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WNBA betting line favors Mercury over Dream

Atlanta DreamPhoenix Mercury
Aug 3, 10:00 PM | US Airways Center

Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

11-5TEAM RECORD9-10

Atlanta pays a visit to Phoenix on Saturday, hoping to send the Mercury to a loss while also covering the spread in WNBA action at US Airways Center.

This season the Mercury are 9-10 overall and 8-11 ATS against the number, while the Dream are 11-5 and 10-6 ATS. As for the totals, Phoenix is 10-9 on the OU, and Atlanta is 7-9.

View Atlanta vs Phoenix Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Oddsmakers opened the Mercury as 2.5-point favorites in this matchup, while the OVER/UNDER line was sitting at 165.5.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Phoenix's No. 3-ranked offense, averaging 82.8 PPG, against a Dream defense that ranks No. 2 at 72.8 PPG. The Mercury field goal percentage has averaged 45% so far, more than the Dream shooters have achieved on the year, 42.6% per game.

Defensively, the Dream feature the league's No. 6-rated defense on the road, allowing 78.4 points per game. Phoenix, meanwhile, comes in at No. 3 in the league in scoring at home.

Atlanta won its last outing, a 74-65 result against the Sun on July 24. The Dream failed to cover in that game as a 9.5-point favorite, while the 139 combined points took the game UNDER the total. The Dream grabbed a 74-65 win over the Sun on Wednesday, behind a 22-point effort from Angel McCoughtry at Philips Arena.

Last time out for Phoenix, they were an 88-79 loser as they battled the Storm on the road. The Mercury failed to cover in the match as a 4.5-point favorite, while 167 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Phoenix suffered an 88-79 loss against Seattle on Thursday, getting 19 points from DeWanna Bonner in a losing effort at KeyArena.

Atlanta Dream Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 1-4
Before playing Indiana are 8-2
After playing Connecticut are 7-3
After a win are 8-2

Phoenix Mercury Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 8-2
Before playing Seattle are 1-9
After playing Seattle are 4-6
After a loss are 3-7

A few Dream at Mercury trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Phoenix is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games
Phoenix is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games at home

Next up:
Atlanta at Indiana, Saturday, August 10
Phoenix home to Seattle, Tuesday, August 6