The No. 3 seed Miami Hurricanes will try to make quick work of the 14 seeded Buffalo Bulls in the opening round of the NCAA tournament. The ‘Canes opened as -14 favorites, and if you’re considering picking an upset in this one, you should reconsider. As double-digit favorites this season, Miami went 10-1 SU and a profitable 7-3-1 ATS at the betting window. Also, Buffalo is 0-4 SU as double-digit dogs this season.
Miami has also taken care of business against teams with winning records, as they’ve gone 9-3 SU in their last twelve games vs teams above the .500 mark (The Bulls went 20-14 SU this season). Buffalo, however, who’s coming of a 64-61 win over Akron as 5-point underdogs, are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games after winning as a dog.
Miami backers concerned with the 14-point spread should rest easy, as the team went 12-6-1 ATS this season as favorites of 14 points or less. Miami also has 11 wins of 14 or more points this season. As double-digit dogs this season, Buffalo went 1-2-1 ATS.
The teams combined to go 32-30-1 OVER/UNDER, so there might not be too much of an edge if you’re betting the total. With the total hovering in the 148 range, it’s worth noting that Buffalo went 5-11 O/U in games with a total of 148 or more points.