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TFC16: Sylvia vs. Wagner

Former UFC Heavyweight champ Tim Sylvia will headline Titan Fighting Championship 16 this Friday night, and most experts expect it to be an easy payday for the Maniac.

Sylvia (28-6) will be a heavy -675 favorite at 5Dimes against Abe Wagner (7-3), who was originally supposed to face Todd Duffee on this card - Sylvia was brought in as a replacement.

Now Wagner must face a former two-time UFC Heavyweight champion with vast experience and an attitude to prove to everyone that he’s still somebody in the Heavyweight division.

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Wagner will be a 5Dimes +450 underdog against Sylvia and will need to land a big shot to score an upset. He has never faced an opponent with the skill-set of Sylvia and will likely be outclassed from the opening bell. Wagner’s fighting style does not match up well against Sylvia, who will most likely kick-box from a distance until he wears down Wagner enough to finish him off.

The TFC 16 odds menu will also feature Rudy Bears (12-6) matched up against Jason High (12-3). Bears has come over from the Bellator Fighting Championships for his first fight with TFC, and despite coming off an impressive first-round KO of Chad Reiner, Bears will be a huge 5Dimes +350 underdog Friday night.

Jason High is on a three-fight win streak and will be coming off a split decision win over MMA legend Hayato Sakurai. The best MMA betting line on High is a -485 number at 5Dimes, which seems a bit expensive.

At those prices this fight looks like a decent upset opportunity when you look at the high KO and submission percentages Bears’ record shows. With a +350 upset pa day Rudy Bears looks worth the risk.

The other upset opportunity on the TFC16 card is in the Gary Tapasua (4-1) vs. Drew McFedries (8-6) matchup. McFedries will be a 5Dimes -275 favorite despite dropping five of his last eight fights. Tapasua is on a four-fight win streak, all won by KO in the first or second round. With an MMA betting line of +215 this fight could easily go against McFedries.

The safest money on the TFC16 card looks like the Rich Clementi (39-17-1) vs. Aaron Derrow (8-2) fight. Clementi will take full advantage of his submission skills and will likely tap out Derrow in the first or second round. As the 5Dimes -360 favorite he's the bet that seems to have the biggest edge.

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