IPL Final Betting Preview: Who Will Win The IPL Final?
Chennai Super Kings 1.9 (-111)
CSK lost their last three group matches in a row but came good when it mattered. Against Delhi in the eliminator, they conceded quite a big total, but two men batted well to the extent the result was never in doubt.
That the first one to do that was Ruturaj Gaikwad should come as no surprise. He has not only been their best batsman all tournament, he’s also the second-highest run scorer of the whole IPL, just 23 runs behind KL Rahul.
The Punjab Kings have of course already been eliminated so 24 runs in the final and Gaikwad will be top of the pile.
The other man was far more unlikely: Robin Uthappa had only come into the side a few matches ago and hadn’t made much of an impact up to then.
But his 63 off 44 was a masterclass in aggressive batting. There was a bit of a late wobble but a rare throwback to the MS Dhoni of old put that to bed. He smashed 18 off just six balls to get them home.
Josh Hazlewood has gotten better as the tournament has progressed and they’ll be hoping for early wickets from him.
Kolkata Knight Riders 1.9 (-111)
To say KKR have done it the hard way is putting it mildly. They needed to win their last two group games – they did. They needed to beat RCB in the eliminator – they did. And then they beat Delhi on Wednesday. And boy did they do it the hard way. They were absolutely cruising in the chase but then lost their two openers, who had done all the hard work.
Four batsmen in a row then got out for ducks, telling you all you need to know about their middle-order struggles.
They were then under real pressure when in the final over, Ravi Ashwin took two wickets in two balls.
Fortunately for KKR, Ashwin’s fifth ball was too short, Nitish Rana hit it for six and just like that, it was all over. The important thing is they’re in the final, but they almost weren’t.
Once again, their five bowlers were excellent. None of them went at more than seven an over.
IPL Final Betting: Match Winner - CSK
Betway can’t split the two, offering 1.91 (-111) on both teams.
Is that justified? Well, CSK were the better side in the group stages and were pretty ruthless in that qualifier against Delhi. In their favor is the vast experience that the likes of Dhoni, Ravindra Jadeja, Dwayne Bravo and Faf du Plessis bring to the table. The first three are not just IPL winners but also World Cup winners.
As for KKR, their bowling has been the best of anyone over the last couple of weeks. Lockie Ferguson has been downright quick, Sunil Narine looks back to his best and the less heralded Shivam Mavi has been in good form, too.
The head-to-head between the two shows CSK 16-8 ahead, which is extremely one-sided. If a team beats another time after time, it suggests there’s something there. Whether those are matchups between players that work in CSK’s favor or just a result of the confidence that comes from beating a team time and again in the past, it doesn’t matter.
But there’s a bigger reason than that for going with CSK. While the two bowling lineups aren’t too different in terms of quality, KKR’s middle order with the bat is a disaster waiting to happen.
Neither Dinesh Karthik nor Eoin Morgan can be trusted while Narine is just as likely to go six, six as he is ought to get out first ball. In fact, against Delhi he did get out first ball trying to hit a six!
At some stage in the game, assuming the KKR openers don’t do it by themselves, they’re going to need their middle order to come good. The smart money is on that not happening. And that just might be where the game is won or lost.
CSK Top Bowler: Ravindra Jadeja 5.5 (+450)
Bravo and Shardul Thakur are joint favorites here at 3.75 (+275). Thakur is the side’s top wicket-taker with 18 in 15 games so you can see why he’s favorite. Bravo has 13 from 10 games. Fair enough.
Josh Hazlewood has nine wickets in eight games and is bowling really well: he’s 4.5 (+350). But at 5.5 (+450) you can back Ravindra Jadeja. Admittedly his numbers don’t stack up as well as the others. He has 11 wickets in 15 games.
But Jadeja is a man for the big occasions. The bigger the game, the better he seems to play. And this is a very big game.
He’s been bowling his full quota of overs recently so he should give you a good run for your money. At the far bigger odds, he’s worth a shot.
Player To Hit The Most Sixes: Ruturaj Gaikwad 9.0 (+800)
If you want to back the excellent Gaikwad for CSK top bat, you can get odds of 3.6 (+260) on him.
But at more than double those odds, you can back him to hit the most sixes of any batsman in the match.
Surprisingly, he’s only the fourth favorite. Surprising because no player on the field has hit more sixes than him this tournament. He’s smashed 22 of them so far and only that man KL Rahul (30) has hit more.
There were two of them in that knock of 70 the other day.
There are other things in his favor. He’s an opener so he’s one of only four players who are actually guaranteed a bat. He’s also a player who generally spends a lot of time at the crease and has been in great touch, which of course limits how long other batsmen can be batting for.
Go with Gaikwad to hit two or three maximums, which could well be enough.
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