While we were inching closer to the Manny Pacquiao vs Errol Spence fight that was scheduled for August 21, a pre-fight medical exam revealed an eye injury for Spence and he was pulled. However, Pacquiao had his date and is ready to fight, so he will now take on Yordenis Ugas on the same date and Ugas’s WBA Super welterweight title will be on the line.
Pacquiao vs Ugas is taking place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, on August 21 and can be seen on Fox PPV. When it comes to Pacquiao vs Ugas odds, it is the challenger and legend, Pacquiao, who is the betting favorite.
Pacquiao vs Ugas Odds
Online sportsbook Bovada has released the Pacquiao vs Ugas betting odds with Manny listed at -400 and Yordenis as the +300 underdog. If you’re looking to profit $100 with a Pacquiao win, you would have to wager $400, while a $100 bet on an Ugas victory would net you $300.
Odds as of August 21 at Bovada
We can further examine the Pacquiao vs Ugas odds with our sports betting calculator, which tells us that Pac-Man’s odds of -400 represent an implied win probability of 80.00 percent while 54 Milagros’s implied win probability is 25.00 percent.
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Pacquiao vs Ugas Betting Odds Analysis
Well, it may be a bit of a disappointment for some Pac-Man fans who were ready to part with their money for the opportunity to get him as an underdog against Spence. Now, you’ll have to rob the piggy bank for a little extra cash now that he’s the betting favorite, which has been the case in each of his last six fights.
Ugas Has Cashed As A Dog Before
While much of 54 Milagros’s career has seen him as the betting favorite, as has been the case in each of his last three fights, he was a betting underdog against Shawn Porter in 2019 when he fought for his first world title. Unfortunately for Ugas, that bout ended in a split-decision loss, but if you flash back three years prior, he was a +500 underdog against Jamal James when he scored a unanimous-decision victory.
Pacquiao vs Ugas Preview
Yordenis had an extensive amateur career on the world stage, winning the Pan Am Games in 2007 and the world championships in 2005, a silver in the 2005 World Cup and a bronze at the 2008 Beijing Games. As a pro, he carries a 26-4 record with 12 wins by knockout, while all of his defeats have come by way of the judges’ scorecards.
The Cuban probably should have beat Porter in 2019, clearly outboxing him for the majority of the bout – but we know boxing judges. Ugas has good movement and defensive awareness, but he has no worries about working on the inside trading blows with his counterparts. With a chin that has yet to fail him, he doesn’t mind taking a shot to land one of his own.
Pac-Man Must Be The Bully
Ugas does lack some of the punching power, he has a long snappy jab and he varies the location very well. This means that Pacquiao will have to close the distance and land some of his powerful lefts to earn the respect of Ugas.
The southpaw has always done a great job getting on the inside, slipping long jabs and then landing heavy inside the pocket. I think to have success in this bout, not only will he have to create a dogfight but he will also have to throw combinations when in close range.
Pacquiao vs Ugas Betting Pick
I think this is going to be a really high-caliber fight that could come down to the smallest of margins. How will Ugas handle it when Pacquiao pressures him and how will Pac-Man wear the long jabs from 54 Milagros?
My gut feeling is that Ugas could be the more effective fighter but I don’t trust the boxing judges with a big name like Pacquiao on the marquee. Best bet is this fight goes the distance, an outcome that is set at -185.
Prediction: Yordenis Ugas (+300) via decision
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