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Buffalo Bills Season Odds Preview


Buffalo is mired in a 13-year playoff drought, and is looking to rebuild on offense around emerging star running back C.J. Spiller with the addition of QB E.J. Manuel and wideouts Robert Woods and Marquise Goodwin. While the young offense should be fun to watch and good for a few upsets, the defensive issues that have plagued the Bills over the last few seasons should continue to do so. Playing in the AFC East with an improved Miami Dolphins team and a never-faltering New England Patriots team won’t help matters much, either. This season will be all about the development of new quarterback E.J. Manuel.

Buffalo Bills 2012-2013 Season Odds

Buffalo's long awaited return to the postseason was extended into another season last year. Despite a 3-0 start the Bills ended up 6-10 and still haven't reached the playoffs since 1999. After their hot starting not much went right for the Bills, who were 1-8 in their last nine games.

Odds to win AFC East: +600
Regular Season Win Total: 8 (-130)
Props: NFL Rushing leader odds Fred Jackson 35/1

Playing in the AFC East continues to be a thorn in the Bills side. Last season they were 1-5 within the division and in their last four seasons combined they're an awful 4-20 within the division.

The Bills offense was mediocre last season, finishing 14th overall in the league after averaging 351.5 yards per game. Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick held on to the starting job after passing for just over 3800 yards with 24 touchdowns and 23 interceptions. He's found solid chemistry with wide receiver Stevie Johnson, who posted a second-straight 1000 yard season, but Buffalo really needs someone from the group of Donald Jones, David Nelson and Derek Hagen to step up and take hold of the No.2 spot.

The running game was surprisingly strong last season until Fred Jackson got hurt. Through 10 games Jackson was among the league's leading rushers with 934 yards before a broken leg ended his season prematurely. He'll team up with the speedy C.J. Spiller to give the Bills an interesting thunder and lightning attack out of the backfield this season.

The Buffalo defense to a big step back last season and the Bills are hoping a pair of free agent signings will get them moving in the right direction again. The Bills ranked 26th (371.1 yards per game) in the league on defense last season, which included being atrocious against the run, ranking 28th (139 yards per game) in the league.

To add some much needed clout to the defense the Bills brought in former No. 1 pick Mario Williams and Mark Anderson. Williams, the centerpiece of the Houston defense for years is coming off an injury-shortened season, while Anderson had 10 sacks with New England a year ago.

If the defense hows no improvement it could be another season fighting to stay out of the AFC East basement for the Bills.

AFC East Odds at Bovada as of August 20
New England Patriots -400
New York Jets +600
Buffalo Bills +600
Miami Dolphins +1500

2012 Buffalo Bills Schedule (All times Eastern)

01 Sep 9 BUF @ NYJ (MetLife Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
02 Sep 16 KC @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
03 Sep 23 BUF @ CLE (Cleveland Browns Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
04 Sep 30 NE @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
05 Oct 7 BUF @ SF (Candlestick Park 4:25pm CBS)
06 Oct 14 BUF @ ARI (University of Phoeninx Stadium 4:05pm CBS)
07 Oct 21 TEN @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
08 BYE
09 Nov 4 BUF @ HOU (Reliant Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
10 Nov 11 BUF @ NE (Gillette Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
11 Nov 15 MIA @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 8:20pm NFL)
12 Nov 25 BUF @ IND (Lucas Oil Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
13 Dec 2 JAC @ BUF ( Ralph Wilson Stadium 1:00pm CBS
14 Dec 9 STL @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 1:00pm FOX)
15 Dec 16 SEA @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 4:05pm FOX)
16 Dec 23 BUF @ MIA (Dolphins Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
17 Dec 30 NYJ @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 1:00pm CBS)

Buffalo Bills 2011-2012 Season Odds Preview

For a team that finished near the bottom of the league at 4-12, Buffalo wasn’t all that bad. Half of those losses were by eight points or less, including three overtime losses to Baltimore, Kansas City, and Pittsburgh; all eventual playoff teams.

Buffalo has some bright spots on the roster, and at times looked like a team on the brink of being competitive. But stuck at the bottom of one of the NFL’s most unforgiving divisions in the AFC East, they’ll have to take a lot more strides forward before they get back in the playoff hunt.

Odds to Win AFC East: +2000
Regular Season Win Total: Over 5.5 (-115)
Props: Defensive ROY Odds Marcell Dareus 15/2

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Ryan Fitzpatrick bought himself another year as the Bills’ starting quarterback last season with a solid 3,000-yard, 23-touchdown campaign. Fitzpatrick meshed well with breakout wide receiver Steve Johnson, who had 82 catches for 1,073 yards and 10 touchdowns last season.

Fred Jackson also proved to be a reliable back last season, rushing for 927 yards on just 222 carries. Along with CJ Spiller, Buffalo has a respectable young 1-2 punch at running back.

Defensively, Buffalo finished third in the NFL in pass defense in 2010, allowing just 192 passing yards per game. Of course, part of that was simply due to the fact that teams were too busy running all over the Bills to pass, as the defense gave up a league-worst 169.6 yards per game on the ground.

To help slow down opposing running backs, Buffalo used their third overall pick to select 319-pound defensive tackle Marcell Dareus out of Alabama. Dareus was a force for the Crimson Tide in college, and should help the Buffalo defense clog up the middle.

Other than adding Dareus, it was a fairly quiet offseason for Buffalo, who signed wideout Brad Smith to replace the departed Lee Evans. As a result, it is hard to imagine Buffalo taking a big leap forward this season. They have a decent team and seem to be going in the right direction, but decent won’t be good enough; especially in the AFC East.

Week 1: at Kansas City

NFC West Odds at Bovada as of August 29:
New England -165
New York Jets +185
Miami Dolphins +900
Buffalo Bills +2000

2011 Buffalo Bills Schedule (All times Eastern)

01 Sep 11 BUF @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
02 Sep 18 OAK @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
03 Sep 25 NE @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
04 Oct 02 BUF @ CIN (Paul Brown Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
05 Oct 09 PHI @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 1:00pm FOX)
06 Oct 16 BUF @ NYG (MetLife Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
07 Bye    
08 Oct 30 WAS @ BUF (Rogers Centre 4:05pm FOX)
09 Nov 06 NYJ @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
10 Nov 13 BUF @ DAL (Cowboys Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
11 Nov 20 BUF @ MIA (Sun Life Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
12 Nov 27 BUF @ NYJ (MetLife Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
13 Dec 04 TEN @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
14 Dec 11 BUF @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 4:15pm CBS)
15 Dec 18 MIA @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
16 Dec 24 DEN @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
17 Jan 01 BUF @ NE (Gillette Stadium 1:00pm CBS)