light of Game 4’s awful performance by the Dinos, it’s the Pacers who are riding a high right now. If the Raps are going to have any shot of winning the series, they’ll need a better performance from their big guns.

The All-Star backcourt of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan have been complete non-factors through five games. Lowry is averaging 15.5 points on 32.2 percent shooting while DeRozan is at 13.3 points and 29.6 percent in the series. The duo were a combined 8 for 27 from the field and 0 for 7 on three-pointers for a total of 20 points in Game 5.

Indy head coach Frank Vogel is widely regarded as one of the brighter minds in the Association, and it showed on Saturday. Vogel opted to insert big man Myles Turner into the starting lineup in place of Lavoy Allen and the decision paid massive dividends for his club. Indiana had a rebounding edge for the first time in the series at 43-30. Raptors big man Jonas Valanciunas totalled just six boards after collecting 48 in the first three games.

Despite the loss, Toronto has been a historically solid bet versus Indiana, evidenced by the Raps going 12-3 ATS in their last 15 versus their Eastern Conference foes.

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Comeback in Store in Celtics-Hawks?

Marcus Smart Paul Millsap

The Boston Celtics looked like they were dead in the water the last time they were in Atlanta, but they’re in a much different position as the series shifts back to Georgia tied at two games apiece. Thanks to two huge victories in Beantown, the Celtics have launched themselves back into things and are riding a serious high right now.

Shark Bites
  • The Hawks are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games after consecutive losses.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of the Celtics' last 14 games with one day off between games.
  • The Celtics are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games on the road.

C’s head coach Brad Stevens opted to mix things up in Game 3, shifting Jonas Jerebko and Evan Turner into the starting lineup. Boston responded by shooting 44.3 percent since the switch after being held to 34.2 percent in Games 1 and 2. Jerebko, who averaged just 4.4 points and 15.1 minutes in the regular season, has totalled 27 points and 22 rebounds in the two home wins.

Don’t fault Paul Millsap for his team’s recent losses, however. The power forward amassed 26 first-half points in Game 4 before finishing with a playoff career-high 45 along with 13 rebounds.

Betting on the Hawks has been a fruitless endeavor as of late, as Atlanta is a measly 1-5 ATS in its last six games.

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Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs Betting Pick and Odds

Memphis pays a visit to San Antonio on Tuesday, hoping to send the Spurs to a loss while also covering the spread in NBA betting action at AT&T Center.

The San Antonio Spurs sport a record of 71-15 and 47-39 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Memphis Grizzlies sit at 42-44 and 41-42-3 ATS on the NBA season. The OVER/UNDER totals betting records are 36-48-2 for the San Antonio Spurs and 46-40 for the Memphis Grizzlies.

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Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons Betting Prediction and Odds

Quicken Loans Arena features an NBA battle between the host Cleveland Cavaliers and the visiting Detroit Pistons in basketball betting action on Tuesday.

The Cleveland Cavaliers sport a record of 61-25 and 39-45-2 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Detroit Pistons sit at 44-42 and 44-39-3 ATS on the NBA season. The OVER/UNDER totals betting records are 42-43-1 for the Cleveland Cavaliers and 42-41-3 for the Detroit Pistons.

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NBA Playoffs: Exact Series Outcome Odds

JJ Redick Los Angeles Clippers

Let’s face it: futures bets can sometimes be a drag. Sure, I can place a bet on my Green Bay Packers to win Super Bowl LI (which is a lock, by the way) before the NFL season starts but now my money is going to be tied up until February. When it comes to the NBA playoffs, however, there’s a different type of option available with a not so distant payoff: exact series outcome betting.



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