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Jacksonville Jaguars Season Odds Preview


Jacksonville is trending in the wrong direction with massive holes on both sides of the ball. Maurice Jones-Drew is the team’s bright spot, and should be relied upon heavily while he’s healthy; but he can’t be expected to carry the entire offense and defense on his back. How well this team will do against the spread will likely come down to quarterback play, but with a vulnerable defense in an offense-driven league, the Jags won’t be winning many games outright. A return to 2011’s total of five wins would have to be considered a successful season for this squad.

Jacksonville Jaguars 2012-2013 Season Odds

The Jaguars finished under .500 for the fourth straight season last year and obviously missed the playoffs. Their 5-11 season might have turned out even worse if not for a few gimme wins over the Indianapolis Colts.

Odds to win AFC South: 18/1
Regular Season Win Total: 5.5 (Over -105)
Props: NFL Off ROTY odds Justin Blackmon 10/1

Another lackluster season meant the end of head coach Jack Del Rio's time in Jacksonville. He was replaced with Mike Mularkey who won't be given much more to work with in his first year as coach.

The Jaguars offense is led by Blaine Gabbert who, to put it mildly, struggled mightily in his rookie year. With Gabbert behind center for 15 of their games the Jaguars had the worst passing attack in the NFL, averaging only 132.6 yards per game. One bit of good news for Gabbert is that he has better receivers to pass to this season. Jacksonville scooped up Laurent Robinson from Dallas after a career year and drafted Justin Blackmon from Oklahoma State in the first round.

If not for Maurice Jones-Drew the Jaguars may not have won a single game last season. MJD led the league in rushing last year with 1606 yards, which averages out to 100.4 yards per game, and eight touchdowns. The bad news for Jacksonville is that MJD hasn't reported to camp yet while holding out. The longer his holdout drags out the more likely Rashad Jennings starts at running back in Week 1.

The Jaguars defense was surprisingly effective last season, ranking 6th overall after allowing 313 yards per game. Jacksonville was eighth (208.8 yards per game) against the pass last season and with corner back Rashean Mathis returning from injury to battle Aaron Ross for playing time the secondary could be even better.

Odds to win AFC South at Bovada as of August 20
Houston Texans 1/5
Tennessee Titans 9/2
Indianapolis Colts 18/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 18/1

2012 Jacksonville Jaguars Schedule (All times Eastern)

01 Sep 9 JAC @ MIN (Mall of America Field 1:00pm CBS)
02 Sep 16 HOU @ JAC (EverBank Field 1:00pm CBS)
03 Sep 23 JAC @ IND (Lucas Oil Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
04 Sep 30 CIN @ Jac (EverBank Field 4:05pm CBS)
05 Oct 7 CHI @ JAC (EverBank Field 4:05pm FOX)
06 BYE
07 Oct 21 JAC @ OAK (Co. o Stadium 4:25pm CBS)
08 Oct 28 JAC @ GB (Lambeau Field 1:00pm CBS)
09 Nov 4 DET @ JAC (EverBank Field 1:00pm FOX)
10 Nov 8 IND @ JAC (EverBank Field 8:20pm NFL)
11 Nov 18 JAC @ HOU (Reliant Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
12 Nov 25 TEN @ JAC (EverBank Field 1:00pm CBS)
13 Dec 2 JAC @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
14 Dec 9 NYJ @ JAC (EverBank Field 1:00pm CBS)
15 Dec 16 JAC @ MIA (Dolphins Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
16 Dec 23 NE @ JAC (EverBank Field 1:00pm CBS)
17 Dec 30 JAC @ Ten (LP Field 1:00pm CBS)

Jacksonville Jaguars 2011-2012 Season Odds Preview

The Jacksonville Jaguars were surprisingly right in the hunt for the AFC South title last season, holding a lead over the Colts with an 8-5 record while Indianapolis was at 7-6. But in the end, Jacksonville lost their final three games and Indianapolis won their final three, leaving the Jaguars in second place at 8-8.

Jacksonville had a fairly quiet offseason, and will hope that the players they have now can take a step forward and challenge for the AFC South again.

Odds to Win AFC: 35/1
Regular Season Win Total: Over 6.5
Props: MVP Odds Maurice Jones-Drew 30/1

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Maurice Jones-Drew battled a knee injury last season, but still managed to rush for 1,324 yards on 299 carries. Jones-Drew insists that his knee is feeling fine this season, and it will have to stay that way for Jacksonville to have any chance in the AFC South. Jones-Drew led Jacksonville to the NFL’s third best rushing attack (149.7 yards per game).

Quarterback Blaine Gabbert was drafted by Jacksonville to be the quarterback of the future, but David Garrard is still the quarterback of the present. 2010 was a mixed bag for Garrard; in 14 games, he reached a new career high in touchdown passes (23), but also a new career high in interceptions (15) as well.

Wide receiver Mike Sims-Walker is gone, but Jacksonville still has their two leading pass-catchers from last season, wide receiver Mike Thomas and tight end Marcedes Lewis. Lewis had a breakout campaign in 2010, setting career highs in catches (58), yards (700), and touchdowns (10).

Defensively, Jacksonville will be counting on free agent signing Paul Posluszny to help clean things up. Jacksonville was gashed for over 370 yards per game last season, ranking 28th in the league in total defense. The pass defense was particularly susceptible, also ranking 28th in the NFL (250.3 yards per game)

Much like division-rival Tennessee, Jacksonville has a game breaking running back that can keep them in the hunt for the AFC South title, but also has many questions on defense and at quarterback. With Indianapolis and Houston boasting much more powerful offenses, Jacksonville will need Maurice Jones-Drew at 100% to help control the tempo of games so they can keep those offenses off the field.

Week 1: vs. Tennessee

AFC Conference Odds at Bovada as of September 01:
Indianapolis Colts 9/1
Houston Texans 12/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 35/1
Tennessee Titans 35/1

2011 Jacksonville Jaguars Schedule (All times Eastern)

01 Sep 11 TEN @ JAC (EverBank Field 1:00pm CBS)
02 Sep 18 JAC @ NYJ (MetLife Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
03 Sep 25 JAC @ CAR (Bank of America Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
04 Oct 02 NO @ JAC (EverBank Field 1:00pm FOX)
05 Oct 09 CIN @ JAC (EverBank Field 1:00pm CBS)
06 Oct 16 JAC @ PIT (Heinz Field 1:00pm CBS)
07 Oct 24 BAL @ JAC (EverBank Field 8:30pm ESPN)
08 Oct 30 JAC @ HOU (Reliant Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
09 Bye    
10 Nov 13 JAC @ IND (Lucas Oil Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
11 Nov 20 JAC @ CLE (Cleveland Browns Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
12 Nov 27 HOU @ JAC (EverBank Field 1:00pm CBS)
13 Dec 05 SD @ JAC (EverBank Field 8:30pm ESPN)
14 Dec 11 TB @ JAC (EverBank Field 1:00pm FOX)
15 Dec 15 JAC @ ATL (Georgia Dome 8:20pm NFLN)
16 Dec 24 JAC @ TEN (LP Field 1:00pm CBS)
17 Jan 01 IND @ JAC (EverBank Field 1:00pm CBS)