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2021 F1 Italian Grand Prix Odds: Hamilton Favored Over Verstappen

Lewis Hamilton is favored in 2021 F1 Italian Grand Prix Odds followed by Max Verstappen, Valtteri Bottas, and Sergio Perez.

Max Verstappen has now won two races on the bounce to move to the top of the drivers’ standings, including a home win in Zandvoort. Lewis Hamilton is not just going to give up; he has already come storming back with fluency prior to the summer break. Odds Shark breaks down the F1 odds for the Italian Grand Prix below with suggestions based on the race technical.

According to the F1 odds at BetOnline Sportsbook, Lewis Hamilton is the favorite with odds of +100, followed by the leader of the drivers’ standings Max Verstappen (+110), Valtteri Bottas (+1000) and Red Bull’s Sergio Perez (+2500).

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Odds To Win Italian Grand Prix

Lewis Hamilton+100
Max Verstappen+110
Valtteri Bottas+1000
Sergio Perez+2500
Lando Norris+3300
Charles Leclerc+5000
Carlos Sainz+10000
Daniel Ricciardo+10000
Pierre Gasly+10000
George Russell+20000
Esteban Ocon+25000
Fernando Alonso+25000
Lance Stroll+25000
Sebastian Vettel+25000
Antonio Giovanazzi+50000
Mick Schumacher+50000
Nicholas Latifi+50000
Nikita Mazepin+50000
Robert Kubica+50000
Yuki Tsunoda+50000

Odds as of September 9 at BetOnline Sportsbook

Previous Race

Max Verstappen continued his fine run in triple headers this season with a home race win in Zandvoort that pushed him to the top of the drivers’ standings for this year. Lewis Hamilton was staved off for the course of 72 laps as he had to settle for second place but picked up the additional point for fastest lap. His Mercedes colleague Valtteri Bottas finished third, while Pierre Gasly secured a stunning P4.

“The expectations were very high going into the weekend and it’s never easy to fulfil that,” Verstappen said after the race. “But I’m of course so happy to win here, to take the lead in the championship. The start was very important, I think we did that well, and then of course Mercedes tried to make it very difficult for us but we countered them all the time really well. We can be really pleased with the whole team performance today.”

Hamilton Or Verstappen?

Verstappen has been in stunning form this season. Some results have been tragic for him, such as Baku and Silverstone. With wins there, this season would have been completely different. He has F1 odds of +110 for the Italian Grand Prix, which I don’t necessarily agree with. More on why a bit later in this article.

However, a crucial aspect for this race will be whether Red Bull can be strong on the straights or not. Unless there is damage to his car, Red Bull should not concede more than two podium spots to the rest of the field in Monza.

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Lewis Hamilton has lost his temporary lead in the drivers’ standings after finishing second in Zandvoort. He will be determined to get that lead back but he is one of the most experienced drivers in the sport, aware that if he does not have an edge, he will take the next-best result, but he certainly won’t settle for second place. He is the favorite for this race, based on F1 odds of +100.

“I don’t feel like I’m more wary than I was at the beginning of the year. Of course, as we've got through the season, they've got stronger and stronger and it's been harder for us as we’ve gone on, we've had a bit of as difficult patch but we got back to operating how we have done in the past,” Hamilton had said.

Left-Field F1 Betting Predictions For Italian Grand Prix

Sergio Perez is an interesting choice at F1 odds of +2500. From the previous race, his odds have lengthened significantly. Now remember, Red Bull are extremely quick along the straights. Both Hamilton and Verstappen have shown already that they will not be giving each other an inch, neither are going to back off. It’s not implausible that contact, like in Silverstone, could completely change the dynamics of the race. In that case, Checo comes into the race, just like he did in Baku.

Bottas will not be a Mercedes driver next season. That was always on the cards with very few races where he has made an impact. With not much to lose, he might just be freed substantially to go out there and simply race. In the strength of the Mercedes, that makes him a dangerous driver. He currently has F1 odds of +1000.

“It has been a privilege and a great sporting challenge to work with Lewis, and the harmony in our relationship played a big part in the constructors' championships we won as team mates,” Bottas said after his move to Alfa was announced. “I'm as hungry as ever to race for results and when the time comes, for wins. But for now, my mission is clear: maximum attack for Mercedes, all the way to the final lap in Abu Dhabi.”

History Of The Italian Grand Prix

The Autodromo Nazionale Monza took under four months to complete. It finally hosted the Italian Grand Prix in 1922. Since it was added to the F1 calendar in 1950, it has been a universal part of the calendar in every year except for one. The lap record at this circuit was set in 2004 by Rubens Barrichello with a time of 1:21.046.

Race Technicals

Monza is one of the quickest tracks in F1. Like the country’s shape in a globe, Monza is also boot-shaped, like a circuitous L, from start to finish. There are just 11 turns through this track with a speed trap close to turn 1. There are also two DRS detection zones: the first between turns 6 and 7 and the second between turns 10 and 11. This is one of the most technical tracks on the track simply because of how different it is to others.

Weather Conditions

No rain this Sunday in Monza. While neutral spectators prefer not to have an event like Spa, some rain is always welcome because it evens out the scales a bit. This weather forecast, for a mostly sunny day, means that Red Bull and Mercedes will be the prime candidates for the win.

Betting Strategy For The Italian Grand Prix

There are certain technical reasons why Verstappen could simply be too strong in Monza. One of the primary reasons for that is Red Bull’s strength along the straights this season. That car has been built excellently to increase speed when moving in a unilateral direction, with or without a slipstream. That car along with Verstappen is reliable, which is rare in Formula 1. That is why I think Verstappen will win this race.

Place Your F1 Bets Today

If you’d like to hedge your bets, you can always place a percentage of your investment on Hamilton. Without damage or contact, it is highly implausible that both Hamilton and Verstappen will not win the race. So, you cover your losses in case Verstappen does not win, and take away a handy profit if he does.

Odds For Grid Position Of Winner

Grid PositionOdds
Pole position-120
2nd place+250
3rd or 4th place+400
5th, 6th or 7th place+1200
8th to 13th place+2500
Any other position+8000

Odds as of September 9 at BetOnline Sportsbook

How To Bet Grid Position Of Winner?

This is a technical market. While it may look like chance at face value, it certainly is not. Monza will have Sprint Qualifying, like in Silverstone earlier this season. That changed the dynamics of which driver could finish in pole.

Based on strength of drivers, I would think Verstappen will finish either first or second in qualifying. That is where your betting selections should be for this market. Even if Verstappen does not win the Sprint race, which he should, he will likely finish second. That will be enough to return your bet for this market, either for pole position (-120) or for second place (+250).

Odds Shark shall return in a couple of weeks to update you with the F1 odds for one of the most iconic F1 races as the calendar moves to Sochi in Russia.