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UFC: Prop Odds on Potential GSP Return

Ever since Georges St. Pierre walked away from the UFC there has been rampant speculation as to if and when he would return. Despite recovering from a torn ACL he suffered during practice in early 2014, GSP decided to stay away from the sport and has openly criticized their drug testing policies. There have been several rumors about a potential return, and recently GSP trained with renowned boxing coach Freddie Roach and reports suggested that if he could make it through a training camp, he would return very soon.

Not only would a St. Pierre return be good for the UFC, but MMA in Canada as a whole. GSP was the first Canadian MMA superstar and was partially responsible for the sport’s growth in the country. With recent comments from fellow Canadian Patrick Cote about the decline of the nation’s MMA scene, a GSP return could create a spark for another wave of young Canuck fighters.

Sports Interaction has listed three different props about a potential return for GSP in 2016. Let’s take a close look at each of them to see if there’s any betting value.

GSP To Lose Return Fight, Not Fight Again in 2016

Nobody knows exactly what reasons would motivate St. Pierre to return to the UFC. Fellow Tri-Star member Rory MacDonald seemed to allude to the fact that GSP would be more open to potential superfights if he were to return. That would likely point to a bout against Anderson Silva. With the Brazilian coming off a loss to Michael Bisping in February, it would likely mean Silva only has one, or maybe two more bouts in on 2016.

A theoretical bout between GSP and Silva would likely happen in the back half of the year, which would almost certainly mean that it would be St. Pierre’s lone fight of the year.

If ‘Rush’ was in search of retaining his welterweight title, he may go the route of a tune-up fight against a low ranked fighter. A potential fight that the UFC would cater to GSP in an attempt to ensure a victory.

If you are wondering about an immediate title fight for GSP, we’ll cover that a little later.

GSP To Lose Return Fight And Not Fight Again in 2016

Odds as of March 28 at Sports Interaction

  • Yes +650

GSP To Rematch with Johny Hendricks in 2016

St. Pierre’s last UFC fight came back on November 16, 2013 when he won a split decision victory over Johny Hendricks. Not long after, GSP surrendered his welterweight title and ‘Bigg Rigg’ defeated Robbie Lawler to claim the crown for himself.

Hendricks has openly talked about his wish to rematch with St. Pierre after the original split decision loss to the Canadian.

After being in the doghouse following weight issues, Hendricks was allowed to continue to fight in the welterweight division, but got decimated by Stephen Thompson. With Robbie Lawler defeating most of the top guys in the welterweight division there is a lack of challengers for the 170 lbs strap.

After getting upset by Thompson, Hendricks is slightly directionless and a GSP rematch would make sense.

GSP To Rematch With Johny Hendricks in 2016?

Odds as of March 28 at Sports Interaction

  • Yes +470

GSP To Win The Welterweight Title in 2016

There was a point in time when Georges St. Pierre was indestructible. After losing a shocker to Matt Serra in April 2007, GSP went on a 12-fight winning streak thanks to a well-rounded gameplan and skill set. Rush never lost his title and there is certainly a case to be made that he deserves an immediate title fight.

We would assume that Robbie Lawler is the welterweight champion if GSP were to return and get a shot to regain his crown. St. Pierre made a career out of picking fighters apart and winning fights based on the judges’ scorecards. This is the antithesis of Lawler. Ruthless is a brawler, a guy who uses his exceptional striking and power to brutalize opponents (look no further than what he did to GSP’s teammate Rory MacDonald).

St. Pierre has not fought a fighter with as much power as Lawler in years, maybe ever honestly. If GSP were to return in a title fight against Lawler, than he would absolutely need to get the fight to the ground where he would hold a large advantage. Lawler’s defensive wrestling skills would not make this easy, but remember that we’ve seen GSP outwrestle some phenomenal talents in his prime. 

GSP To Win the Welterweight Title in 2016?

Odds as of March 28 at Sports Interaction

  • Yes +1000

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