With our outright wagers placed, we now turn our attention to the prop market for our expert selections for the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge.
It is always important to search for value in the top finishing markets, so remember to shop around for the best lines for your 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge prop bets as they typically differ from sportsbook to sportsbook.
It was a memorable week at the PGA Championship as we were able to get back into the winner’s column at Southern Hills. Various matchups and prop bets were kind to us in Oklahoma and we will look to continue to ride the momentum into the Charles Schwab Challenge.
Unfortunately, our outright selection of Will Zalatoris came up just short in a playoff against Justin Thomas. The Wake Forest product looked to be in an advantageous position most of the tournament and even held the 36-hole lead.
Zalatoris became the first player to not convert such a lead in a major championship into a win at Southern Hills. He will look to bounce back quickly at Colonial Country Club in what will be a home game for the Dallas resident.
This week at the Charles Schwab Challenge, world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler tops the oddsboard at Bodog. The Texan is playing in his backyard this week and he will look to recover from a disappointing missed cut at the year’s second major championship.
Our odds calculator gives Scheffler a 71.43 percent chance to finish inside the top 20 as he is listed at -250 to do so. But needing to lay $250 to profit $100 at those odds, we will instead look further down the top-20 oddsboard in search of some perceived value.
2022 Charles Schwab Challenge Prop Bets
Mark Hubbard Top 20: +450
The 32-year-old is trending in the right direction and a course such as Colonial will be accommodating to his skill set. Hubbard is not considered long off the tee, but he is extremely accurate and should be capable of setting up his iron play from the middle of the fairway.
If that is the case, he should find the top 20 as he posted +1.60 Strokes Gained: Approach in his last start at the AT&T Byron Nelson.
Typically strong both on and around the greens, Hubbard is a perfect 3-for-3 connecting on weekend showings in his Charles Schwab Challenge career.
In each of those instances, his iron play was dreadful, so if those clubs are well-behaved, he should be a factor in the latter stages of the tournament.
Nick Taylor Top 20: +500
The Canadian successfully qualified for the U.S. Open on Monday and should ride this stellar play into this week’s Charles Schwab Challenge. Taylor has played at Colonial on a rather consistent basis, having teed it up eight times since 2011.
He only has five made cuts in this stretch but on paper, it is a course where he should exceed expectations. He has done some of his best work on shorter positional courses this season, looking at his top-20 finish at the Wells Fargo Championship and his top-25 effort at the Corales Puntacana Championship.
His ball-striking has been tremendous and he has historically putted well on these greens so the entirety of his game has the potential to come together at Colonial.
Andrew Putnam Top 20: +650
Putnam goes into this year’s Charles Schwab Challenge having missed the cut in his four prior tournaments. These results, while worrying, are mainly due to some issues on the greens as his tee-to-green game has been exceptional for the majority of 2022.
He began his season with three straight top-30 finishes, including a top-10 result at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am on another course featuring tight fairways and small greens. Putnam’s trajectory is mirroring his early-season form and a course such as Colonial will allow for a coming-out party.
He finished third here in 2019 and has consistently gained strokes with the putter in his four Charles Schwab Challenge appearances. While his results are bleak, his statistics have been sound. Putnam makes for my favorite top-20 prop bet of the week.
Kramer Hickok Top 20: +750
Hickok is a Dallas-area resident as well even though we did not mention him above. The former Texas Longhorn is a player we have targeted quite often and while his form has taken a dip, his play at the PGA Championship was extremely encouraging.
Hickok made the cut at Southern Hills and gained strokes on the field both off the tee and on approach. Last week’s venue was always going to be a big ask given Hickok’s statistical output but Colonial will be a much better fit.
He has been in the upper tier of accuracy in his last five starts and his iron play is beginning to resemble his early-season form. He finished in a tie for 14th in this tournament last year and even has a top-five result in the state of Texas this season.
Hickok is clearly comfortable in his home state and if the putter becomes a friend again, he should find the top 20 again.
Vincent Whaley Top 20: +750
Vincent Whaley has very sneakily been a tremendous player when traveling to the state of Texas. It began last season at this tournament when he finished inside the top 20 and it has continued into 2022.
Whaley finished in a tie for 15th at the HPE Houston Open, in a tie for 29th at the Valero Texas Open and in a tie for 25th at the AT&T Byron Nelson.
The most impressive part of this is his iron play has often been lackluster. Whaley consistently gains strokes on and around the green and this has continued to propel him to the second or third page of the leaderboard.
In last year’s Charles Schwab Challenge, he underperformed in his strength of chipping, but confirmed his comfort level with the various sightlines and landing areas at Colonial through his strong ball-striking.
I expect Whaley to marry the whole bag this week as he has done so regularly in the state of Texas.
2022 Charles Schwab Challenge: What To Look For
The PGA Tour returns to Texas this week and as such, Dallas-Fort Worth area residents are playing on familiar grounds. This was touched upon for the AT&T Byron Nelson and the same sentiment will ring true as many of the local players have decided to participate in the Charles Schwab Challenge.
They are headlined by Scheffler and joined by the likes of Jordan Spieth, Will Zalatoris, Bryson DeChambeau and Harry Higgs. Spieth is an interesting case in his home state as he has dominated when competing in front of his fellow Dallas natives.
He has three runner-up finishes in his Charles Schwab Challenge career as well as a victory in 2016. The 28-year-old was the 54-hole leader in last year’s tournament before his approach play abandoned him as he blew his final-round lead to Jason Kokrak.
Spieth turned in an over-par round and Kokrak only had to shoot even par to capture his second career victory on the PGA Tour.
While Texans make up the bulk of the storylines, there are other players who consistently play well in the Lone Star State. Kokrak is the prime example as he has since added another trophy in Texas after his Charles Schwab Challenge title in 2021.
He got the better of another Texas Longhorn in Scheffler at the HPE Houston Open and will look to continue his winning ways down south at Colonial this week after making the cut at the PGA Championship.
Doc's Picks Service
Need more winning picks? Get $60 worth of premium member picks from Doc’s Sports – a recognized leader and trusted name in sports handicapping since 1971.