Boxing: Wilder vs Ortiz II Odds and Prediction

Arguably the hardest puncher on the planet is back in action this Saturday as Deontay “The Bronze Bomber” Wilder defends his WBC heavyweight title in a rematch against Luis “King Kong” Ortiz. This boxing match will take place at the MGM Grand Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday, November 23.

Wilder won the first battle in March 2018 and is a -650 favorite in the second bout with Ortiz coming back at +425 at Sportsbook.

Wilder vs Ortiz Odds Analysis

Odds on top-level boxers tend to get out of hand, typically around -2500 or even higher. For example, when Tyson Fury fought Tom Schwartz in June, he was a -5000 favorite. So seeing Deontay Wilder at -650, there appears to be some value at that line. Wilder was the victor in the first contest, scoring a 10th-round knockout, and as the younger fighter, it’s hard to see a different outcome in the rematch.

That being said, the odds the first time these two fought had Wilder as a -305 favorite and Ortiz coming back at +255. The Cuba native connected on a left hand in the seventh round that hurt Wilder, but he was unable to put his opponent away and ended up losing in the 10th. Perhaps he saw a hole in Wilder’s defense and he could earn the upset?

How Will Wilder vs Ortiz Play Out?

The only time we have seen Wilder compete in a rematch, he absolutely demolished Bermane Stiverne in the first round. If we are going on that small sample size, Ortiz is in real danger. Additionally, it appears that The Bronze Bomber continues to improve every time he enters the ring and when he goes on the attack, his opponent is typically in a bad way shortly after.

King Kong has really good head movement and moves surprisingly well for a big heavyweight, often bouncing out of harm’s way quickly and firing back with heavy hands. It was a well-timed left hand that hurt Wilder in the first bout and had him scrambling to survive. Ortiz sometimes does get a little lazy in his defense, relying too much on head movement and counters, and if he’s slow to react to a punch, he takes it right on the chin. That is a dangerous game against Wilder.

Prediction: Deontay Wilder (-650) via knockout

Odds as of November 22 at Sportsbook

Wilder vs Ortiz Prop Odds

Laying $650 to win $100 might be a little rich for many people’s blood and Sportsbook has a list of prop odds that may give you better value for wagering on this fight. The first prop I like is Wilder by knockout at -325. Getting the odds at half of what they are for him to win outright makes it a little easier to swallow. The Bronze Bomber won the first bout by knockout in the 10th round and I foresee a similar outcome in the rematch.

Now for many big-profile bouts, I like to do a little sprinkle on round betting, where you can choose when you think the fight will end. For this bout I’m eyeing Wilder to win in Rounds 7-9 at +325 and Wilder in Round 7 at +900. Of course, these specific outcomes are very hard to predict so I recommend a lower wager compared to what you might lay on an outright Sportsbook.

Here’s a look at the full list of prop odds for Wilder vs Ortiz II:

Odds as of November 22 at Sportsbook

Odds as of November 22 at Sportsbook

Odds as of November 22 at Sportsbook

Odds as of November 22 at Sportsbook

Odds as of November 22 at Sportsbook