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UFC 153: Silva vs. Bonnar Odds

The best fighter in the world will be on display this weekend as Anderson Silva competes at Light Heavyweight in front of hometown fans at UFC 153 as a huge favorite on the MMA betting lines.

Action is available on the six main card fights and options range from near-even odds to the biggest handicap in UFC odds betting history. That record handicap is obviously on the pound-for-pound No. 1 fighter in the world Silva to beat modern-era UFC pioneer Stephan Bonnar. Initially an MMA betting -1400 favorite, the UFC Middleweight champion is currently coming as cheap as -1200 at Bovada.

The unlikely Bonnar upset will pay a generous +800 at 5Dimes, but he will have to walk through the most accurate striking in the sport to have a chance at shocking the MMA betting world. Even at that payday it’s tough to justify any scenario that sees Silva losing in front of Brazilian fans.

Highly-touted Light Heavyweight prospect Glover Teixeira gets another sub-par opponent against which to display a skilled grappling technique that has produced a 15-fight win streak that goes back to 2006. Teixeira comes as a bargain at the 5Dimes price of -370 to beat Fabio Maldonado.

Maldonado has had trouble against UFC-level opponents, losing his last two fights. Even at a 5Dimes payday of +310, there’s little value in the upset option against the toughest opponent he’s ever faced.

Brazilian MMA legend Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira is a -300 favorite at Bovada to beat stalling up-and-comer Dave Herman. He will be making his first appearance in the Octagon following a long layoff to heal the broken arm he suffered at the hands of Frank Mir at UFC 140.

Herman has never lived up to his hype and has suffered two straight losses in the UFC. If he can find the weakened chin of Nogueira before he ends up on his back he has a good chance to pay out the +250 upset option that’s currently available at 5Dimes.