After talks to make a British superfight between Anthony Joshua and Tyson Fury fell apart, “The Gypsy King” will defend his undisputed WBC heavyweight title against Derek Chisora. The pay-per-view bout is scheduled for December 3 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London.
This will be Chisora’s third crack at Fury, who has defeated “Del Boy” on two prior occasions. Fury won his first bout vs Chisora by unanimous decision in 2011. His second victory came via corner retirement in 2014.
Given the duo’s one-sided history, the Fury vs Chisora odds on Bodog are incredibly steep, with Fury sitting as the -2500 favorite.
Tyson Fury vs Derek Chisora 3 Odds
Odds as of November 24 at Bodog
The Fury vs Chisora odds are out on Bodog, where Fury is the -2500 chalk and Chisora is the +1000 underdog. Using our odds calculator, that means if you were to bet $10 on the favorite, you would win just $10.40 (your original $10 bet and a profit of $0.40). Of course, betting on the underdog is far more lucrative, with a $10 bet returning a profit of $110.00.
Fury vs Chisora 3 Odds Analysis
Being the ’dog is nothing new for Chisora, who will enter his fifth consecutive fight with a plus sign beside his name. The 38-year-old hasn’t been favored since 2019 but cashed as a +200 underdog vs Kubrat Pulev in 2021, winning by split decision. Other than that, though, it’s been all misery for Chisora — he’s 1-3 in his last four and faces a massive task vs Fury.
For Fury, -2500 represents the steepest chalk he’s carried since 2018, when he faced Sefer Seferi and won when the Macedonian retired in the fourth round. The 34-year-old is used to fighting as the favorite and punishing anyone who steps into the ring with him.
How do Fury and Chisora’s styles match up?
Firstly, this fight for the WBC heavyweight championship is a massive size mismatch. Fury stands six-foot-nine with a massive 85-inch reach, whereas Chisora is just six-foot-one with a 74-inch reach. A lot of Fury’s success comes from how he uses his size — oftentimes he’ll keep opponents at a distance, and when he engages in the clinch, he’ll lean all his weight on his opponent to tire them out as the fight goes on. The Gypsy King is also quite good with head movement, often dodging close calls with a quick twitch or two.
Chisora uses aggression and pressure to take advantage of every opportunity he gets. Since he’s relatively small for a heavyweight, he’s found a knack for getting underneath his opponents’ long reaches and trading punches in tight. Since Chisora is powerless vs Fury at range, the duck-and-bang style becomes very predictable and easy to defend.
How/When Does Fury Score A Knockout?
If this bout goes anything like the last two, Fury should be able to keep Chisora in his sights with jabs and straights, then explode with his hooks and uppercuts when the 38-year-old gets too close. Fury’s most recent knockout over Dillian Whyte sets a good precedent for how he can dispose of Chisora. The power in that uppercut is legit.
Since that fateful split draw vs Deontay Wilder in 2018, four of Fury’s five fights have finished inside the distance. Other than a few exceptions, Fury is a slow starter, building up a good feel for his opponent before wearing them down in the later rounds.
The sportsbooks seem to anticipate a knockout around Round 7, as that’s when the OVER/UNDER rounds total flips to plus money. Chisora’s had enough gas to take each of his last three fights to a 12-round decision, which makes us think this bout lasts longer than expected.
Tyson Fury vs Derek Chisora Pick
Bottom line, Fury is the younger, better fighter, and he’s already defeated Chisora on two separate occasions. The Gypsy King is far too smart to be lured into a trap by Chisora, which leaves very little chance of Del Boy connecting with anything legitimate.
Fury will likely pick away before attacking for a knockout victory. It’s only a matter of when that happens. Since Fury is too chalked straight up, we’ll specify our bet. Let’s go with Fury to win in rounds 7-8 for a +450 payout.