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UFC: 2016 Underdogs vs Favorites Record

Click here for 2017's article.

2015 was a historic year for upsets in the UFC. Seven titles changed hands during the year, and no upset was bigger than Holly Holm’s over the once-invincible Ronda Rousey. For the year, underdogs posted a 180-288 record vs favorites, earning the W in 38.5% of fights. Will 2016 once again be a big year for the underdog, or will the favorites simply do what they’re supposed to do?

After each UFC event, OddsShark will update the year-to-date underdogs vs favorites record using the closing lines for each fight, as well as the records for each event with the biggest upset on each card. We'll also take a look at how profitable underdogs are based on a $100 bet on every underdog on every card.

Here’s how things stack up so far this year:

UFC 2016 Underdogs vs Favorites
EventUnderdog WinsFavorite WinsBiggest Upset(s)
YEAR-TO-DATE179307Eric Spicely (+500) over Thiago Santos
UFC Fight Night 8176Eddie Alvarez (+285) over Anthony Pettis
UFC 19548Alex Morono (+300) over Kyle Noke
UFC on Fox 18*57Bryan Barberena (+220) over S. Northcutt
UFC Fight Night 8266Diego Rivas (+275) over Noah Lahat
UFC Fight Night 83310Nathan Coy (+200) over Jonavin Webb
UFC Fight Night 84211Michael Bisping (+210) over A. Silva
UFC 19684Nate Diaz (+300) over Conor McGregor
UFC Fight Night 85**56Daniel Kelly (+325) over Antonio Carlos Junior
UFC Fight Night 8658Francis Ngannou (+140) over Curtis Blaydes
UFC on Fox 1938Cezar Ferreira (+160) over Oluwale Bamgbose
UFC 197210Walt Harris (+155) over Cody East
UFC Fight Night 87310Reza Madadi (+135) over Yan Cabral
UFC 198*56Bryan Barberena (+400) over Warllee Alves
UFC Fight Night 8875Bryan Caraway (+245) over Aljamain Sterling
UFC 199*57Michael Bisping (+425) over Luke Rockhold
UFC Fight Night 89310Krzysztof Jotko (+150) over Tamdan McCrory
UFC Fight Night 9048Eddie Alvarez (+265) over Rafael dos Anjos
TUF 23 Finale48Kevin Lee (+145) over Jake Matthews
UFC 20057Amanda Nunes (+205) over Miesha Tate
UFC Fight Night 9193Tim Boetsch (+180) over Josh Samman
UFC on Fox 2056Valentina Shevchenko (+175) over Holly Holm
UFC 201*46Jake Ellenberger (+230) over Matt Brown
UFC Fight Night 92111Trevor Smith (+110) over Joseph Gigliotti
UFC 20239Mike Perry (+215) over Hyun Gyu Lim
UFC on Fox 2137Felipe Silva (+140) over Shane Campbell
UFC Fight Night 9338Peter Sobota (+170) over Nicolas Dalby
UFC 20319Bethe Correia (+105) over Jessica Eye
UFC Fight Night 94*48Michael Johnson (+140) over Dustin Poirier
UFC Fight Night 9567Eric Spicely (+500) over Thiago Santos
UFC Fight Night 9684Brandon Moreno (+375) over Louis Smolka
UFC 20447Leon Edwards (+180) over Albert Tumenov
UFC Fight Night 9849Diego Sanchez  (+225) over Marcin Held
UFC 205*55Yoel Romero (+175) over Chris Weidman
UFC Fight Night 9949Artem Lobov (+220) over Teruto Ishihara
UFC Fight Night 10057Antigulov (+145) over Rogerio De Lima
UFC Fight Night 10167Andrew Holbrook (+375) over Jake Matthews
TUF 24 Finale210Jared Cannonier (+185) over Ion Cutelaba
UFC Fight Night 102012N/A
UFC 20675Cub Swanson (+175) over Doo Ho Choi
UFC on Fox 2267Leslie Smith (+240) over Irene Aldana
UFC 20736Cody Garbrandt (+185) over Dominick Cruz

*event featured a draw, **event featured a fight with even odds

UFC 2016 Underdog Profits
EventUnderdog WinsFavorite WinsProfit Based on $100 Underdog Bets
YEAR-TO-DATE179307-$3321.49
UFC Fight Night 8176$465
UFC 19548-$75
UFC on Fox 18*57$145.91
UFC Fight Night 8266$435.24
UFC Fight Night 83310-$535
UFC Fight Night 84211-$750
UFC 19684$1115.23
UFC Fight Night 85**56$225.91
UFC Fight Night 8658-$255.59
UFC on Fox 1938-$390
UFC 197210-$690
UFC Fight Night 87310-$620
UFC 19856$380
UFC Fight Night 8875$490
UFC 19957$350.24
UFC Fight Night 89310-$474.09
UFC Fight Night 9048-$224.09
TUF 23 Finale48-$285
UFC 20057-$39.76
UFC Fight Night 9193$960
UFC on Fox 2056$25
UFC 20146$95.91
UFC Fight Night 92111-$990
UFC 20239-$465
UFC on Fox 2137-$330
UFC Fight Night 9338-$405
UFC 20319-$795
UFC Fight Night 94*48-$349.09
UFC Fight Night 9567$460.24
UFC Fight Night 9684$1010.24
UFC 20447-$75
UFC Fight Night 9847-$344.76
UFC 205*55$175
UFC Fight Night 9949-$235
UFC Fight Night 10057-$100
UFC Fight Night 10167$300
TUF 24 Finale210-$710
UFC Fight Night 102012-$1200
UFC 20675$285
UFC on Fox 2267$185.91
UFC 20736-$125

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