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Sergey Kovalev vs Eleider Alvarez Betting Odds

Sergey Kovalev vs Eleider Alvarez Betting Odds

The WBO light heavyweight title is up for grabs when the champion, Sergey “Krusher” Kovalev, stands toe to toe with challenger Eleider “Storm” Alvarez at the Hard Rock Hotel & Casino in Atlantic City, New Jersey on August 4. Kovalev opened as the heavy -600 favorite to hang on to his title with Alvarez coming back as the +400 underdog.

“Krusher” has been favored in his last three bouts with an average closing line of -783. The only close line of those scraps was when he edged Andre Ward by a narrow -149 to -143 line, a fight in which he lost. Meanwhile, this is the first time that Alvarez has been an underdog, closing at an average of -414 over his last two fights. Kovalev enters this fight 32-2-1 with 28 knockouts, while Alvarez enters the ring 23-0 with 11 knockouts.

Breaking down Kovalev vs Alvarez

Kovalev (-600) not long ago held two of the four major light heavyweight titles in the WBA and WBO belts. That is, until he clashed with undefeated brawler Andre Ward in back-to-back fights in 2016 and 2017. Ward won both of those fights, one by decision and one by TKO, but then was forced to retire at the age of 33 because his body let him down. “Krusher” reclaimed his then-vacant WBO belt with his second-round TKO victory over Vyacheslav Shabranskyy in late 2017.

The Russian is ranked as the No. 1 light heavyweight and No. 8 pound-for-pound fighter in the world. “Krusher” can sometimes be a slow starter but make no mistake about it, he has exceptional knockout power as seen by his record, as 28 of his 32 wins have come in that fashion, including each of his last two fights.

Alvarez (+400) finally gets his shot to claim a major light heavyweight title after posting a 23-0 record. “Storm” has had the majority of his fights in Canada, having only fought twice outside the country, both times producing TKO victories. The Colombia native’s last win came against Jean Pascal last June. Pascal’s last three losses prior to Alvarez were to the aforementioned Kovalev (twice) and veteran Bernard Hopkins, so “Storm” is a legit contender for the WBO belt.

The challenger is a technically sound fighter who relies more on keeping his opponents at bay with a stiff jab, while not overextending himself looking for the devastating knockout. This can also be seen in his record as only 11 of his 23 victories have come by T/KO. Alvarez would much rather stick to his speed and ability to move around the ring to secure a decision win.

Kovalev and Alvarez should put on a good display of boxing when they step into the ring on Saturday. Expect a slower, more tactical fight rather than an all-out brawl. If Alvarez doesn’t have his feet moving early, we may get a shorter fight as Kovalev will sniff that out and end the fight with his explosive power. However, if “Storm” can keep his emotions in check, we can expect a chess match to take place.

Prediction: Sergey Kovalev (-600) via decision

Sergey Kovalev vs Eleider Alvarez Betting Odds
Sergey Kovalev-600
Eleider Alvarez+400

Odds as of August 3 at Bovada