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Survivor Series Betting Odds: The Best WWE Event of the Year for Bettors

Why is the Survivor Series the best WWE event to bet on, you ask? Aren’t the results predetermined? Well, sure they are, but one look at the betting odds for tonight’s event at Staples Center and you will see that there’s money to be made, even on a scripted event.

You see,  the other 15 to 20 pay-per-view events that WWE runs during the course of the calendar year are structured around feuds or “programs” that performers work together – generally over the course of four to 12 weeks. The outlier is that one night a year, the usual programs are pushed aside to let the top performers from SmackDown fight the top performers from Raw.

Think, champions vs champions, multi-competitor elimination matches, one-offs. In other words: matches that don’t really matter in the storylines and the results are arbitrary. That’s why the betting lines for just under half the matches have the same variance as a legitimate sporting event.

Lesnar and Rousey Are Both on the Card

The two biggest favorites on the card are the two biggest attractions on the WWE roster. Brock Lesnar, who it is believed will attempt to become the first ever concurrent WWE and UFC champion in the new year, is a -350 favorite against Daniel Bryan.

Until Tuesday night, the match was supposed to be Lesnar vs AJ Styles, but a surprise title change (also known as a “swerve” in wrestling lingo) will see Bryan represent SmackDown against the Raw champion Lesnar. Styles did the same thing to Jinder Mahal just ahead of last year’s event.

Brock Lesnar vs Daniel Bryan - WWE Survivor Series
Brock Lesnar (Raw)-350
Daniel Bryan (SmackDown)+225

There was also a change to undefeated Ronda Rousey’s champion vs champion match with Becky Lynch. Lynch took a legitimate punch to the eye on Monday Night Raw and ended up with facial fractures and a concussion. In her place, Charlotte Flair will step in to fight Rousey. Rousey is a -700 favorite with Flair paying +400.

Ronda Rousey vs Charlotte Flair - WWE Survivor Series
Ronda Rousey (Raw)-700
Charlotte Flair (SmackDown)+400

Shinsuke Nakamura vs Seth Rollins

Two of the most competent in-ring performers in the industry go head-to-head in a match that fans of the art of wrestling will really be looking forward to on this card. Seth Rollins is paying +225 vs Shinsuke Nakamura (-350) in a match that I will personally be laying money on Rollins, the Intercontinental Champion.

Rollins is in the middle of a budding feud with Dean Ambrose, his former tag-team partner, and it’s possible that Ambrose interferes and costs Rollins the match through disqualification.

However, if the writers let this one work its way as a pure wrestling match, and it would be unfair to do anything else, frankly, I don’t see Rollins losing as SmackDown will most likely win the tag-team and women’s elimination matches.

Even if Ambrose does get involved, it could be a full-on attack, which would give Rollins the win by disqualification.

Shinsuke Nakamura vs Seth Rollins - WWE Survivor Series
Shinsuke Nakamura (SmackDown)-350
Seth Rollins (Raw)+225

Elimination Matches

At its inception in 1987, the Survivor Series was all about the elimination match – hence “survivor.” Over the years those lengthy tag-team matches were weaned off the card to a point where there would be one or maybe even zero elimination matches. Thankfully, in recent years we’ve been guaranteed at least one women’s, one men’s and usually a tag-team elimination match.

 There’s no predicting the outcome of these matches (but I’m going to try), so sportsbooks are actually vulnerable to bettors here.

Men’s 5 vs 5 Elimination Match

The men’s 5 vs 5 match, at first glance, looks like the SmackDown team has the better team, one through five. However, Vince loves making Braun Strowman look invincible and this is another opportunity to do so. Raw is also Vince’s baby (maybe even more so than Shane) so I’m going with a Raw win here. 

Men’s 5 vs 5 Elimination Match - WWE Survivor Series
Braun Strowman, Finn Balor, Bobby Lashley, Drew McIntyre, Dolph Ziggler (Raw)-300
Shane McMahon, The Miz, Jeff Hardy, Samoa Joe, Rey Mysterio (SmackDown)+200

Women’s 5 vs 5 Elimination Match

Looking at the women’s match, I’m inclined to pick the Raw team to win as well. Especially with Charlotte Flair out of the match and bumped to the co-main event, the Raw team is just better. I don’t see how that SmackDown team gets a believable victory. 

WoMen’s 5 vs 5 Elimination Match - WWE Survivor Series
Natalya, Nia Jax, Tamina Snuka, Mickie James, Ruby Riott (Raw)+110
Asuka, Naomi, Carmella, Sonya Deville, TBD (SmackDown)-150

10 vs 10 Tag-Team Elimination Match

The Raw tag-team division is a complete disaster. That’s why SmackDown is -420 to win this match. No upset coming here. 

10 vs 10 Tag-Team Elimination Match - WWE Survivor Series
The New Day, The Usos, Gallows & Anderson, SAnitY, The Colons (SmackDown)-420
Roode & Gable, The B Team, The Revival, The Ascension, Lucha House Party (Raw)+260

Rest of the Card

The Bar vs AOP - WWE Survivor Series
The Bar (SmackDown)+170
AOP (Raw)-250
Buddy Murphy vs Mustafa Ali - WWE Survivor Series
Cruiserweight Championship Odds
Buddy Murphy (205 Live)-300
Mustafa Ali (205 Live)+200

Odds as of November 18 at BetOnline