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CFL Betting Picks: Week 4

For those of you who follow me on Twitter (@JonnyOddsShark) or watch OddsShark Live each week, you know I’m off to the hottest start of my life. I’m 12-0 against the spread through the first three weeks of the CFL season. 

Also, if you followed my CFL tips from the beginning of the season, you are in great shape with underdogs at 9-3 ATS and the UNDER at 8-4.

But enough of that. On to this week’s picks: 

Toronto at Winnipeg (-3, 52.5) 

The Toronto offense is off to a strong start with Marc Trestman back in the CFL as coach and Ricky Ray at QB. The defense is really what makes the Argos a great play on the road here, though. They have 14 sacks through three games and rank second in the CFL in yards against per play. 

I see the Argos stalling a Winnipeg offense up front and keeping them one-dimensional, where the Bombers haven’t had much consistency with their ground game yet. The Bombers also have three key injuries on defense – at DE, weakside LB and in the secondary – which is too much to overcome against Ray and the Argos. Winnipeg has given up the most points in the CFL so far.  

I like the points a lot but the moneyline on Toronto is worth a shot here too. 

Pick: Argos +3     

Calgary at Montreal (+5.5, 48.5)

The UNDER is a perfect 3-0 in Montreal games this season because the defense ranks second-best in the league while the offense is second-worst. That’s far from a good enough combo to defeat the Grey Cup faves and the team that I feel is the best in the CFL right now, the Stamps. 

The Als will be a nice play-on team at some point soon but for now Calgary is too good on both sides of the ball to overcome.

We might see more of a ground game from Montreal this week considering tailback Tyrell Sutton leads the CFL in rushing and new QB Darian Durant can’t seem to find a rhythm with his receivers. Doesn’t surprise me that bettors jumped on the UNDER here early in what is the lowest total of the season so far. 

Montreal is 3-11 against the spread in its last 14 at home and it’s not helping that attendance is dwindling by the game. They have covered the last five meetings against Calgary, though, which is kinda crazy. 

Pick: Stampeders -5.5  

Ottawa at Edmonton (-6, 57.5) 

Serious lack of respect here for the defending champion Redblacks, who were dished a brutal schedule to start the season. They’re 0-2-1 but they could just as easily be 2-1 with a pair of tight games in Weeks 1 and 3.  

Trevor Harris is showing he’s a true No. 1 QB in this league, ranked a close second in both yards passing (1,095) and completion percentage (73.2). He’ll face an Eskimos team that is coming off a bye, a huge reason for the big number here. 

Edmonton will be working in a new starter at running back in Travon Van after John White was lost to a season-ending knee injury last game. A balanced attack has helped the Eskies’ 2-0 start so this could be an X-factor in this game. 

Pick: Redblacks +6 

B.C. at Hamilton (+3, 50) 

Hamilton is probably the worst team in the CFL early on. The Tiger-Cats have only covered seven of their last 26 games so I’m not sure how you can feel great about putting your money on them here. 

The Ticats are the lowest-scoring team in the CFL and allow the most yards on defense by a landslide with 545 against per game. I don’t see them stopping a Lions offense with Jonathon Jennings rolling at QB and the defense has looked solid the last two weeks with just 31 points against. 

Pick: Lions -3