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F1 Podium: Three Bets for the Hungarian Grand Prix

Sebastian Vettel Ferrari Lewis Hamilton Mercedes Formula 1 Hungarian Grand Prix

We followed up a perfect 3-0 week (this time at the Austrian Grand Prix) with a tough 0-3 week (at the British Grand Prix) in this column so it’s time for a rebound as drivers and teams shift gears for the Hungarian Grand Prix at Hungaroring this weekend.

Lewis Hamilton was absolutely flawless all weekend at Silverstone, winning the pole on Saturday and capturing his fourth checkered flag of the 2017 season. Hamilton was flying on Sunday, winning by 14.063 seconds over Mercedes teammate Valtteri Bottas and trimming Sebastian Vettel’s lead to just one point (177-176) entering Hungary.

Worse news for Ferrari is that Hamilton has been spectacular in Hungary as he enters the race weekend with the most career wins (five), including last year’s edition. Lewis is currently the race fave at online shop Bovada at -125, but per the rules of this column, we’ll look for longer odds on the F1 board. But that won’t deter from backing the Italian outfit!

So let’s put that 0-3 performance behind us and get back to winning some money. Here are three bets a bit further down the oddsboard (albeit a bit more conservative than last week) to spice up your Hungarian Grand Prix weekend.

(Article ahead of Friday’s qualifying)

P1: Felipe Massa to finish Top 10 (+125)

Massa is coming off a pair of top-10 finishes (P9 in Austria, P10 in England) and has six under his belt so far in the season. Hungary hasn’t been his best race since switching from Ferrari to Williams for the 2014 season, but his plus-money price is worth it for a driver with his level of skill.

The Brazilian was a disappointing P18 one year ago and was P12 in 2015 after finishing P5 in his first season with Williams. He’s been unlucky in a couple of races this year and some of his results don’t really tell the story of his season.

Williams has had some great races so far but has been a bit lackluster in the past couple of qualifications and was less than stellar at Silverstone a couple of weeks ago. I expect a strong performance from both Massa and the Williams team in Hungary.

P2: Safety Car in the Race (+125)

There have been safety cars in two of the last three Hungarian Grand Prix and we’ve now gone a couple of races without seeing one in 2017. It’s a “50/50 shot” for this bet to cash and at +125, I’ll be taking this one.

The safety car has been deployed in five races so far (China, Russia, Monaco, Canada, Azerbaijan) with a virtual safety car in Spain. Coming off two clean races in Austria and Britain makes this one a pretty appealing bet considering the decent price.

P3: Winning Car - Ferrari (+333)

I’ll advise taking this one because I’m backing Sebastian Vettel to win the race but his price is +300 and with this improved price you can get teammate Kimi Raikkonen as well!

It’s now been four races since Seb has won and he’ll be eager to increase his lead over Hamilton in the drivers’ standings with the midseason break looming after Hungary.

Vettel has just one win here (2015) but has some strong results on his Hungary CV. Since 2010 – his second season with Red Bull – Vettel’s worst result in Hungary is P7 (2014) and he’s got a P1 and P4 since switching to Ferrari in 2015.

Both Vettel and the improved Ferrari package were great stories to the early part of the 2017 season but that narrative has now shifted to Mercedes considering the results recently. As stated, Vettel’s lead in the drivers’ standings is razor-thin and the team is now 55 points behind the Silver Arrows in the constructors’ standings.

A win in Hungary would help Vettel enjoy the summer break a bit more and help him breathe a bit easier with Hamilton putting the pressure on every single race nowadays.

As usual, it’s important to note that all of these wagers could look very different come Sunday morning, but ahead of Friday’s practice, these are the bets I certainly have my eyes on for the 2017 Hungarian Grand Prix.

2017 Hungarian Grand Prix Odds
Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes)-125
Sebastian Vettel (Ferrari)+300
Valtteri Bottas (Mercedes)+450
Daniel Ricciardo (Red Bull)+1200
Max Verstappen (Red Bull)+1200
Kimi Raikkonen (Ferrari)+1400
Esteban Ocon (Force India)+50000
Sergio Perez (Force India)+50000
Fernando Alonso (McLaren)+50000
Daniil Kvyat (Toro Rosso)+50000
Romain Grosjean (Haas)+75000
Carlos Sainz (Toro Rosso)+75000
Kevin Magnussen (Haas)+75000
Niko Hulkenberg (Renault)+75000
Felipe Massa (Williams)+100000
Stoffel Vandoorne (McLaren)+100000
Lance Stroll (Williams)+150000
Jolyon Palmer (Renault)+200000
Pascal Wehrlein (Sauber)+300000
Marcus Ericsson (Sauber)+300000

Odds as of July 26 at Bovada