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Kansas City Chiefs Season Odds Preview


Kansas City had a terrible campaign in 2012, finishing 2-14 SU and 5-11 ATS. Matt Cassel and Brady Quinn combined for the worst passing attack and least effective offense in the NFL. Andy Reid’s offensive creativity and new quarterback Alex Smith should give the Chiefs a huge improvement in both departments, and Jamaal Charles is still one of the best backs in the game. Barring a total collapse, the Denver Broncos will win the AFC West; but Kansas City should make major strides forward in 2013 and could end up fighting for a wild card spot if everything comes together.

Kansas City Chiefs 2012-2013 Season Odds

Injuries to a couple major players on offense derailed the Kansas City Chiefs chances at repeating as AFC West last season. Kansas still finished the season on a high note with a 7-9 record, which was enough to remove the interim tag on head coach Romeo Crennel.

Odds to win AFC West: +300
Regular Season Win Total: 8 (Over +110)
Props: NFL Rushing Leader Odds Jamaal Charles 12/1

With Matt Cassel and Jamaal Charles both missing considerable time last season the Chiefs offense was ranked 27th in the league. Both players returning healthy this season should improve those numbers substantially. Cassel played in only nine games last season and was unable to build on a solid 2010 season. He should return to find a better receiving corp than the last time he was behind center, led by the always reliable Dwayne Bowe and the speedy Jon Baldwin.

The biggest loss for the Chiefs last season was Charles. A season after rushing for 1467 yards while in tandem with Thomas Jones Charles had 2000 yards in his sight last season. Instead he was done two games into the year after suffering a season-ending knee injury. Charles returns from injury now backed up by Peyton Hillis, which should help take some pressure off him in cases his knee gives him any problems.

The Chiefs defense was awful at the beginning of last season giving up 89 points in their first two games. They eventually smoothed things out and finished the season the No. 11 ranked unit in the league. It wasn't all good news though. The Chiefs were strong against the pass, sixth (201.3 yards per game in the league, but they were terrible at stopping the run, ranked 26th (132 yards per game).

With Cassel and Charles back in the frame the Chiefs now have the talent on offense to get back to the top of the AFC West.

Odds to win AFC West at Bovada as of August 20
Denver Broncos +180
San Diego Chargers +200
Kansas City Chiefs +300
Oakland Raiders +400

2012 Kansas City Chiefs Schedule (All times Eastern)

01 Sep 9 ATL @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 1:00pm FOX)
02 Sep 16 KC @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
03 Sep 23 KC @ NO (Superdome 1:00pm CBS)
04 Sep 30 SD @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
05 Oct 7 BAL @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
06 Oct 14 KC @ TB (Raymond James Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
07 BYE
08 Oct 28 OAK @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 4:05pm CBS)
09 Nov 1 KC @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 8:20pm NFL)
10 Nov 12 KC @ PIT (Heinz Field 8:30 ESPN)
11 Nov 18 CIN @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
12 Nov 25 DEN @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
13 Dec 2 CAR @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 1:00pm FOX)
14 Dec 9 KC @ CLE (Cleveland Browns Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
15 Dec 16 KC @ OAK (O. co Stadium 4:25pm CBS)
16 Dec 23 IND@ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
17 Dec 30 KC @ DEN (Sports Authority Field at Mile High 4:25pm CBS)

Kansas City Chiefs 2011-2012 Season Odds Preview

After three straight seasons of winning four games or less, Kansas City shocked the football world last season with a 10-6 record to upset San Diego and win the AFC West. The Chiefs often controlled the tempo with their NFL-best rushing attack.

Will the Chiefs be able to replicate last season’s success and keep the AFC West division race interesting? Kansas City deserves plenty of respect for their run last season, but only one of their 10 wins came against a team with a winning record; the schedule will be much tougher in 2011.

Odds to Win AFC West: +450
Regular Season Win Total: Over 7.5 (-105)
Props: MVP Odds Jamaal Charles 30/1

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Only Arian Foster rushed for more yards in 2010 than Jamaal Charles, who finished with 1,467; a staggering 6.4 yards per carry. Thomas Jones proved reliable as Charles’ backup as well, racking up 896 yards of his own. Both return this season, and Kansas City’s rushing attack should once again be among the league’s best.

The Chiefs hope to get a more balanced attack this year though, as the passing game finished 30th in the NFL with just 185.5 passing yards per game. Quarterback Matt Cassel was a great game manager and finisher though, finishing with a 27-to-7 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

To help improve the passing attack, wide receiver Steve Breaston was signed, and the Chiefs used their first-round draft pick on wide receiver Jonathan Baldwin out of Pittsburgh.

As expected from a young unit, the defense was a mixed bag in 2010. Statistically, they finished right around the league average in rushing yards (110.3) and passing yards (219.9) against per game. But against stronger offenses, the defense was exposed, as Kansas City gave up 30 or more points in five of their seven losses last year (including their loss to Baltimore in the playoffs).

Kansas City may have overachieved last season, and a tougher schedule this year suggests there may be a step backwards coming. But with an elite rushing game, Kansas City has the ability to control the tempo and win on any given Sunday. If any team is going to top the heavily-favored San Diego Chargers this year, it would likely be the Chiefs.

Week 1: vs. Buffalo

AFC West Odds at Bovada as of August 31:
San Diego Chargers -250
Kansas City Chiefs +450
Oakland Raiders +600
Denver Broncos +1000

2011 Kansas City Chiefs Schedule (All times Eastern)

01 Sep 11 BUF @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
02 Sep 18 KC @ DET (Ford Field 1:00pm CBS)
03 Sep 25 KC @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 4:05pm CBS)
04 Oct 02 MIN @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 1:00pm FOX)
05 Oct 09 KC @ IND (Lucas Oil Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
06 Bye
07 Oct 23 KC @ OAK (O.co Coliseum 4:05pm CBS)
08 Oct 31 SD @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 8:30pm ESPN)
09 Nov 06 MIA @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
10 Nov 13 DEN @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
11 Nov 21 KC @ NE (Gillette Stadium 8:30pm ESPN)
12 Nov 27 PIT @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 8:20pm NBC)
13 Dec 04 KC @ CHI (Soldier Field 1:00pm CBS)
14 Dec 11 KC @ NYJ (MetLife Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
15 Dec 18 GB @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 1:00pm FOX)
16 Dec 24 OAK @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
17 Jan 01 KC @ DEN (Sports Authority Field at Mile High 4:15pm CBS)