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Odds to Win Wimbledon 2018: Federer and Kvitova Lead The Pack

UPDATE: As of Thursday morning, Petra Kvitova has overtaken Serena Williams as the Wimbledon 2018 favorite on the women’s side at +450.

After an exciting tournament on clay at Roland Garros, the tennis world now shifts to grass for Wimbledon 2018 in London. The best of the best will gather at the All England Club for a chance at immortality and attempt to potentially defeat defending champions Roger Federer and Garbine Muguruza.

Federer is listed as the +150 favorite at Bovada to win his ninth Wimbledon title while Muguruza (+700) is listed third on the women’s oddsboard behind the favorite Petra Kvitova (+450) and seven-time Wimbledon champion Serena Williams (+500).

To get a better idea of how to wager on this prestigious tournament, let’s break down the odds for each side:

Federer may be vulnerable with Nadal in the field

Roger Federer has been the class of Wimbledon, winning eight Grand Slam championships in London, the most all-time by a men’s singles player. But some analysts feel that the No. 2-ranked player in the world may have gotten an easy draw in 2017 that led him to his eighth title as he didn’t have to face Rafa Nadal, Andy Murray (the 2016 winner) or Novak Djokovic (2015 winner). Those three competitors didn’t even make the semifinals, marking the first time all had failed to reach that stage of Wimbledon since 2009. Murray has also announced as of July 1st that he has withdrawn from Wimbledon as he is still recovering from injury.

Another factor that doesn’t bode well for Federer is losses in his most recent matches against Nadal and Djokovic on grass – in 2015 vs Djokovic and 2008 vs Nadal. When you factor in that Nadal is coming off arguably his most dominant tournament showing, at the French Open in May, it’s hard to endorse a Federer wager at +150 when Nadal’s value at +500 is much more appealing.

Another player with decent value who could challenge the field (and specifically Federer) is Tomas Berdych at +8000. The Czech Republic native has made the semifinals in the last two years at the All England Club and beat Federer at this tourney in 2010. While he did lose in 2017 to Federer, the value at +8000 is hard to overlook when trying to find players who could usurp Wimbledon’s champion.

Odds to Win Wimbledon 2018 – Men’s

Odds as of July 1 at Bovada

  • Roger Federer +150
  • Rafael Nadal +500
  • Novak Djokovic +650
  • Alexander Zverev +800
  • Marin Cilic +1200
  • Juan Martin Del Potro +1200
  • Nick Kyrgios +1600
  • Milos Raonic +2000
  • Grigor Dimitrov +2000
  • Dominic Thiem +2500
  • Stan Wawrinka +4000
  • Denis Shapovalov +4000
  • Borna Coric +5000
  • Karen Khachanov +5000
  • John Isner +5000
  • Kyle Edmund +5000
  • David Goffin +6600
  • Jo-Wilfried Tsonga +6600
  • Sam Querrey +6600
  • Kei Nishikori +6600
  • Kevin Anderson +6600
  • Tomas Berdych +8000
  • Gilles Muller +8000
  • Jack Sock +8000
  • Daniil Medvedev +8000
  • Feliciano Lopez +8000
  • Gael Monfils +10000
  • Lucas Pouille +10000
  • Andrey Rublev +10000
  • Richard Gasquet +15000
  • Roberto Bautista-Agut +15000
  • Frances Tiafoe +20000
  • Steve Johnson +20000
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta +20000
  • David Ferrer +25000

Williams is far from a lock to win eighth Wimbledon title

Serena Williams may be the greatest tennis player ever but even Father Time is undefeated. Wimbledon will be Serena’s fourth tourney since returning from the birth of her daughter and while she will be a formidable challenge for any opponent, her body may be her biggest adversary. Williams had to withdraw from the French Open in the fourth round due to a chest injury and has had issues in the past with blood clots. No one should wish harm or bank on an ailment for a tennis savant but those factors make it hard to endorse a wager on Serena at this stage.

With that in mind, defending champion Garbine Muguruza may be a decent option as she is coming off a decent showing at the French Open, reaching the semifinals before losing to eventual champion Simona Halep, and has also made it to the Wimbledon final in 2015. The odds aren’t amazing at +700 but her pedigree shows that she knows how to compete (and win) on this platform.

Odds to Win Wimbledon 2018 – Women’s

Odds as of July 1 at Bovada

  • Petra Kvitova +450
  • Serena Williams +500
  • Garbine Muguruza +700
  • Simona Halep +1000
  • Angelique Kerber +1100
  • Karolina Pliskova +1200
  • Maria Sharapova +1200
  • Madison Keys +1200
  • Sloane Stephens +1200
  • Elina Svitolina +2000
  • Victoria Azarenka +2500
  • Venus Williams +2500
  • Caroline Wozniacki +2500
  • Naomi Osaka +2500
  • Johanna Konta +2500
  • Magdalena Rybarikova +2500
  • Ashleigh Barty +2500
  • Coco Vandeweghe +2800
  • Daria Kasatkina +3000
  • Jelena Ostapenko +3300
  • Caroline Garcia +3300
  • Agnieszka Radwanska +5000
  • Dominika Cibulkova +6600
  • Lucie Safarova +6600
  • Ekaterina Makarova +7000
  • Belinda Bencic +8000
  • Kristina Mladenovic +8000
  • Svetlana Kuznetsova +8000
  • Ana Konjuh +8000
  • Mihaela Buzarnescu +8000
  • Marketa Vondrousova +10000
  • Heather Watson +10000
  • Timea Bacsinszky +10000
  • Sabine Lisicki +10000
  • Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova +10000
  • Eugenie Bouchard +15000
  • Carla Suarez Navarro +15000
  • Kiki Bertens +15000
  • Mirjana Lucic-Baroni +15000