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San Diego Chargers Season Odds Preview


After getting off to a promising 3-1 SU and ATS start last year, San Diego went just 4-8 SU and ATS over its last 12 games to finish 7-9 SU and ATS for its first losing season in 10 years. New head coach Mike McCoy was hired in large part due to his past successes with getting the most out of his quarterbacks. The success of McCoy’s first year as head coach will be determined by whether or not he can get Philip Rivers back on track after two off seasons. The Chargers should be competitive in 2013, but Rivers holds the key to just how competitive they are.

San Diego Chargers 2012-2013 Season Odds

The Chargers severely disappointed again last season, missing the postseason for the second straight year. That doesn't cut it for a team that was favored to win the division. As usual the Charger beat themselves with a horrendous slump in the middle of the season. The Chargers started the season 4-1 and won four of their last five games, but in between lost six in a row.

Odds to win AFC West: +200
Regular Season Win Total: 9 (Over +110)
Props: NFL Def ROTY odds Melvin Ingram 12/1

Despite what was considered a down year from quarterback Philip Rivers the Charger still had the No. 6 (393.1 yards per game) offense in the NFL last season. Rivers passed for 4624 yards last year with 27 touchdowns, but his interception total increased to 20 from 13, while his QB rating dropped from 101.8 in 2010 to 88.7 in 2011.

Things don't get any easier for Rivers this year either as his top deep target, Vincent Jackson, departed for Tampa Bay. Malcolm Floyd is still around and the Chargers signed Robert Meachem and Eddie Royal to fill out the receivers. Oh, and don't forget about tight end Antonio Gates.

On the ground the Chargers are expecting a big season from Ryan Mathews after he topped the 1000 yard rushing mark for the first time last season. However, Mathews may not be ready to start the season after injuring his shoulder on his first carry in the preseason. If Mathew isn't ready to go in Week 1 a committee of veteran running backs, including Ronnie Brown, Jackie Battle and Le'Ron McClain are expected to carry the load.

The Chargers defense took a step back last season after being the top unit in the league in 2010. Last season they ranked 16th (346.6 yards per game) after a number of uneven performances. To try and reload and bolster the defense the Chargers raided the draft, taking LB Melvin Ingram in the first round and DE Kendall Reyes in the second round. Both could make an immediate impact.

Odds to win AFC West at Bovada as of August 20
Denver Broncos +180
San Diego Chargers +200
Kansas City Chiefs +300
Oakland Raiders +400

2012 San Diego Chargers Schedule (all time Eastern)

01 Sep 10 SD @ OAK (O. co Stadium 10:15pm ESPN)
02 Sep 16 TEN @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 4:25pm CBS)
03 Sep 23 ATL @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 4:05pm FOX)
04 Sep 30 SD @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
05 Oct 7 SD @ NO (Superdome 8:20pm NBC)
06 Oct 15 DEN @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 8:30pm ESPN)
07 BYE
08 Oct 28 SD @ CLE (Cleveland Browns Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
09 Nov 1 KC @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 8:20pm NFL)
10 Nov 11 SD @ TB (Raymond James Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
11 Nov 18 SD @ DEN (Sports Authority Field at Mile High 4:25pm CBS)
12 Nov 25 BAL @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 4:05pm CBS)
13 Dec 2 CIN @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 4:25pm CBS)
14 Dec 9 SD @ PIT (Heinz Field 1:00pm CBS)
15 Dec 16 CAR @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 4:05pm FOX)
16 Dec 23 SD @ NYJ (MetLife Stadium 8:20pm NBC)
17 Dec 30 OAK @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 4:25pm CBS)

San Diego Chargers 2011-2012 Season Odds Preview

If nothing else, the 2010 San Diego Chargers reminded us all just how important special teams can be. The Chargers were denied their fifth straight AFC West title as they finished the season 9-7 behind 10-6 Kansas City.

Remarkably, the Chargers ranked first in the league in both total offense (395.6 yards per game) and total defense (271.6 yards per game), yet still managed to miss the playoffs. This was due to abysmal special teams. If the Chargers manage to get this unit in order, they should be a serious Super Bowl contender.

Odds to Win AFC West: -250
Regular Season Win Total: Over 10 (-190)
Props: MVP Odds Philip Rivers 7/1

NFL Odds | NFL Betting Strategy | NFL Database | NFL Handicapping Stats

San Diego’s explosive offense revolves around one of the best passing games in the NFL. Philip Rivers put up huge numbers last season with 4,710 passing yards and 30 touchdown passes, made even more impressive by the fact that he didn’t have his best wide receiver, Vincent Jackson, for most of last year.

This year, he’ll have Jackson from the start of the season, along with elite tight end Antonio Gates and last season’s leading receiver, Malcolm Floyd.

Darren Sproles is a tough loss in the backfield, but the Chargers return last season’s two leading rushers, Mike Tolbert (735 yards) and Ryan Mathews (678 yards). San Diego is hoping for a breakout season from Mathews, who projected out of college as a feature back.

On defense, last season’s elite unit finished first overall against the pass (177.8 yards per game) and fourth against the rush (93.8 yards per game). Last year’s outstanding results didn’t stop the Chargers from going out and improving; veteran linebacker Takeo Spikes was a great acquisition, and safety Bob Sanders could prove to be a great gamble if he can stay healthy.

San Diego is clearly the team to beat in the AFC West, and should have no trouble taking the division if they don’t beat themselves. The Chargers are notorious slow starters, and it finally caught up to them last year after a 2-4 start. Despite question marks in the running game, San Diego is an elite team that could make a deep playoff run barring any internal collapses.

Week 1: vs. Minnesota

AFC West Odds at Bovada as of August 31:
San Diego Chargers -250
Kansas City Chiefs +450
Oakland Raiders +600
Denver Broncos +1000

2011 San Diego Chargers Schedule (All times Eastern)

01 Sep 11 MIN @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 4:15pm FOX)
02 Sep 18 SD @ NE (Gillette Stadium 4:15pm CBS)
03 Sep 25 KC @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 4:05pm CBS)
04 Oct 02 MIA @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 4:15pm CBS)
05 Oct 09 SD @ DEN (Sports Authority Field at Mile High 4:15pm CBS)
06 Bye    
07 Oct 23 SD @ NYJ (MetLife Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
08 Oct 31 SD @ KC (Arrowhead Stadium 8:30pm ESPN)
09 Nov 06 GB @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 4:15pm FOX)
10 Nov 10 OAK @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 8:20pm NFLN)
11 Nov 20 SD @ CHI (Soldier Field 4:15pm CBS)
12 Nov 27 DEN @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 4:15pm CBS)
13 Dec 05 SD @ JAC (EverBank Field 8:30pm ESPN)
14 Dec 11 BUF @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 4:15pm CBS)
15 Dec 18 BAL @ SD (Qualcomm Stadium 8:20pm NBC)
16 Dec 24 SD @ DET (Ford Field 4:05pm CBS)
17 Jan 01 SD @ OAK (O.co Coliseum 4:15pm CBS)