The former No. 1 pound-for-pound boxer in the world, Vasyl Lomachenko, continues his quest to get back to the top as he collides with former lightweight champion Richard Commey.
The two will headline the boxing card on December 11 at Madison Square Garden and can be seen on ESPN. When it comes to Lomachenko vs Commey odds, Vasyl is the betting favorite.
Lomachenko vs Commey Odds
Online sportsbook Bovada has the Vasyl Lomachenko vs Richard Commey odds available and Lomachenko is the -1200 chalk and Commey the +650 underdog. This means to profit $100 on a Vasyl win, you would need to lay $1,200, while a $100 winning wager on Richard would net you $650.
Odds as of December 11 at Bovada
We can evaluate the Lomachenko vs Commey betting line further with our sports betting calculator. There you will see that Lomachenko’s odds of -1100 translate to an implied win probability of 92.31 percent while Commey’s odds represent an implied win probability of 13.33 percent.
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Vasyl Lomachenko vs Richard Commey Betting Odds Analysis
This is the second time in three fights that Richard Commey has been a betting underdog. He closed at +300 when he lost in 2019 to Teofimo Lopez, the man who beat Lomachenko. Commey was also the plus-money option when he lost via split decision to Denis Shafikov in 2016.
Value On Loma?
At first glance, a -1200 line may be startling and a suggestion of a fighter being overvalued. However, it’s the contrary for Vasyl “Loma” Lomachenko, who has been a four-figure favorite in all of the fights there have been odds available for, with the exception of when he fought Guillermo Rigondeaux in 2017 and Teofimo Lopez last year.
Lomachenko vs Commey Preview
Commey won the vacant IBF lightweight title in 2019 and defended it once before colliding with Teofimo Lopez and getting knocked out in the second round. That was the first knockout loss of his career and he now sports a record of 30-3 with 27 wins by knockout.
With that type of knockout-to-win ratio, the Ghana native clearly has some serious power in his hands. He has a good jab he sets all of his other strikes up with, but at times when his confidence rises, his hands drop, which can put him in a vulnerable spot against other power punchers.
Additionally, he hangs out in the pocket after landing a clean shot, looking to see if he can land another, and that can lead to heavy counters.
Statement Win Puts Loma Back In Title Contention
Loma’s game plan was clear after losing his three world titles to Teofimo Lopez in 2020: beat Lopez’s previous opponents. He knocked out Masayoshi Nakatani in June and now moves on to Richard Commey.
Loma may also have some extra motivation after his training partner, Oleksandr Usyk, pulled off the upset over Anthony Joshua to win three of the four major heavyweight titles in September. Vasyl has an outstanding fight IQ matched with excellent footwork perfected in years of traditional Ukrainian dance as a young man.
In addition to floating like a butterfly, Loma also stings like a bee with 11 of his 15 wins ending by knockout. A major factor in those T/KOs was the setups after dissecting his opponents’ tendencies.
Lomachenko vs Commey Pick
I anticipate there will be a little bit of a feeling-out process in the early stages of this fight as Loma will have to navigate a 5.5-inch reach disadvantage. That said, when he figures out Commey’s movements and jab, look for him to start creating his unconventional angles, tying Commey in a knot before putting him to sleep.
Prediction: Vasyl Lomachenko (-1200) via knockout (-235) in rounds 7-9 (+275)
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