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Why the Saints will beat the Bears as 3-point underdogs

The forecast is for 19 degrees with snow flurries in Chicago for tonight’s battle between the Bears and Saints. Why do we predict the dome-loving Saints will win this game outright and reward underdog bettors? Read on.

Thursday Night NFL Odds - New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears -3 O/U 45

Tonight the New Orleans Saints travel to the Windy City to play the Chicago Bears in a crucial NFC matchup.

This is, almost, a must win game for both teams if they have any post season hopes. The Bears are only one game back of the Minnesota Vikings in the NFC North, while the Saints are three games back of the Carolina Panthers in the NFC South.

Both teams are in the Wild Card race, but the team that loses will, more than likely, will be watching the playoffs from home.

The Saints have the league’s best offense led by MVP candidate QB Drew Brees (4,100 yds 26 TD 14 INT). The Bears have a legit defense, but their secondary is not strong which does not bode well for a Bears cover or an UNDER play.

The Bears front-line defense has to put pressure on Brees or he will pick apart the weak secondary of the Bears and the total of 45 could be sunk by halftime.

The Saints have a weak defense, ranked 21st in the league, and they will have to contain rookie RB Matt Forte (1,081 yds 6 TD), who will get a lot of carries tonight for the Bears.

A big key in this game may be the weather. The aforementioned forecast should mean a reliance on the ground game, which in theory favors the Bears. But the Saints can run the ball and Brees likes the short passing game to allow Reggie Bush, Pierre Thomas and others to scramble. Remember too that Brees is chasing Dan Marino’s single-season passing record.

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This season, those that have been betting on the Saints are happy campers, as they are 9-4 ATS, while the Bears are 6-6-1.

The Saints have gone 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games and the total has gone Over in 13 of their last 18 games. The total has gone Under in 4 of the Bears last 5 games.

OddsBlogger Pick: The danger for New Orleans bettors are two-fold – the weather proves to be a negative factor for them and they stack the front-line and focus on stopping Forte, which opens up the passing game for the Bears.

We see the Saints marching home as a .500 team, defeating the hometown Bears in a close one. As usual, fans looking to bet NFL underdogs can find the best odds at Bovada