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Tampa Bay Buccaneers Season Odds Preview


Tampa Bay enjoyed a 6-4 SU and 8-2 ATS start to 2012, which included a breakout campaign for rookie running back Doug Martin. But after finishing 1-5 SU and 1-4-1 ATS, the Buccaneers have left everyone wondering which version of the team they should expect to see in 2013. If CB Darrelle Revis returns healthy and QB Josh Freeman is more consistent, the Bucs could be good enough to fight for an NFC Wild Card berth. But in the extremely tough NFC South, Tampa Bay is probably still a year or two away from competing for a division title.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2012-2013 Season Odds

The 2011 season was a total disaster for the Buccaneers. After a surprising 10-6 2010 season in which they just missed the playoffs a lot was expected from the Bucs last season, but they failed to deliver and ended the season 4-12.

Odds to win NFC South: +1500
Regular Season Win Total: 6 (Over -140)
Props: NFL Off ROTY Odds Doug Martin 14/1

Tampa Bay quarterback Josh Freeman regressed badly last and the offense crumbled around him. Freeman passed for 3592 yards last season but his touchdown to interception ratio reversed from 25-to-6 in 2010 to 16-to-22 last season. The Bucs offense ranked 21st last season (319.3 yards per game) and they were one of the lowest scoring units in the league, averaging only 17.9 points per game.

To give their offense a jolt and help Freeman bounce back the Bucs retooled their receivers, bringing in wide receivers Vincent Jackson and veteran tight end Dallas Clark. They'll team with holdovers Mike Williams and Arrelious Benn to hopefully get the Bucs' pass attack back in gear.

Freeman may have led the Bucs pass game down last season, but their run game was even worse. Tampa Bay had the 30th ranked run game last season, averaging 91.1 yards per game. That may cost LeGarrette Blount the starting job, as the Bucs drafted Doug Martin with their first round pick.

The defense was also a nightmare for the Bucs last season. No team allowed more yards (394.4 yards per game) or more points (30.9) per game than the Bucs defense did last season. Tampa Bay was especially awful against the run, giving up a shocking 156.1 yards per game

New head coach Greg Schiano has inherited some talent, but also a lot of problems in Tampa Bay. The chances of him getting them all worked out in one season don't look promising.

NFC South Odds at Bovada as of August 20
New Orleans Saints +130
Atlanta Falcons +130
Carolina Panthers +400
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1500

2012 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Schedule (All time Eastern)

01 Sep 9 Car @ TB (Raymond James Stadium 4:25pm FOX)
02 Sep 16 TB @ NYG (New Meadowlands Stadium 1:00pm FOX)
03 Sep 23 TB @ DAL (Cowboys Stadium 1:00pm FOX)
04 Sep 30 WAS @ TB (Raymond James Stadium 4:25pm FOX)
05 BYE
06 Oct 14 KC @ TB (Raymond James Stadium 1:00pm FOX)
07 Oct 21 NO @ TB (Raymond James Stadium 1:00pm FOX)
08 Oct 25 TB @ MIN (Metro Dome 8:20pm NFL)
09 Nov 4 TB @ OAK (O.co Coliseum 4:05pm FOX)
10 Nov 11 SD @ TB (Raymond James Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
11 Nov 18 TB @ CAR (Bank of America Stadium 1:00pm FOX)
12 Nov 25 ATL @ TB (Raymond James Stadium 1:00pm FOX)
13 Dec 2 TB @ DEN (Sports Authority Field at Mile High 4:05pm FOX)
14 Dec 9 PHI @ TB (Raymond James Stadium 1:00 pm FOX)
15 Dec 16 TB @ NO (Superdome 1:00pm FOX)
16 Dec 23 STL @ TB (Raymond James Stadium 1:00pm FOX)
17 Dec 30 TB @ ATL (Georgia Dome 1:00pm FOX)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2011-2012 Season Odds Preview

After going 3-13 in 2009, Tampa Bay entered last season as a team many expected to be a pushover. Instead, they were in the hunt for a playoff spot right down to the wire, just missing out despite a respectable 10-6 record.

With New Orleans and Atlanta sitting atop the NFC South, winning the division would be a very difficult task. But with an exciting young team clearly going in the right direction, there is room for optimism in Tampa Bay.

Odds to Win NFC South: +550
Regular Season Win Total: Over 8 (+110)
Props: MVP Odds Josh Freeman 35/1

NFL Odds | NFL Betting Strategy | NFL Database | NFL Handicapping Stats

Josh Freeman excelled in his first full season at quarterback last year, throwing for 3,451 yards and showing off his outstanding decision-making and maturity with a 25-to-6 touchdown to interception ratio. Freeman is a star in the making, and was the main reason behind Tampa Bay’s rapid transformation.

Freeman wasn’t the only young player to have a big year on offense last season. LaGarrette Blount (1,007 yards rushing, six touchdowns) and Mike Williams (65 receptions, 11 touchdowns) both broke into the league with huge rookie campaigns.

On defense, Tampa Bay boasts a solid passing defense, led by cornerbacks Ronde Barber and Aqib Talib. Rushing defense on the other hand was a major concern, as the Bucs ranked 28th in the league surrendering 131.7 yards per game.

As a result, Tampa Bay used their first two draft picks on defensive ends Adrian Clayborn and Da’Quan Bowers, hoping they can step in and make an immediate impact.

Taking a closer look at the 2010 season, Tampa Bay only had one win over a team with a winning record; and that was against New Orleans when they were resting players for the playoffs in Week 17. On paper, this year’s schedule appears to be much tougher, meaning another 10-win season will be difficult to put together.

The future definitely looks bright for the Buccaneers, but this season will show us if the future is now or still a year or two away.

Week 1: vs. Detroit

NFC South Odds at Bovada as of August 24:
New Orleans Saints +110
Atlanta Falcons +120
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +550
Carolina Panthers +1800

2011 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Schedule (All times Eastern)

01 Sep 11 DET @ TB (Raymond James Stadium 1:00pm FOX)
02 Sep 18 TB @ MIN (Mall of America Field 1:00pm FOX)
03 Sep 25 ATL @ TB (Raymond James Stadium 4:15pm FOX)
04 Oct 03 IND @ TB (Raymond James Stadium 8:30pm ESPN)
05 Oct 09 TB @ SF (Candlestick Park 4:05pm FOX)
06 Oct 16 NO @ TB (Raymond James Stadium 4:15pm FOX)
07 Oct 23 CHI @ TB (Wembley Stadium 1:00pm FOX)
08 Bye    
09 Nov 06 TB @ NO (Superdome 1:00pm FOX)
10 Nov 13 HOU @ TB (Raymond James Stadium 1:00pm CBS)
11 Nov 20 TB @ GB (Lambeau Field 1:00pm FOX)
12 Nov 27 TB @ TEN (LP Field 1:00pm FOX)
13 Dec 04 CAR @ TB (Raymond James Stadium 1:00pm FOX)
14 Dec 11 TB @ JAC (EverBank Field 1:00pm FOX)
15 Dec 17 DAL @ TB (Raymond James Stadium 8:20pm NFLN)
16 Dec 24 TB @ CAR (Bank of America Stadium 1:00pm FOX)
17 Jan 01 TB @ ATL (Georgia Dome 1:00pm FOX)