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F1 Podium: Three Bets for the 2018 Canadian Grand Prix

Lewis Hamilton Mercedes Canadian Grand Prix Formula One

Frequently one of the best races on the Formula 1 calendar, the Canadian Grand Prix is set to run this weekend and the 2018 edition has the potential to be a thriller.

With six races in the books, we’ve had three different drivers win two races each which has definitely lent itself to some good betting value when wagering on F1 races this season.

We are still a couple of days away from practice sessions in Montreal, but online shop Bovada has Lewis Hamilton as the race fave at +135 with Sebastian Vettel at +185 and Valtteri Bottas at +700 at the top of the oddsboard.

Red Bull’s Daniel Ricciardo (+900) is coming off an impressive drive at the Monaco Grand Prix where he captured his second checkered flag of the year. That said, the Aussie faces a grid penalty after an issue with his MGU-K component in Monaco which has forced him onto his third of the season. How much of a penalty is not known yet, but Danny Ric will have his work cut out for him if he’s to score back-to-back wins.

One driver who will love the sight of Circuit Gilles Villeneuve is Mercedes’ Lewis Hamilton. Hamilton has a 14-point lead over Ferrari’s Sebastian Vettel and has dominated at this race over the years. Despite his lead in the driver standings, Hamilton has identified Ferrari and Vettel as the best car and driver at this point.

“It’s definitely a three-way fight and Ferrari, I think, are still the strongest,” Hamilton was quoted as saying by ESPN.

Hamilton also knows that Red Bull are about to get even stronger with their engine upgrade which makes this weekend’s race a very intriguing one.

Despite Hamilton pointing out how stiff the competition is this season, he’s been a force at this race. With that in mind, let’s take a look at three value picks to spice things up for what looks to be a fantastic spectacle in Montreal.

Bet on the Canadian Grand Prix here!

P1: Lewis Hamilton to Win (+135)

Hamilton has won three straight races here, four of the last six and six all-time. Getting him at plus-money ahead of practice and qualification (before value could evaporate) wouldn’t be the worst idea.

His six wins here are second all-time behind the great Michael Schumacher (seven) and equaling the German’s total would be yet another feather in his cap.

Hamilton cruised to a +19.783 victory to punctuate a dominant 1-2 Mercedes finish here last year and the guy just drives extremely well at this track. I called Daniel Ricciardo in the Monaco Grand Prix preview when he was offering incredible value so let’s try the same thing with Hamilton ahead of the practice runs.

P2: Kevin Magnussen Top-10 finish (-150)

Chalky, but the way Magnussen has driven this season, it’s definitely in play here.

The Dane has three top-10 finishes so far this season (Bahrain, China, Spain) and finished 12th in Canada last year. He finished 13th in Monaco last time out, but Monaco doesn’t really cater to overtakes and/or a ton of exciting driving the way Canada does.

He has a top-10 result here, but that was back in 2014 when he was driving for McLaren (ninth).

Magnussen has been the vastly superior Haas driver this season as he sits 10th in the driver standings with 19 points while teammate Romain Grosjean is at the very bottom with three retirements on his 2018 CV.

It could be a good season to back Magnussen to finish in the top 10 race in, race out and while -150 might not seem like a ton of great value, it’s not a bad betting spot for a driver on the rise.

P3: Daniel Ricciardo Fastest Lap (+550)

Six races into the 2018 F1 season, the Red Bull boys have dominated the fastest laps thus far. Ricciardo has posted three fastest laps (Australia, China, Spain) while teammate Max Verstappen set the bar in Monaco.

Further, the fact that Danny Ric does face a grid penalty and will be starting from behind makes this a great wager at that price.

A Mercedes car has paced the field in the last two Canadian Grands Prix (Hamilton 2017, Nico Rosberg 2016) with Ferrari’s Kimi Räikkönen recording the fastest lap in 2015.

There is good value on the board in this market and anyone from Red Bull, Mercedes or Ferrari will be worth a punt. But with the upgrade, a third DRS zone added to Canada and Ricciardo’s potential starting position, I’ll be backing the Aussie.

2018 Canadian Grand Prix Odds
Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes)+135
Sebastian Vettel (Ferrari)+185
Valtteri Bottas (Mercedes)+700
Daniel Ricciardo (Red Bull)+900
Kimi Raikkonen (Ferrari)+1100
Max Verstappen (Red Bull)+1100
Esteban Ocon (Force India)+50000
Fernando Alonso (McLaren)+50000
Kevin Magnussen (Haas)+50000
Sergio Perez (Force India)+50000
Carlos Sainz (Renault)+100000
Nico Hulkenberg (Renault)+100000
Romain Grosjean (Haas)+100000
Stoffel Vandoorne (McLaren)+100000
Pierre Gasly (Toro Rosso Honda)+200000
Charles Leclerc (Alfa Romeo Sauber)+200000
Brendon Hartley (Toro Rosso Honda)+250000
Lance Stroll (Williams)+300000
Sergey Sirotkin (Williams)+300000
Marcus Ericsson (Alfa Romeo Sauber)+400000

Odds as of June 5 at Bovada