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New England Patriots Season Odds Preview


Tom Brady was already going to have his work cut out for him with Wes Welker and Brandon Lloyd leaving, but the bombshell of losing Aaron Hernandez too made this offseason even worse for the star quarterback. If Brady can lead this motley crew to another 12+ win season with an AFC East title and elite numbers to boot, you’d have to seriously consider him for the NFL MVP award. Bill Belichick’s media prowess will also be tested this season with the Aaron Hernandez case and the Tim Tebow media circus looming overhead. New England will be interesting to watch this season.

New England Patriots 2012-2013 Season Odds

Another season, another NFC East title for the New England Patriots last year. Once again the Pats cruised through the regular season with a 13-3 record, but the season ended in disappointment in the postseason. After big victories over Denver and Baltimore in the playoffs the Patriots faced the Giants in the Super Bowl again, and again lost as the favorite.

Odds to win AFC East: -400
Regular Season Win Total: 12 (Over -115)
Props: NFL MVP odds Tom Brady 13/2

The Patriots dominated thanks to a strong offense last season, but that didn't keep them inactive in the offseason. For the second straight year the Pats acquired a big-name receiver to add to Tom Brady's bevy of reliable targets.

Brady put up MVP-type numbers again last season, passing for over 5000 yards with 39 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Brady's bounty of receivers still includes Wes Welker, Deion Branch and the defense terrorizing tight end tandem of Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez. New England also added Brandon Lloyd to their stable of receivers, who's coming off a season slit between St. Louis and Denver.

One big change for New England this season will be the ground game. BenJarvus Green-Ellis was allowed to walk away after rushing for a team-high 667 yards and 11 touchdowns last season. Taking over the back field duties with be Stevan Ridley and veteran acquisition Joseph Addai.

Other than the Super Bowl loss the biggest disappointment for the Patriots last season was likely their defense. The usually stout New England D was anything but last year, ranking 31st in the league. They were especially weak against the pass, ranking second last in the NFL. New England tried to address some of their defensive shortcoming in the draft by selecting DE Chandler Jones and LB Dont'a Hightower in the first round.

With Bill Belichick still at the helm in New England the Patriots defense shouldn't languish at the bottom of the NFL rankings for long. And, with Brady leading the offense the Patriots will remain a Super Bowl favorite and a large favorite to continue to rule the AFC East.

AFC East Odds at Bovada as of August 20
New England Patriots -400
New York Jets +600
Buffalo Bills +600
Miami Dolphins +1500

2012 New England Patriots Schedule (All times Eastern)

01 Sep 9 NE @ TEN (LP Field) 1:00pm CBS)
02 Sep 16 ARI @ NE (Gillette Field 1:00pm FOX)
03 Sep 23 NE @ BAL (M&T Bank Stadium 8:20pm NBC)
04 Sep 30 NE @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
05 Oct 7 DEN @ NE (Gillette Stadium 4:25pm CBS)
06 Oct 14 NE @ SEA (Qwest Field 4:05pm CBS)
07 Oct 21 NYJ @ NE (Gillette Stadium 4:25pm CBS)
08 Oct 28 NE vs STL (Wembley Stadium, London 1:00pm CBS)
09 BYE
10 Nov 11 BUF @ NE (Gillette Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
11 Nov 18 IND @ NE (Gillette Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
12 Nov 22 NE @ NYJ (MetLife Stadium 8:20pm NBC)
13 Dec 2 NE @ MIA (Dolphins Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
14 Dec 10 HOU @ NE (Gillette Stadium 8:30pm ESPN)
15 Dec 16 SF @ NE (Gillette Stadium 8:20pm NBC)
16 Dec 23 NE @ JAC (EverBank Field 1:00pm CBS)
17 Dec 30 MIA @ NE (Gillette Stadium 1:00pm CBS)

New England Patriots 2011-2012 Season Odds Preview

Last year was supposed to be a rebuilding year for New England as they were breaking in a lot of new young players on defense. Instead, the Patriots cruised to the NFL’s best record at 14-2 and dominated most of the regular season before being upset by the New York Jets in the playoffs.

This offseason, New England went out and got even better, adding big playmakers on both sides of the ball. Led by Tom Brady and Bill Belichick, New England has been one of the most consistently dominant teams in the NFL for a decade; and this year shouldn’t be any different.

Odds to Win AFC East: -165
Regular Season Win Total: Over 11.5 (-115)
Props: MVP Odds Tom Brady 6/1

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Tom Brady was simply surgeon-like last season, passing for 3,900 yards with a ridiculous 36-to-4 touchdown to interception ratio en route to his second NFL MVP award. Already loaded with wideouts Wes Welker and Deion Branch and tight ends Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski, the Patriots acquired wide receiver Chad Ochocinco to give Brady another great option down the field.

Though known for their passing game, New England was great on the ground too last season, finishing ninth in the league (123.3 yards per game) in rushing behind BenJarvus Green-Ellis’s 1,008-yard season. He is joined this year by two dynamic backs drafted by the Patriots in Shane Vereen and Stevan Ridley.

On defense, the Patriots struggled against the pass early in the year but got better as the season went on. Defensive end Shaun Ellis and defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth were brought in to beef up the defensive line. These two should help the Patriots get a lot more pressure on the quarterback.

With Bill Belichick’s uncanny ability to get the most out of his players and make the locker room gel, and Tom Brady’s elite play at quarterback, New England enters every year as a Super Bowl favorite. Even with the Jets establishing themselves as one of the NFL’s elite, the AFC East is still New England’s to lose; and with eight division titles in the last 10 years, they’ve been one of the NFL’s safest bets.

Week 1: at Miami

NFC West Odds at Bovada as of August 29:
New England -165
New York Jets +185
Miami Dolphins +900
Buffalo Bills +2000

2011 New England Patriots Schedule (All times Eastern)

01 Sep 12 NE @ MIA (Sun Life Stadium 7:00pm ESPN)
02 Sep 18 SD @ NE (Gillette Stadium 4:15pm CBS)
03 Sep 25 NE @ BUF (Ralph Wilson Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
04 Oct 02 NE @ OAK (O.co Coliseum 4:15pm CBS)
05 Oct 09 NYJ @ NE (Gillette Stadium 4:15pm CBS)
06 Oct 16 DAL @ NE (Gillette Stadium 4:15pm FOX)
07 Bye    
08 Oct 30 NE @ PIT (Heinz Field 4:15pm CBS)
09 Nov 06 NYG @ NE (Gillette Stadium 4:15pm FOX)
10 Nov 13 NE @ NYJ (MetLife Stadium 8:20pm NBC)
11 Nov 21 KC @ NE (Gillette Stadium 8:30pm ESPN)
12 Nov 27 NE @ PHI (Lincoln Financial Field 4:15pm CBS)
13 Dec 04 IND @ NE (Gillette Stadium 8:20pm NBC)
14 Dec 11 NE @ WAS (FedExField 1:00pm CBS)
15 Dec 18 NE @ DEN (Sports Authority Field at Mile High 4:15pm CBS)
16 Dec 24 MIA @ NE (Gillette Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
17 Jan 01 BUF @ NE (Gillette Stadium 1:00pm CBS)