UFC on Fuel TV: Gustafsson vs. Mousasi

The UFC invades Sweden on April 6 but local MMA favorite Alexander Gustafsson won't be making his bid to earn a Light Heavyweight title shot with a win over former Strikeforce and Dream Light Heavyweight champion Gegard Mousasi.
 

Gustafsson was injured on the weekend and UFC boss Dana White put his training partner - Swede Ilir Latifi - into the match againsu Mousasi.

Odds were heavily handicapped in Gustafsson’s favour as Mousasi makes his Octagon debut against one of the best UFC Light Heavyweight prospects. He had been a -255 favorite at 5Dimes, and was expected to utilize his reach and footwork for either a KO or a decision victory.

 

The Mousasi upset had been scheduled to pay as much as +215 at 5Dimes but should probably be worth more. Instead, he is now a -1300 favorite over Latifi.

U.K. standout Ross Pearson will face Ryan Couture in another lopsided MMA betting matchup in the co-main event. Currently coming with a -400 price at Bovada, Pearson will hold a big edge in the striking department and will need to put his improving takedown defense to work to cruise to the victory.

Couture will have a chance to win if he can find a way to get the fight to the ground and utilize his grappling. If he does, it will produce a nice +345 MMA odds payday for anyone willing to gamble on the upset option.

Heavyweights will also be on the card at UFC on Fuel TV 9 when Matt Mitrione faces Philip De Fries. Mitrione is currently a heavy -335 MMA odds favorite at 5Dimes, while the De Fries upset will pay as much +275.

This fight could provide the best opportunity for a UFC odds upset as Mitrione is still inexperienced in the grappling department. If De Fries can get the fight to the ground he has the submission skills to upset his kickboxing opponent for the underdog payday.