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BMW PGA Championship Odds And Expert Picks

Viktor Hovland is the favorite at this weekend's BMW PGA Championship.

With the completion of the PGA Tour’s season last week at East Lake Golf Club, our attention will turn to the betting odds at the BMW PGA Championship. A flagship event on the European Tour, this week marks the last week of qualifying for the European Ryder Cup team. Not only that, but it also presents a Rolex Series event, making this week at Wentworth Club all the more important for those who choose to tee it up across the pond.

There are a couple of PGA Tour players who will be making the trek to England for the BMW PGA Championship. While Patrick Reed is typically one of them, and has enjoyed some success at Wentworth, he will be forgoing the voyage across the pond, likely due to health concerns and the potential for a captain’s pick looming.

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However, tournament favorite Viktor Hovland will take the flight back to Europe. Having won the BMW International in Munich, Germany, earlier this year, the Norwegian is +900 at Bovada to win this week. A $100 bet would profit you $900 as our odds calculator gives Hovland a 10.00 percent chance to claim victory. Having led the field in Atlanta in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and SG: Approach, a solid week on the greens will likely go a long way for his chances to win.

Hovland will join a large contingent of his European counterparts including the defending champion, Tyrrell Hatton. The Englishman has made a habit of playing his best golf in these Rolex Series events and will surely give a grand effort defending his title. At +1400, he is second to Hovland on the BMW PGA Championship oddsboard as the two will team up in a couple of weeks at Whistling Straits for the Ryder Cup.

2021 BMW PGA Championship Betting Odds

2021 BMW Championship Odds
Golfer Odds
Viktor Hovland+1000
Shane Lowry+1800
Tyrrell Hatton+1800
Alex Noren+2000
Matt Fitzpatrick+2000
Tommy Fleetwood+2000
Adam Scott+2800
Billy Horschel+2800
Ian Poulter+2800
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+3300
Justin Rose+3300
Bernd Wiesberger+4000
Branden Grace+4000
Guido Migliozzi+4000
Henrik Stenson+4000
Lee Westwood+4000
Calum Hill+5000
Francesco Molinari+5000
Matthias Schwab+5000
Rasmus Hojgaard+5000
Robert MacIntyre+5000
Sam Horsfield+5000
Victor Perez+5000
Aaron Rai+6600
Andy Sullivan+6600
Antoine Rozner+6600
Danny Willett+6600
Dean Burnmesteer+6600
Garrick Higgo+6600
Johannes Veerman+6600
Martin Kaymer+6600
Masahiro Kawamura+6600
Matt Wallace+6600
Min Woo Lee+6600
Nicolai Hojgaard+6600
Richard Bland+6600
Sean Crocker+6600
Thomas Detry+6600
Thomas Pieters+6600

Odds as of September 7 at Bovada

Course And Analysis

Wentworth Club has been a longtime staple on the European Tour, having been in the limelight for nearly 100 years. Of the near century of playing host to professional golf tournaments, almost 40 of them have been spent hosting the BMW PGA Championship. As such, there are no tricks, gimmicks or nuances these players are not aware of as they travel to one of the most storied clubs in England.

The one oddity Wentworth does present is its hole layout. A par 72, players will go out in par 35 with the front nine measuring just over 3,500 yards. However, on the back nine, players will be tasked with dismantling three par 5s, including the final two holes, coming home in par 37 and nearly 3,800 yards.

In total, Wentworth has the ability to play close to 7,300 yards and should provide a strong examination as a full tee-to-green test will unfold. With past winners such as Hatton, Danny Willett, Francesco Molinari and Alex Noren, the cream tends to rise to the top in Surrey.

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Each of these players was able to effectively take apart Wentworth through somewhat similar manners. Ranking either first or second in par-4 scoring for the week, those are the holes where players are able to separate themselves from the pack. Through a combination of birdie-making and bogey-avoiding, they were also able to take advantage of their scoring opportunities while limiting any damage.

Not all too surprising, as that is the case week to week regardless of what Tour we are discussing. However, we will weigh around-the-green play a touch more since Hatton, Molinari and Noren had strong weeks in that department en route to their BMW PGA Championship titles.

2021 BMW Championship Expert Picks

Branden Grace (+3300 to win)

It was a FedExCup playoffs to forget for the South African, who entered the postseason with plenty of momentum. Alas, it wasn’t meant to be, but I am still optimistic about his chances at the BMW PGA Championship. With +5000 BMW PGA Championship odds floating around, I am inclined to jump in, especially considering how South Africans as a whole have taken to Wentworth.

Outside of last year, a South African has found his way inside the top 10 in each edition of the tournament dating back to 2016. That could be Grace this year as he has gained nearly a stroke on the field per round in the 30 rounds that he has played in Surrey. With back-to-back top-10 finishes in 2017 and 2018, a similar performance could come to fruition this week.

A playoff loser to Kevin Kisner at the Wyndham Championship, Grace is in fine enough form heading into the BMW PGA Championship. A course that fits his eye and suits his game, perhaps this is a spot for him to come through for the first time since the Puerto Rico Open.

Robert MacIntyre (+5000 to win)

Drawing criticism for chasing a PGA Tour card and not Ryder Cup points, it was a disappointing few weeks on the Korn Ferry Tour for the 25-year-old. In what I would consider a surprise, MacIntyre was unable to secure full-time status on the PGA Tour through the Korn Ferry Tour finals. Perhaps reeling, there is still plenty to play for this week for the young Scot, as he is on the outside looking in for the European Ryder Cup team.

With Bernd Wiesberger trending at the ideal time, his chances are getting slimmer and slimmer, but he still has to have some sort of belief that he’ll be selected for Whistling Straits. I still expect MacIntyre to put his best foot forward at the BMW PGA Championship. Before his run for status in the United States, MacIntyre captured a top-15 finish at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational and a top-10 finish at the Open Championship.

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Albeit forgettable starts, he has made the cut in both of his BMW PGA Championship appearances. Ranking fourth on the European Tour in strokes gained total, MacIntyre has played the par 4s well this season. That should translate to success at Wentworth as his tee-to-green play appears to be in form and should be up to the test for the BMW PGA Championship.

Min Woo Lee (+6600 to win)

Lee has only played two rounds at Wentworth in his golfing career and they didn’t go as planned. Despite this, I have confidence in him this week for the BMW PGA Championship as he has shown a different gear this summer. Off a Rolex Series win at the Scottish Open, the Australian has since continued his strong play and had a legitimate chance to claim the Italian Open last week.

While it wasn’t meant to be, we are still getting similar odds on a course that I believe he could thrive at. Known for making plenty of birdies and as one of the best on the European circuit from around the greens, Lee will need to limit the damage in order to contend this week.

I believe he is capable of doing so as the irons have continued to improve in recent weeks. Posting nearly +2.5 SG: Approach and +2.0 SG: Approach in back-to-back weeks, if that type of iron play arrives at the BMW PGA Championship, he should be there come Sunday.